5:00pm Hurricane Irma Advisory – Drops to Cat2 Strength…

My apologies to those who have written complaining that CTH is not providing the comprehensive coverage of political news.  Unfortunately, home base for all current research consists of three duffel bags, a laptop, generator and a well suited 4×4; loaded with power tools, emergency kits and assorted roughneck supplies.

I will make every effort to return to political research and analysis – as soon as current logistics, community safety and overall concerns with safety/instability are abated.

Fortunately Hurricane Irma is weakening rapidly as the storm made contact with the Florida peninsular at Marco Island.

At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 81.8 West. Irma is moving toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h), and a north-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected by tonight, with that motion continuing through Monday. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should move near or over the west coast of the Florida Peninsula through Monday morning. Irma should then move inland over northern Florida and southwestern Georgia Monday afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Although weakening is forecast, Irma is expected to remain a hurricane at least through Monday morning.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km). A mesonet site at Naples Municipal Airport recently reported a sustained wind of 88 mph (142 km/h) with a gust to 135 mph (217 km/h) while in the northern eye-wall of Irma.

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 938 mb (27.70 inches). A pressure of 937 mb (27.67 inches) was measured by a storm spotter on Marco Island while in Irma’s eye.  (more)

STORM SURGE BEGINS AT 6:30pm in Naples

Everglades City



This entry was posted in Hurricane Irma, media bias, Uncategorized, Weather Events. Bookmark the permalink.

606 Responses to 5:00pm Hurricane Irma Advisory – Drops to Cat2 Strength…

  1. Mist'ears Mom says:

    Yes Sundance staying safe is more important than politics any day! Irma is now according to Faux news a “POWERFUL” cat 2 … and expected to downgrade further to a cat 1. While that is good news and fortunate for those north FLA- storm surges and damages are still a problem. People need to be aware and keep vigilant-
    The pundits have played this bigly for maximum climate change points.
    Grateful it wasn’t as bad as it could have been – it will be presented by the idiots on tee vee in the most disaster depicted light to back up their climate change/global warming hysteria.
    Carry on Floridians – America is behind you.

    Liked by 16 people

    • Like the guy on MSNBC this past Thursday who made the claim that:”meterologist are failing to consider that because of climate change, the oceans are now 3 to 4 feet higher than when hurricane Andrew passed through”

      You mean that hysteria? 🙂

      Liked by 11 people

    • Yes, I was talking to someone today who referenced The Economist, and said he read in that publication that the temperature of the oceans had risen -since thee 1970’s and that there have been more hurricanes since then than in prior ages. …thereby alluding to global warming and climate change. …


  2. youme says:

    Wow… talk about good window installation

    Liked by 12 people

  3. nwtex says:

    Liked by 3 people

  4. MIKE says:

    No complaints here. That stuff can wait . More concerned about people’s lives and safety. Re-upped my prayers this morning for all to safely pull through. Take care of #1 we’re here for support. Hang tough you all

    Liked by 18 people

    • joanfoster says:

      Absolutely Mike. Sundance owes no one an apology. His reporting on the current status of Irma has been excellent and that’s what we need to focus upon. Great work and great reporting. Shame on those who complained.

      Liked by 4 people

  5. nwtex says:

    Liked by 4 people

  6. ALEX says:

    Just listening to the Channel 2 news linked above and he said at this moment the storm surge is only one foot in Naples as the water comes back in……They had said it could go nine feet, but he’s saying so far that if this holds its excellent news….

    Liked by 14 people

  7. NHVoter says:

    Liked by 6 people

  8. indiamaria2020 says:

    Hang tough out there Sundance. Boy oh boy do we wish and pray you and loved ones well. Sounds like you are helping lots of folks at peril to yourself. We worry, but we admire as well.

    Liked by 14 people

    • Sayit2016 says:

      Anyone complaining that Sundance is not sending in reports as quickly as they want needs to be smacked… repeatedly. Seriously people….. This man breaks his pick everyday to being us the information he does….just say THANK YOU and pray for his safety. He will be back as soon as he is able to.

      Liked by 7 people

  9. redtreesquirrel says:

    Let’s remember to thank God for steering this hurricane away and allowing it to weaken. It could have been a lot worse. Hallelujah.

    Liked by 25 people

  10. tony says:

    here in Trinity Fl, north of Clearwater, the rain has picked up and the wind might be gusts of 25mph. i drained about 8″ of water from my pool yesterday and it almost filled back up now. sucks its going to be dark when the eye gets here. i hope that i have power then. on a side note, the local chinese food joint was open today and we got lunch and dinner. they had to make 10k today.

    Liked by 20 people

  11. WonkoTheSane says:

    Wow, I have a friend who just moved to Cape Coral, about 40 miles north of Naples. He and his wife were going to Hunter down and stay, but were told they had to evacuate yesterday. I’m glad they got out. Out looks like CC took a direct hit.

    Liked by 5 people

  12. patrickhenrycensored says:

    Until further notice; all complaints will be referred to the 400 lb gorilla in the kissing booth.

    Liked by 33 people

    • duchess01 says:

      Good One, patrick – knew I could count on you in the Complaint Department –

      Better than taking them out back, working them over, and straightening them out – I’d say –

      As far as you, Sundance – you are our ‘Hero-in-the-Hurricane’! We are keeping the home fires burning until you return home safe and sound – so please – don’t worry about us – Mkay? Most of us have been praying so hard – we have blisters on our knees!

      Liked by 14 people

    • Fe says:


      Liked by 5 people

    • joninmd22 says:

      Actually refer them to me at 1 800 EAT-Sh*t. I’ll take it from there.

      Liked by 8 people

  13. Howie says:

    The west wind in Florida bay…shallow. blew the warm 88 degree water out to sea and the cooler 80 degree water under the thermocline did what is called upwelling. That knocked her out the she could no longer make a west of north course out in to the deeper Gulf. I was hopeng for Cape Sable but cape Romano will do. Now she over land and will die. She never made the Gulf of Mexico. Never rounded Key west. Whew…she ain’t worst case….and that worst case was sure on the table.

    Liked by 30 people

  14. youme says:

    Gee…looters arriving in late model vehicles

    Liked by 5 people

  15. MfM says:

    Sundance your Trump daily thread and the other daily thread are fine for political discussions. Right now many of us are focusing on the hurricane.

    It will be interesting how the looting I’m hearing about is handled. Lots of talk about National Guard being mobilized from all over the country.

    Liked by 13 people

  16. coltlending says:

    Geez, would love to know who the rat complainers are.

    Gee, probably UniRats.

    There’s no way we can repay you for all the work you have done.

    You do what you need to do.

    And, Thank You Sundance..

    Liked by 19 people

  17. Jimmy Jack says:

    SHAME SHAME SHAME on anyone here who is complaining about a lack of comprehensive coverage of political news or anything else for that matter.

    I for one am thankful for anything Sundance ever does on a daily basis, much less during a catastrophe.

    Thank you Sundance and God protect you always.

    Liked by 27 people

    • Cuppa Covfefe says:

      Yep. Anyone who complains should get some time up close with a soggy beach…

      Sundance, GOD BLESS you and yours. You and your website provide a wealth of information that is available nowhere else, and provide blessings and encouragement, especially for those of us who live in the, erm, liberal outlands.

      In these times, take care of you and yours. The politics and the swamp can certainly wait. (Goodness knows, it would be neat to see the swamp sucked up into a Cat5 and deposited far, far away.) (Or maybe Cat6y or 7, unshielded).

      Just stay dry, stay high and dry (OK, you know that for sure), stay safe, and stay saved. GOD Bless you and thanks for this site.

      Also GOD Bless all the treepers. You all are really a blessing (especially to someone who is surrounded by the European swamp). Please keep a (blush) reinforced branch or twig open…

      Liked by 2 people

  18. bkrg2 says:

    don’t worry about the political analysis – SAFETY FIRST!

    Liked by 10 people

  19. NvMtnOldMan says:

    Will the kooks now blame Trump for Irma going down to a 2?? I doubt it.

    Liked by 8 people

  20. Lauren says:

    No apologies necessary for the lack of political news.
    Thank you for updating the site with the latest/greatest on Irma. Stay safe and God bless. :o)
    -Lauren in Cali (Where it’s hotter than heck…)

    Liked by 9 people

  21. Howie says:

    I haz been busy with the storm 100%, what is this about complainers?

    Liked by 11 people

  22. NHVoter says:

    Liked by 9 people

  23. mazziflol says:

    For now cape coral seems to spared.

    Liked by 9 people

  24. Liked by 16 people

  25. TreeClimber says:

    Nobody cares about politics right now, Sundance, you be safe and those you’re helping.

    Liked by 9 people

  26. Sundance, we love you and are so thrilled that you are keeping up posted. That’s just miraculous! Those complaining are the kind of readers you and we do not need. Usually complainers are takers, only post negative crap and do not donate to the cause.

    Keep your head up Sundance and stay safe, job number one. With out you, who will rescue others! I learned that from the flight attendant. Put your own mask on first, then help others.

    So while reading and watching this disaster unfold I took to cleaning out the garage. Ugh! There is truck loads of goods that the Red Cross or goodwill can use. Feeling very fortunate that I have not lost it all by mother nature, it makes it much easier to give it away by choice. I get a cleaned out garage too😀.

    Liked by 12 people

  27. magagirl says:

    Sundance, I’m glad you are safe. We pray for you and your family…and all Floridians. First things first, take care of yourself and your loved ones. We appreciate all you do for us through your amazing web, the CTH! We can’t complaint about anything, life and safety comes before anything. We love you and we ask God to keep his hands protecting Florida. 🙏

    Liked by 10 people

  28. sundance says:

    Communicating via generator, and hot spot option. Sat Phones are on standby.

    While the wind damage is under control. That’s not our issue. No-one will breathe well until the overnight storm surge can be evaluated. It’s really bad in Everglades City, and working toward the north.

    Liked by 35 people

  29. Wink says:

    Sundance, just hearing from you is wonderful. Praying for safety for your whole family.

    Liked by 9 people

  30. No apologies necessary Sundance. Stay safe.

    Liked by 8 people

  31. StuckInBlue says:

    We pray that people everywhere ask how they can help family, friends, neighbors and strangers, and forget their petty hungers.

    Liked by 6 people

  32. redtreesquirrel says:

    I live in NC and don’t know much about hurricanes. Never been in one. I will say this – Florida is exciting. And I mean that in a good way. 😉

    Liked by 4 people

    • fuzzi says:

      redtreesquirrel, I’ve been through a few (Gloria, Belle, Hugo, Irene), nothing as big as Irma, though. Video doesn’t convey how scary it is. I was watching Steve Lookner on Right Side Broadcasting for most of the day, and some of the livestreaming was amazing, and by amateurs!

      Liked by 3 people

  33. Jenny R. says:

    Sometimes it’s nice to take a break from political topics — maybe some people should go out and enjoy the nice weather much of the country is getting right now…and be grateful.
    Although I know some folks in IN that could certainly use some rain (they have not had a fortunate year rainfall-wise and their pastures are crisp, their wells are low) — Irma could be a nice girl and spare FL a bit, send it up north.
    Just no tornados please.

    Liked by 4 people

  34. missmarple2 says:

    Sundance is doing what President Trump directed his cabinet to do.


    We will keep the home fires burning here, Sundance. You take care of yourself and your family! Prayers for all of you!

    Liked by 7 people

  35. Pam says:

    LOCATION…26.7N 81.7W


  36. sundance says:

    Fort Myers Beach (Estero Island) and the coastal area south of the mouth of the river (Punta Rassa) is going to be underwater by the time high tide is reached tonight -> tomorrow.

    Low tide tonight 10:08pm Then comes the trouble. Six Hours of inbound tide w/ winds from the gulf pushing inland through 04:31am tomorrow.


    Watch this area closely. Media hasn’t prepared community for this. It’s high on our storm surge priority list for water vehicle recovery/rescue. This was one of the Irma commonalities with hurricane Donna allowing us to prep and stage in advance.

    Whatever, and whoever, is still ok by 5:00am, will be OK.

    5:00am is when the area can exhale.

    Liked by 21 people

    • ladyliberty11 says:

      Thank you so much, Sundance. You are simply awesome and the best. Do not know what would have done without you this past election and two years. Praise to the Lord that He blessed us with you to and that, with the grace of the Lord, we found you. Simply could not have made it through everything, including this storm and so many more, without you and your superb analysis. When do you sleep?

      Liked by 3 people

    • Grace Anne says:

      Continue to pray miracles tonight over Florida. Miracles over the high tide tonight. Your plans are not our plans and your Glory will be revealed. I pray safety, peace and comfort for all in the darkness tonight. May Hope be a life line. Blessings to all.

      Liked by 3 people

  37. Howie says:

    DDD Report….2000 hrs……I haz had two power outs and may not hazpower much longer but no worries….jus a regular hurricane. If power go down good on all and it ain’t The End of the World…..Whew!

    Liked by 8 people

  38. lokiscout says:

    Stay safe SD. Complainers gotta complain. My daughter lived in Pembroke Pines for about 10 years sure glad she is out of there right about now. Stay safe, my friend, we can catch up on the politics once you are safe and dried out.

    Just got a weather alert for flash flooding on the Cal Central Coast! Wow! Doesn’t affect me. Mostly for an area that burned earlier in the year 20 to 30 miles away.

    It’s Global Warming I tell you! Global Warming! /SARC!!

    Liked by 6 people

  39. roxiellTX says:

    Why would anyone complain? To me, your main goal was to make it through the storm and to help as many other people as possible.

    Liked by 4 people

  40. no-nonsense-nancy says:

    Sundance, you are a hero. Don’t pay attention to jerks. Your coverage and your service to those in need is to be commended! i thank God that you are safe.

    Liked by 4 people

  41. HM says:

    “My apologies to those who have written complaining that CTH is not providing the comprehensive coverage of political news.”
    It was kind and respectful of sundance to apologize, but it was not necessary IMO. sd’s explanation which also was unnecessary should satisfy any reasonable complainer and it shows that he does much more for his country than just write meaningful informative articles. I doubt that any of the people complaining would do so if they or a relative was in the track of the storm. If a temporary reduction of political news is more important than knowing if your house was blown or washed away or those of millions of your countrymen and women etc. then you have a serious addiction to political news.

    Liked by 5 people

  42. average Joe says:

    Prayers for the Sunshine, Sundance State.

    Liked by 3 people

  43. ALEX says:

    Looks like a little nudge east from the downward(gold) pressure…

    Liked by 4 people

  44. Hopeful says:

    Sundance, you are our inspiration. Thank you for all you have done for us. God is holding you and yours close. Why all of us are surprised at the audacity of some, surprises me!

    Liked by 1 person

  45. Michelle says:

    Nothing to complain about when first of all, it’s Sunday and secondly, Sundance is in the middle of a hurricane!

    Liked by 2 people

  46. Sam says:

    Hard to believe people are complaining about Sundance’s lack of political analysis today when he’s doing important CERT work for people affected by Hurricane Irma. And when he told everyone yesterday he would be in sporadically due to his CERT committment. Ah well, there are a few like that in every crowd.

    I appreciate the hurricane updates and pray that people in the hurricanes path will be spared the worst damage. And I appreciate SD’s updates and pray for his continued safety and that of his fellow responders.

    Liked by 1 person

  47. Steven says:

    Sundance, I am disappointed with those who complained. I love politics as the next person, and your contributions greatly satisfy my urges for anything political. But, there is nothing more important than keeping yourself safe. Please take as much time as you need to recover from Irma and help those around you. If there is anything we can do for you related to this site, just ask. I believe we have enough smart treepers who can share their thoughts in Open Forum to keep us busy for a while. So take care! We can bear it out as you have to.

    Liked by 2 people

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