Keep One Eye on This – Tropical Depression #16 Predicted to Strengthen and Move Fast…

If you are in the gulf region of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Northwest Florida it would be prudent to keep an eye on this ‘tropical depression’.  TD-16 is anticipated to gain hurricane strength and will, unfortunately, move very fast once it enters the Southern Gulf of Mexico.  Preparatory action may be needed in 36 hours.

Evaluate your current storm supply needs; take a proactive inventory; make a list of possible replacements or enhancements you might deem necessary, and keep an eye on local and national forecasts. –National Hurricane Center HERE

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126 Responses to Keep One Eye on This – Tropical Depression #16 Predicted to Strengthen and Move Fast…

  1. fleporeblog says:

    Wow! This has been an amazing year with these Hurricanes. Thank God that our President is at the helm for whatever comes our way.

    Liked by 12 people

    • backwoodsgirl123 says:

      I think my hubby said, in 2004 they had 4 hurricanes go right over the same exact area, one right after another.

      The Lord has prompted me to get prepared. I had no idea it was for another hurricane!

      Liked by 7 people

      • maggiemoowho says:

        It was just nuts, we had just moved to Florida from North Carolina and were not even unpacked all the way.

        Liked by 2 people

        • backwoodsgirl123 says:

          Well, count your blessings! This thing, if it turns into a hurricane will go right through NC and VA. I’ve been in VA with Isabel. She was a CAT1 and our power was out for a week! We lived in the boonies up there and there was a ton of trees down and we couldn’t even get radio from local station. It got messed up too!

          Like

        • allhail2 says:

          We were here, rode’em all out. Got our pre and post storm checks and systems pretty well set. Always seem to come with a “better” or newer, sometimes copied, idea every time.

          Liked by 1 person

      • Martin says:

        Yup. For me, a week ago, a very strong flood, and LV wasn’t all of it, apparently. Over the years, I’ve learned that things that come with warnings are the least troublesome.

        Liked by 1 person

      • czarowniczy says:

        Go back to 2005 where we had 28 named storms, went right thru the regular names and into Greek letters. A record 4 hurricanes reached cat 5 status.

        Liked by 1 person

        • backwoodsgirl123 says:

          Hubby said it was 2004. I wasn’t in FL, so I didn’t pay as much attention.

          Like

          • czarowniczy says:

            I remember it as Katrina went right over our house in NOLA and our farm in MS. Didn’t damage the house but blew down between 11 and 14-thousand 20-year old pines on our farm. I sat in the school a part of NOPD had occupied and reported on the training hurricanes in a daily brief I prepared, especially Rita and Wilma as I could imagine the damages were each to have come over the already devastated city. Nope, that year’s burned in my mind.

            Liked by 1 person

            • backwoodsgirl123 says:

              My EX/Deceased husband was pretty abusive and I had a lot of crapola going on. Associating dates with things that happened are fuzzy.

              Like

    • Grandma Covfefe says:

      Amen. Thinking positive thoughts for today …or trying to. Praying for Storm Sweet !6 to weaken, and weaken then dissipate soon.

      Liked by 3 people

  2. Abster says:

    I am on east coast in Cocoa Beach. We had six inches of rain Sunday night and have had extremely high winds and rough surf since the weekend. Not only do we have water standing, with no where to go, but we also still have piles of debris on every street still waiting to be picked up. A lot of people here still have property damage, roof damage and some still no roofs. Hope everyone pays attention. We have witnessed that anything can happen.

    Liked by 10 people

  3. Minnie says:

    Thanks for posting, Sundance.

    Be safe, Treepers, praying 🙏

    Liked by 11 people

  4. valheisey says:

    Okay, I’ve had enough of this! The mountains of Georgia are looking better all the time!

    Liked by 6 people

    • backwoodsgirl123 says:

      Don’t be too sure!

      If this nation doesn’t repent, God will shake it so violently that it will literally be rent in two! And those mountains will become dust!

      I got that way back in the early 90’s. My prayer partner and I had been praying. I was praying for China’s Christians who were being severely persecuted, and the Lord interrupted my prayer and told me that I had better be praying for American to repent. And I had this panorama map just open up in front of me. Like those relief maps that you can run your finger over and they have bumps for the mountains?

      Well, what I saw, those “bumps” started shaking and then plumes of dust rose up as they fell. And a rip in the earth from up around Oregon all the way down to the Northern panhandle of Florida opened up.

      God gave me a passage about twisting the face of the earth. And I was agitated to find that it is an End Time’s Passage.

      Isaiah 24Amplified Bible, Classic Edition (AMPC)

      24 Behold, the Lord will make the land and the [a]earth empty and make it waste and turn it upside down (twist the face of it) and scatter abroad its inhabitants.
      2 And it shall be—as [what happens] with the people, so with the priest; as with the servant, so with his master; as with the maid, so with her mistress; as with the buyer, so with the seller; as with the lender, so with the borrower; as with the creditor, so with the debtor.
      3 The land and the earth shall be utterly laid waste and utterly pillaged; for the Lord has said this.
      4 The land and the earth mourn and wither, the world languishes and withers, the high ones of the people [and the heavens with the earth] languish.
      5 The land and the earth also are defiled by their inhabitants, because they have transgressed the laws, disregarded the statutes, and broken the everlasting covenant.
      6 Therefore a curse devours the land and the earth, and they who dwell in it suffer the punishment of their guilt. Therefore the inhabitants of the land and the earth are scorched and parched [under the curse of God’s wrath], and few people are left.
      7 The new wine mourns, the vine languishes; all the merrymakers sigh.
      8 The mirth of the timbrels is stilled, the noise of those who rejoice ends, the joy of the lyre is stopped.
      9 No more will they drink wine with a song; strong drink will be bitter to those who drink it.
      10 The wasted city of emptiness and confusion is broken down; every house is shut up so that no one may enter.
      11 There is crying in the streets for wine; all joy is darkened, the mirth of the land is banished and gone into captivity.
      12 In the city is left desolation, and its gate is battered and destroyed.
      13 For so shall it be in the midst of the earth among the peoples, as the shaking and beating of an olive tree, or as the gleaning when the vintage is done [and only a small amount of the fruit remains].
      14 [But] these [who have escaped and remain] lift up their voices, they shout; for the majesty of the Lord they cry aloud from the [Mediterranean] Sea.
      15 Wherefore glorify the Lord in the east [whether in the region of daybreak’s lights and fires, or in the west]; [glorify] the name of the Lord, the God of Israel in the isles and coasts of the [Mediterranean] Sea.
      16 From the uttermost parts of the earth have we heard songs: Glory to the Righteous One [and to the people of Israel]! But I say, Emaciated I pine away, I pine away. Woe is me! The treacherous dealers deal treacherously! Yes, the treacherous dealers deal very treacherously.
      17 Terror and pit [of destruction] and snare are upon you, O inhabitant of the earth!
      18 And he who flees at the noise of the terror will fall into the pit; and he who comes up out of the pit will be caught in the snare. For the windows of the heavens are opened [as in the deluge], and the foundations of the earth tremble and shake.
      19 The earth is utterly broken, the earth is rent asunder, the earth is shaken violently.
      20 The earth shall stagger like a drunken man and shall sway to and fro like a hammock; its transgression shall lie heavily upon it, and it shall fall and not rise again.
      21 And in that day the Lord will visit and punish the host of the high ones on high [the host of heaven in heaven, celestial beings] and the kings of the earth on the earth.
      22 And they will be gathered together as prisoners are gathered in a pit or dungeon; they will be shut up in prison, and after many days they will be visited, inspected, and punished or [b]pardoned.
      23 Then the moon will be confounded and the sun ashamed, when [they compare their ineffectual fire to the light of] the Lord of hosts, Who will reign on Mount Zion and in Jerusalem, and before His elders will show forth His glory.

      Liked by 1 person

    • Minnie says:

      Poconos are looking mighty beautiful from here, as well.

      3 more years.

      Liked by 1 person

      • valheisey says:

        Minnie, I migrated to SW Florida from Lancaster County, PA. Beautiful tis true, but too cold for me!

        Like

        • I stay warm in the winter with the heat keep long underwear purchased in KMart. I also received a gift of Lands End silk long underwear for Christmas a few years back.

          Liked by 1 person

          • Kent says:

            synthetic long johns the only way to go….we have a curious paradox on the gulf coast…it might be only forty degrees but it will freeze your ace off far above its paygrade…a brutal biting humid cold which will challenge any northerner accustomed to robins egg high pressure skies…it’s just not the same kind of cold….

            And I can’t WAIT for it…LOVE cold weather………………………………………………

            Liked by 1 person

          • valheisey says:

            I used to love Lands End Silk underwear!

            Like

    • TonyMacaroni says:

      Be careful what you think is an out… Irma gave Gainesville GA 70MPH winds, hundreds of trees down and no power for up to seven days. Still, would not move.Have lived in 28 states and five countries but this is home.

      Liked by 2 people

      • valheisey says:

        Glad to hear you love your hometown Tony. Living in an impact zone is not what I am looking to spend the rest of my life dealing with. Sure, I can get out of harms way, but if my area is hit, I am left with the destruction, clean-up, paperwork and inconvenience. I’ll take 70 mph winds over 130+ mph winds and I like to camp. I’ll put Gainesville on my list to visit. Thanks!

        Like

    • The Valley of the Sun is sunny, warm, and dry. C’mon over!

      Liked by 1 person

  5. filia.aurea says:

    This is turning out to be a brutal hurricane season. Thanks for the reminder, with so much eerie on-going chaos, it would be too easy to forget the basics.

    Liked by 4 people

  6. Kent says:

    Thanks for the heads up Sundance….Port Arthur, TX

    Liked by 3 people

  7. auscitizenmom says:

    😦 I haven’t even gotten everything put back since the last one because I made a trip to visit my son and DIL, along with having to take care of my little doggie and her hurt eye. Too much.

    Liked by 4 people

  8. MM says:

    Thanks for the heads up Sundance.
    I just finished putting away my hurricane stuff.
    Oh well, guess I’ll get busy with pulling it all back out and restocking some items.

    Liked by 5 people

    • backwoodsgirl123 says:

      Went to Walmart today. The stuff they showed on their website that was “available for pickup” today, wasn’t on the store shelves.

      Liked by 1 person

      • sunnydaze says:

        what area are you in/near?

        Like

        • backwoodsgirl123 says:

          East Orange in Orlando. We just got back from Curry Ford Rd. and they had both the powdered milk and the 1/2 gallon canning jars I needed. They close at Midnight and hubby went down there so I wouldn’t have to worry about it. I called 5 stores to track it down.

          IF a hurricane hits the panhandle, it might well cut off deliveries to FL for awhile. So, even if we only get some wind and rain here, I’d rather be prepared.

          Like

  9. sobriquet4u says:

    Great…just finished cleaning up Irma’s mess today. I think I’ll move back to the desert and that huge banana spider over my entrance way this evening may have been the last straw. Google those things.

    Liked by 6 people

    • Sharon says:

      No, thank you. Wow.

      Liked by 2 people

    • starfcker says:

      Funny sobri. The day after Irma, a giant banana spider moved in next to my front door. I’d never seen one in the yard, creepy as it was, it wasn’t in the way, soI let it be, it’s gone now. People up north have no idea how big those things are.

      Liked by 4 people

      • sobriquet4u says:

        My rule is “if you’re not helping pay the mortgage” you must leave. We’re having coffee on the front porch this a.m. and a young Oak snake was laying across the banister watching. (I nearly strangled on coffee) Husband removed him to the woods. Spider this evening and husband removed him to the woods. I don’t go near the woods.

        Liked by 5 people

    • Plain Jane says:

      I just did. Okay you have our spiders beat. In the fall the huge black spiders trek into the house, torment me in the basement and bathroom. I had to pick up one with a ton of toilet paper between him and me night before last. He made a splash when I dropped it into the toilet.

      Fortunately these are “country spiders” (my term) because they don’t run away. I think they think they are camouflaged if they stay still, even on a white floor. I call the fast ones “city spiders.” They are savvy and know they aren’t camouflaged. 🙂

      Liked by 4 people

      • kurt72 says:

        And all this spider talk is why we live in Maine! When it gets cold you can light something on fire and put on more clothes! Plus I don’t mind snow blowing .😎

        Liked by 5 people

        • Plain Jane says:

          kurt72, I hate the snow here in Indiana. We get Lake Effect (Lake Michigan) snow. Too much. Pretty, but too much sometimes. However it’s better than ice storms.

          Liked by 1 person

        • sunnydaze says:

          And throw the food out in the snow if you lose power!

          Melt snow on the wood stove for water (takes @ 10″ of snow to make about an inch of water but oh well, better than nothing!)

          Cook on the wood stove.

          Sit back and watch the peaceful snowy scene outside.

          I’d take a blizzard over this hurricane crap any day!

          Liked by 3 people

          • Plain Jane says:

            In March of ’98 I was really sick. We were without power for 8 days because of an awful ice storm and snow up to my wazoo that wiped out a large area. DH made it to the steel mill 25 miles away. Had to because of his job – high voltage EE. By the third day some of his men brought us a generator, but we would only run it when DH came home because it had to be hot wired.

            The temp stayed between 45 and 50 degrees in the house but dropped when the sun went down. Our youngest son was in 9th or 10th grade at the time, he would fill my restaurant size pot with snow and we would melt it on the gas range, pour it into a bucket for flushing. We are on well and septic, so without power we have no water.

            By day three DH would bring home gallons of water for drinking from stores that were open up north.

            Freezer contents didn’t stay solid outside. We went through every pot and dish in the house, and couldn’t wash them because we couldn’t keep up the need for water. We lost at least $300 worth of food but ate well until I no longer trusted the unfrozen food.

            When the first flake falls here in November, I still panic even though we now have a whole house natural gas generator.

            Liked by 1 person

            • jackphatz says:

              Yep, 98′ was a bad Winter, and COLD!

              Liked by 1 person

            • Plain Jane says:

              I forgot to mention that even though our event was traumatic, I can only imagine the hard trauma you all have experienced, and the anxiety you all are having. God bless and protect you all.

              Like

            • sunnydaze says:

              Plain Jane, wood stoves are the best! You can stay very toasty. But, you’ve gotta have a chimney, of course. 45 degrees and below is too cold inside. Yikes.

              At one place I lived in, we used to keep the food in the garage. Course, the temp outside was well below zero, but! kind of nice to just have your food laid out on “counters” in the garage….much more spacious than a fridge.(!)

              Liked by 1 person

    • maggiemoowho says:

      Don’t get bit by that banana spider, our tree guy said banana spiders are venomous, gives a nasty bite.

      Liked by 2 people

    • Texian says:

      Desert huh.. I spoke with a Gulf War vet and he said they would use shotguns against camel spiders – he said they would never sleep on the ground out there.. he also said they would make a screaming noise when they ran.. don’t know if it is true or not but he was serious.. I had seen other pictures that were bigger than these..

      Liked by 1 person

    • Ick. I killed a wood spider outside my house the other day with the biggest shovel I could find in my garage. They are just as big as the banana spider I just googled but hairier.

      Liked by 1 person

    • JC says:

      Aacckk! I’m not generally afraid of spiders, sobriquet, but that one would make me jump. Then I read below about the oak snake. Rough day. Find some way to pamper yourself tonight, ok? 🤗

      Liked by 2 people

    • TreeClimber says:

      Here in Charleston, every year we get hundreds… one learns to watch for them as one walks!

      Liked by 1 person

  10. Binkser1 says:

    Thanks for the heads up. Is it wrong for me to wish this thing would go up to D.C. and wipe all of our politicians out (obviously, not our great president)? I am sick to death of these corrupt, lying SOB’s.

    Liked by 4 people

  11. dayallaxeded says:

    Well, back to generator prep and water hoarding, I guess. Should’a kept on task around Harvey-time.

    Liked by 3 people

    • maggiemoowho says:

      Just dumped all the water bricks out in the pool, didn’t think we would need the water in them anymore. Guess I’m going to be filling them back up.

      Like

  12. georgiafl says:

    For all those computer models, etc.

    http://spaghettimodels.com

    Liked by 2 people

  13. Plain Jane says:

    Please Lord God Almighty, have mercy on the people. Subdue the weather and give us peace and fortitude. We ask this in the name of Your Most Holy Son. Amen.

    Liked by 12 people

  14. Pam says:

    Watch the track closely for another reason. Pay very close attention to where the storm goes after it makes landfall on Sunday. I say this because of personal experience and you can never let your guard down. I agree with those who have said this season has been brutal. That is like the understatement of the year. I pray this storm goes away as well but I hope all will prepare just in case and yes as always, pray, pray pray!

    8pm ET advisory:

    Liked by 5 people

  15. georgiafl says:

    Liked by 1 person

  16. georgiafl says:

    Heck, they’re already calling TD 16 – ‘Nate’ – and predicting the db at landfall:

    Liked by 2 people

  17. georgiafl says:

    Liked by 2 people

  18. georgiafl says:

    Liked by 2 people

  19. sunnydaze says:

    I really hope their Grocery Stores, etc. are fully stocked in the Gulf.

    We just got back to normal here in NE FL. a few days ago. It took a very long time, and we were not even hit as bad as them.

    Also, some people still did not have elec. up here just a week ago.

    I know people down in Naples area who are having a hard time getting roofs repaired, windows replaced etc. because there just are not enough roofers, etc. to go around. The LAST thing they need is another ‘cane.

    This sucks.

    Liked by 6 people

  20. georgiafl says:

    From the Stats and Data guy:

    Liked by 2 people

  21. Rick_Masters says:

    To quote the late John Hurt: “Oh no, not again.”

    Liked by 2 people

  22. Pam says:

    Liked by 2 people

  23. usayes says:

    Day 3 of high winds and periodic torrential downpours here on the FL Treasure Coast apparently caused by the stubborn system stalled off the north coast of Cuba. Not sure what, if any, impact TD 16 will have on this system or vice versa. Thank you SD for the cautionary note about TD 16. Those of us who are lucky to live here know that these storms can change paths, so prayers, preparations and frequent monitoring can make all the difference.

    Liked by 1 person

    • georgiafl says:

      It’s been blessedly breezy here in the panhandle – a welcome change from the heavy humidity of Summer. We call NFL/SGA the Tropic of Humidity.

      Liked by 3 people

    • Laura says:

      Please send all unwanted rain to central Texas! We’re dry as a popcorn fart (well, we had a bit of rain a week or so ago, but it’s pretty much gone now).

      Like

      • georgiafl says:

        During Harvey, somebody suggested excess water pipelines to drought areas. Houston would be delighted to share some H20!

        Like

  24. i have to say, we’ve really been hit hard by all these Hurricanes , this has been one hell of a year, and the season is only HALF OVER.

    Liked by 2 people

  25. maggiemoowho says:

    Just an FYI to all the new Floridians. 🔺Do Not Drain Your🏊🏻‍♀️ Pool🔺 We had friends that started to drain theirs the day before Irma(first Hurricane for them), thank God we were able to stop them. Last thing anyone needs is their pool popping out of the ground because it was drained.

    Liked by 5 people

  26. jackphatz says:

    Now, all you ‘rain hogs’ down south can just say “no thanks” and send some of that water up our way in Ohio. We’re pretty dry again, ugly fall colors again this year.

    Liked by 1 person

  27. Martin says:

    Aw, crap. Here we go again. SoGaNoFla gets it again. Leftovers from Irma will come in handy.

    Like

  28. Lourdes says:

    Here in Tallahassee, we’re just getting our yard debris picked up from the last hurricane. We have a whole house generator, so we’re very fortunate. But, our biggest problem is all the beautiful trees. We live In the country and have several huge pines close by. My husband was just telling me he wants to take down the ones closest to our house soon. It won’t be soon enough.

    Like

    • georgiafl says:

      If they are long leaf pines, they are much less likely to fall because of the long single tap root.

      Loblollies and slash are the most vulnerable for some reason. If they are healthy, pines will stand up to storms better than those with disease, rot or bugs.

      Hermine helped prune the trees around Tallahassee last year, so that Irma didn’t do as much damage this year. Last year, the city hauled 3000+ loads of limbs and logs.

      Like

    • bellamoonda says:

      Wow, your lucky. My neighborhood in Tally still has yard debris lining the streets. Lake Jackson.

      Liked by 1 person

    • liberty, not license says:

      Off topic a bit, but we are looking for a whole house generator. Do you like what you have? If so, would you mind mentioning the brand name/model number? Thanks!

      Like

  29. Founding Fathers Fan says:

    Hurricanes are linked to sunspot cycles.

    Liked by 1 person

    • georgiafl says:

      It was eerie – the sunspot patterns looked exactly like Harvey, Irma and either Katia or Maria.

      They are also questioning the effect of major hurricanes disturbing the faults and causing earthquakes.

      Liked by 2 people

  30. outerlimitsfan says:

    Gulf is very warm with light wind shear aloft. Rapid strengthening could occur. However, the track could take it over the Yucatan which could inhibit the storm so much that it struggles to regain in the Gulf. The system moving fast is a good thing if this happens. Less time to reorganize.

    The GFS model is very unimpressive at the moment. Weak tropical storm hitting Gulf coast. Hurricane models are more alarming though and show at least some Cat 1 hurricane.

    Like

  31. dayallaxeded says:

    Latest has “Nate” coming ashore between Lafayette & Houma, LA, then straight up to BR. Not good! Way too close for comfort! https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201716_model.gif

    Like

  32. Pam says:

    Like

  33. czarowniczy says:

    Well New Orleans has 3 out of the 6 antique generators used to power the pumps up and functional, ditto with the pumps themselves, 108 out of 120 running. Mayor’s office and City Hall are working overtime to deal with the excuses that will be offered if this thing comes close enough to grace the city with even moderately heavy rains.
    We can remove statues but can’t seem to maintain basic public services, Democratic rule at its best.

    Like

  34. Pam says:


    http://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/images/AL16_2017100412_ECENS.png?35489094

    Like

  35. smiley says:

    from SWFL…VERY squally here…wind gusts 30+….rain !

    there is a tropical wave pushing thru south Florida from Bahamas…picking up today thru Sunday…lots of rain (again !) and very windy gusts.

    this WAVE will impact the direction of Nate/16…if the WAVE moves fast, Nate will most likely head more west.

    or…if this WAVE moves slowly, Nate/16 will head more eastwardly.

    GFS & EURO still battling each other over this direction.

    mike’s weather page is pretty good…that’s his FB comment (link)

    we are swamped here in SWFL.

    still mountains of ugly massive debris everywhere from Irma…big problems with debris removal contractors…price gouging, for one….total mess in Collier Co.

    Liked by 1 person

  36. Dave G says:

    Costa rica getting hammered with flooding

    Like

  37. Pam says:

    Like

  38. Pam says:

    Liked by 1 person

  39. Pam says:

    Liked by 1 person

  40. Pam says:

    Liked by 1 person

  41. georgiafl says:

    Storm passing over FL Peninsula could also develop according to Big Joe Bastardi, Trump supporter and ‘climate (hoax) denier’ extraordinaire.

    Like

  42. georgiafl says:

    Hopeful signs of Nate weakening before landfall on GFS computer runs:

    Like

  43. Pam says:



    Like

  44. georgiafl says:

    Uh-Oh – there’s also a healthy looking system in the Atlantic off the coast of Africa.

    Like

  45. Pam says:

    Like

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