Hurricane Irma Update – South Florida, Both Coasts, Pay Close Attention…

The latest update from the national hurricane center lists Hurricane Irma as a strong category 4 storm with wind speeds of 150 MPH.  However, strengthening is anticipated and Cat 5 scale begins at 157 MPH.   At 5:00am the eye was located at latitude 16.6 North,
longitude 56.4 West, moving West at 13 MPH. –ADVISORY HERE

Due to the severity of this storm and the uncertain forecast track, all Florida Residents South of I-4 on both coasts should be checking every update and begin verification of their  Hurricane supplies, hurricane plan and be paying close attention to local officials.

There is no cause for immediate alarm, and the storm’s path is likely to change and become more certain in the next 36/48 hours.  However, most models and forecasters are predicting a sharp turn to the right (North) sometime during the life of this storm; and with that in mind the timing of that turn will be critical for Florida residents.

If the storm does not turn North until later in the week, Irma could move up the East Coast (I-95 area), the center of the state, or the West coast (I-75 area).

This video highlights a potential path:

If anything like that path is actually the end forecast direction of a Cat 4 or Cat 5 storm, the difference between 10 to 20 miles east or west will be extremely important.  I have led numerous Hurricane recovery teams, within multiple hurricane areas; this one is concerning.

Circulation is counterclockwise and Florida is a Peninsular with width of 90 to 120 miles in the South.

  • If the storm tracks North on the East Coast of Florida (I-95) the top of the storm will bring the surge, and the backside will push the outflow.
  • If the storm tracks North on the West Coast of Florida (I-75) the top of the storm will bring wind toward offshore, but the back side will bring in a massive storm surge from the shallow coastal Gulf of Mexico.
  • If the storm tracks North through the center of the state, both coasts will see coastal storm surges albeit with lesser severity.

Both SW (gulf side) and SE (Atlantic side) Florida coasts have large population centers and thankfully neither coast has seen a lengthwise hurricane path in many decades.  The worst case scenarios for Hurricane impact are within those possibilities.

♦Hurricane Andrew was a well-known catastrophic Cat 5 storm that hit the Homestead area South of Miami-Dade in 1992.  However, that storm –  as terrible as it was – was from East to West crossing the state and exiting in the Gulf of Mexico.  Florida has not had a South to North full impact hurricane in your lifetime.

♦Hurricane Charley was a lesser known strong Cat 4 storm (150 MPH) which tracked into the Gulf of Mexico and crossed the state from West to East in 2004.  Charley made initial impact through Upper Captiva Island (actually splitting the island in two) and hitting the mainland around Port Charlotte.  However, despite it’s Cat4 power Charley was a tight and fast moving hurricane and the damage was severe but narrow in path.

I’m providing those two references to highlight that South Florida has not had a South to North path hurricane in multiple decades.  There were probably less than two million residents in Florida the last time it happened; now there’s approximately 21 million.

For our friends in the Westward Keys and Southern Gulf Side (South West Florida), please pay particular attention to this current storms path.  Unlike the Eastern coast of Florida the South West coast (Gulf Side) is primarily made up of recently populated “shallow water” Gulf barrier Islands.  A Category 5 storm that skirts the Western coast of Florida, from Ten Thousand Islands Northward to Sarasota, and maintains inflow energy from the Gulf of Mexico, is a topography changing event.

Repeat: “A topography changing event.”

Shallow Water Coastal Vulnerability

In a scenario where Cat 5 Irma continues West or Northwest (current track), then takes a sharp right turn, Northward up the Southwest coast of Florida – before turning Northeast – the coastal vulnerabilities are almost too staggering to contemplate.

Beginning in the area of Everglades City and Ten Thousand Islands; northward through Marco Island, Naples Beach, Bonita Beach, Fort Myers Beach, Estero Island, Sanibel Island, Captiva Island, Upper Captiva Island, Useppa Island, The Caloosahatchee River inlet, Pine Island, Cape Coral, Bokeelia, Matlacha, Boca Grande as far North as Siesta Key and into the intracoastal waterway would be almost unfathomable in the scale of how the coastal topography would change.

These Islands, while they may not be familiarly referenced as “barrier islands”, simply because decades have past and populations have developed them, are exactly that “Barrier Islands”.  These shallow water gulf areas along the coast have not had severe storm surge disturbances for 60+ years.

The tenuous coastal and barrier island ‘ground‘ is crushed shell and sand, and their entire topography is subject to change as the shallow and severely churned gulf waters carry in sand/silt and excavate the same.

Just like 2004’s Hurricane Charley split an entire island in less than 15 minutes, so too could entire coastal communities be split or covered in sand within a few hours. Bridges rising from mainland on one side could disappear into the new coastal Gulf of Mexico on the other, with the barrier island completely removed.   Nature is a powerful force.

If you live in South Florida, please pay attention to Irma’s path.  There are millions of people in these coastal communities and only two basic Northern Interstates available for evacuation: I-75 (West Coast) and I-95 (East Coast).

If you live in South Florida West of I-75 or East of I-95, this might be the first storm you should consider *NOT* trying to ride out.

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236 Responses to Hurricane Irma Update – South Florida, Both Coasts, Pay Close Attention…

  1. georgiafl says:

    SF Water Management has a group of spaghetti models that is updated quite frequently:

    https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_11

    About: https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots.html

    Like

  2. bitterlyclinging says:

    The islands of St Kitts-Nevis also lie in the path of Hurricane Irma. St Kitts has, on its territory, a US accredited school of veterinary medicine, comprised of mostly US residents who spend 7 semesters on the island, then a clinical year at a US college of veterinary medicine. There were 196 students enrolled in the first semester my daughter attended. The islands terrain on the side the hurricane will approach from resembles very much, Tacloban, Leyte, if you remember Hurricane Iniki in the Phillipines..

    Liked by 2 people

  3. All the volunteer rescue groups are also focused on Irma, they have mentioned it for the past week. They try to get “ahead of the water”. You can get the Zello app and get on their Facebook groups to tell them where rescues are needed. Its a great thing to follow if you find yourself dry and with power during and immediately after the storm. They are there before anyone else.
    http://cajunrelief.org/water-rescues-done-now-texas-navy/https://zello.com

    Liked by 1 person

  4. Prettyplease says:

    Wow, where are the weather mages when ya need ’em?

    Like

  5. Pam says:

    Like

  6. Pam says:

    Like

  7. outerlimitsfan says:

    Amazing that the NHC keeps this a Cat 5 for several days. It’s damn hard for a hurricane to maintain this intensity for a long period of time. Unfortunately wind shear is nonexistent pretty much and water temps are very warm. The only thing that might weaken it some in next day or two is likely an eye replacement cycle.

    If it does make it into the Gulf, the good news would be that the area is a bit less favorable and has some moderate wind shear aloft which in theory should weaken it some. Best case for the U S is it goes over Hispaniola and Cuba which would weaken it quite a bit.

    People in NC and SC are not quite out of the woods yet either. The ensemble model spreads show everything from it going into the Gulf to turning north and hitting the SE coast.

    Btw, one or two show it curving OTS and barely missing. The odds of that are super slim, but that would be wonderful.

    Liked by 3 people

  8. Pam says:

    Liked by 2 people

  9. Pam says:

    Liked by 2 people

  10. Bunny says:

    I am so very nervous, here in Tampa. So afraid I will have to evacuate alone. Military hasn’t issued any info to families, especially the families of loved ones that are on standby to keep stuff running in other locations. So very frustrating that they never seem to have a plan, we’ve lived here for a few years now and these questions are answered with a shrug of the shoulders.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Weather Watcher says:

      Praying for you Bunny. Be safe. Contact your neighbors or local church….they will help you.

      Liked by 3 people

    • Daniel says:

      Just do it. Collect your favorite stuff, secure anything else you can and expect there will be some reimbursements granted to you by various parties. You need to be safe and getting ahead of the game is critical to being able to exit the area safely. Frankly, I’d rent a u-haul with a tow-dolly to bring your car along with you. Do it up right and show the world the best way to do it.

      Liked by 1 person

    • alligatriot says:

      Bunny, you have plenty of resources available. Please take some time as soon as you have a chance to review the following links. There is a lot of information here. Make sure you have phone numbers of relatives or friends you can contact if you need to. On the MacDill AFB link (#2 below) there is an 855 number for USCENTCOM Emergency Management Information. Do not hesitate to use it if you have ANY questions!!

      1. http://www.floridadisaster.org/index.asp
      I highly encourage you to visit the above link often for current official information. Also, on the home page, on the left hand side, please click the link “Get A Plan”. It only takes a few minutes to complete and online disaster plan and if nothing else will give you a bit of confidence that you’re taking positive steps for your own well-being.

      2. http://www.centcom.mil/VISITORS-AND-PERSONNEL/EMERGENCY-PREPAREDNESS/
      This is US Central Command’s Emergency Preparedness site and provides a lot of pertinent information. There are actually two toll-free phone numbers about half-way down the page. USE THEM if you are at all unsure about what your situation is. (It sounds as if you may be a military spouse? If so, talk to your spouse to express your concerns and get them to try and find answers for both of you.)

      Please talk to a neighbor, co-worker, friend, supervisor and voice any concerns you have about what will happen.

      The more informed you are, the quicker that feeling of panic will lessen.

      After reviewing the above, if you have ANY questions or concerns, post them here. I will try to check here several times a day until the storm passes. If I don’t see a post, there are other alert Treepers who will jump in and try to help.

      Take care, educate yourself, talk to someone who can answer your concerns.

      Like

      • Bunny says:

        Thank you everyone. So very very much.
        I have good news, my husband won’t be heading out for military commitments. He will be here with me, so I won’t be alone to evacuate. A huge weight off my shoulders, prayers answered! We’ve been prepping all day, bags packed, laundry going, food gathered, plenty of water (which we keep hoarded year round) Doggie suitcase packed, a good Yeti cooler ready to be filled. All batteries are in the walls charging as we speak. Important paperwork has been gathered, gun and ammo cases ready. We have two evacuation plans if needed. Just have to get through tomorrow (my husband is on shift) and then we are free to stay or go.

        I am still praying for this storm, and everyone possible in its path. I’m thankful our house is up on risers. It won’t be so hard to drive away and leave it all. Live on base so looting isn’t a problem.

        Again, thank you all so much. The Treehouse is the best. Kindest most thoughtful people.

        Please keep us all in your prayers!

        Liked by 2 people

    • Oldschool says:

      Make your own plan Bunny. If you have someplace safe to go, just calmly and safely go. Plenty of time to do that. Be well.

      Like

  11. georgiafl says:

    TX hasn’t lost its great sense of humor!

    Liked by 8 people

    • Bunny says:

      I don’t know how to like photos so I’ll leave a comment.

      This picture makes me LOL. Anyone in the military knows that this is what your curb looks like when you PCS. So much stuff gets dumped when you’re trying to “make weight” for your household goods shipment. Definitely yard of the month material!

      Liked by 2 people

      • georgiafl says:

        Salutes! Hats off to Military Wives! Have to clean/paint/leave housing ready for inspection. Good thing you have each other for support!

        Like

  12. Pam says:

    btw, Jose has formed in the Atlantic, but I have this feeling based on the track that it may not end up being a threat to the U S.

    Like

  13. Pam says:

    Liked by 1 person

  14. Pam says:

    Liked by 1 person

  15. JimBob says:

    I remember 12 years ago…. Katrina was a Cat 2, heading for landfall east of Pensacola, FL…. until Friday afternoon. The storm went west of where the models first predicted, and Monday morning I had 14-ft of water in my yard on the north shore of Bay Saint Louis, MS.
    This week I have watched as the model-calculated paths for Irma shift from the open Atlantic to the west coast of Florida.
    Not wishing this storm on ANYONE!
    We ALL -Florida, AL, MS, LA, TX- need to be thinking about what we will do if the storm heads our way!

    Where is ALGORE?
    We need him to come to South Florida and give a good Sermon on GloBull Warming and Hurricanes!
    If the past pattern holds, the Gore Effect will kick in, and that storm will Dissipate and Go Sway!
    /s

    Liked by 4 people

  16. JimBob says:

    “Sway” should be “Away”!
    Fat Fingers!

    Liked by 3 people

  17. NYGuy54 says:

    OK so my buddy in Orlando said the Costco nearby is completely out of water and generators by 11 a.m.

    Like

    • amwick says:

      Here in the northern tippy top of GA they were loading generators and water on pallets at our Home Depot. I overheard someone say they are heading to Florida.. We officially called and told our neighbors in Myrtle Beach, SC that they are welcome here with their daughter and two grandsons. They don’t know what’s happening in SC… everyone is stressed…

      Liked by 1 person

  18. tgmccoy says:

    One of the things big Hurricanes do is they suck heat out of the ocean surface, meaning they take away some of the fuel for future hurricanes. the other thing is if Irma heads over Hispanola and Cuba the mountians there will knock out some energy….
    Be aware but keep praying..

    Like

  19. Paul Killinger says:

    For anyone who thinks these potential outcomes from a Cat 4-5 Hurricane tracking through or skirting Florida are farfetched, consider this…

    In the late 1800’s, before they named such killer storms, one such hurricane moving East to West brushed
    southernmost Louisiana in late August. At that time there existed an upscale resort some 80 miles South of New Orleans known as Wine Island immediately off the mainland, where hundreds of summer cottages and a fancy stone hotel were crammed with well-to-do vacationers.

    A couple of days later when no one had heard from the island’s frolickers, officials went to investigate. To their horror they found no trace of life, no homes, no hotel, and a sandy strip where Wine Island had stood a few days earlier. Everything was simply GONE!

    Liked by 2 people

  20. NYGuy54 says:

    Jose right behind Irma

    Like

  21. TheLastDemocrat says:

    Baro at 929.

    Like

  22. Daniel says:

    Hurricane Wilma is the hurricane to beat. Some people are creating hyperbole with claims of “Category 6” which doesn’t (yet) exist. Hurricane Allen had sustained winds of 190MPH making it the fastest hurricane in recorded US history. Florida weather is cooling off and that will sap some of the power as will Irma’s current brush over various islands. It is category 5 and if there were a 6th category, it would be reaching that but it really hasn’t beaten Wilma just yet.

    People really want this to be the “best” (worst) thing ever. I get why the news does it, but people seem to want it too.

    People who live on the coast should have created a plan from the first days they were even considering moving to the coast. This is not the first hurricane and will not be the last. Having grown up with tornadoes in tornado alley, I get the fear though I’ve gotten over it. I know the risks. I’m mentally and emotionally prepared for it. If I lived in a coastal area, I would own a trailer and a dolly and locking cabinets which can be moved in a moment’s notice. Why would I do that? Today, it would seem pretty obvious. Tomorrow, it seems to be not so obvious for the majority of people who are simply not prepared.

    Intelligence is defined in many ways, but it is far easier to define in behavior such as deferred gratification. Can you save and prepare for a rainy day? Then you’re probably an intelligent person. If you decide decorating your car with bling or having giant TVs is more important? Well, there you go. Conservatives generally get this so I know I’m preaching to the choir.

    And there’s a LOT of talk on this subject so that means people should be preparing now. Are they? Why not?

    Like

  23. TheLastDemocrat says:

    This is a big storm, and must be taken seriously.

    But we also have to be aware of the hype and fear-mongering of the weather media and NOAA.

    As with Harvey, and other storms, they tell us this has winds of 150MPH. So, what we imagine is a 150MPH wind blowing our windows out, and blowing debris across our neighborhoods.

    But as far as we know, there are no 150MPH winds at street level. Or, three stories up. Right now, there are no weather buoys providing wind speeds for the main, most, strong, part of this storm.

    As Irma goes farther west, we can then look at the NOAA weather buoys and see actual surface-level wind speeds.

    At this site, it is easy for yourself to see how fast the surface, 10-meter-high, winds are: gusts and sustained winds. In knots, but It is easy to find knots-to-MPH translaters on the interweb.

    The weather people are telling you winds speeds high above the surface. Those don’t blow in your windows or fly corrogated aluminum around your neighborhood.

    They said Harvey had 140MPH sustained winds, but Rockport, hit the hardest, did not get hit by 140mph winds. They got hit by 100mph winds. Still terrible, but myself I would prefer to get hit by 100mph versus 140mph winds.

    This is what we need to base our degree of panic upon: surface wind speeds. Also, the path, and how quickly or slowly the storm will pass any of us by. Obviously, as with Harvey, the longer the storm lingers in one place, the more water will fall on that place.

    Liked by 2 people

  24. georgiafl says:

    All three storms – live!

    Liked by 4 people

  25. There would probably be fluctuations in intensity, especially if it can avoid too much interaction with Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and Cuba. It will be a large hurricane, so some interaction is likely even if it tracks somewhat farther to the north than the NHC’s forecast track.

    The Leeward Islands should be preparing for a Category 5 hurricane. Florida should be preparing for at least a Category 4 hurricane. Since 1851, all of the major hurricanes that passed within 100 nautical miles of Irma’s 8 am position (16.7°N, 57.7°W) and reached Category 5 status made U.S. landfall as Category 4 storms (Lake Okeechobee Hurricane of 1928, Donna in 1960, and Hugo in 1989). The “Great Miami Hurricane” of 1926 was not yet a major hurricane within 100 nautical miles of Irma’s 8 am position, but it also made landfall as a Category 4 hurricane. The bottom line is that the region through which Irma is passing has very warm SSTs and often conditions that are favorable for developing and sustaining strong hurricanes.

    Finally, all major hurricanes that passed within 150 nautical miles of Irma’s 8 am position made landfall in an area extending from Florida to South Carolina. That climatology is consistent with most of the guidance right now. Moreover, 55% of such hurricanes ultimately made U.S. landfall. The guidance is even more bullish on U.S. landfall than climatology.
    Potentially of concern is the idea that Irma would weaken somewhat (not surprising), but then strengthen just as it nears the Florida Peninsula. Put another way, the possibility of Irma’s becoming the 4th Category 5 hurricane on record to make U.S. landfall since 1851 may be increasing.
    Very impressive
    Based on these data the initial intensity is set at 155 kt for this
    advisory. This makes Irma the strongest hurricane in the Atlantic
    basin outside of the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico in the NHC
    records.
    Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 924.7~926 mb
    Looks like recon measured roughly 160kts SFMR in the NE eyewall… near 185mph. Extrapolated pressure of 923.7… STILL strengthening.

    Latest Hurricane Hunter(s) Flight Data..
    Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
    Transmitted: 5th day of the month at 17:05Z
    Agency: United States Air Force
    Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF99-5309
    Storm Number & Year: 11 in 2017
    Storm Name: Irma (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
    Mission Number: 8
    Observation Number: 21 ( See all messages of this type for this mission. )
    A. Time of Center Fix: 5th day of the month at 16:38:10Z
    B. Center Fix Coordinates: 16°53’N 58°53’W (16.8833N 58.8833W)
    B. Center Fix Location: 197 statute miles (317 km) to the E (95°) from Saint John’s, Antigua and Barbuda.
    C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,440m (8,005ft) at 700mb
    **D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 160kts (~ 184.1mph)**
    E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the NE (54°) of center fix
    **F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 138° at 151kts (From the SE at ~ 173.8mph)**
    G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles) to the NE (54°) of center fix
    H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 926mb (27.35 inHg)
    I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 9°C (48°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,066m (10,059ft)
    J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,052m (10,013ft)
    K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 13°C (55°F)
    K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
    L. Eye Character: Closed
    M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 24 nautical miles (28 statute miles)
    N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
    N. Fix Level: 700mb
    O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
    O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

    Remarks Section:
    Maximum Flight Level Wind: 151kts (~ 173.8mph) which was observed 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles) to the NE (54°) from the flight level center at 16:33:00Z
    Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 148kts (~ 170.3mph) which was observed 16 nautical miles (18 statute miles) to the WNW (299°) from the flight level center at 16:44:30Z
    Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 180° at 4kts (From the S at 5mph)
    Maximum Flight Level Temp: 19°C (66°F) which was observed 7 nautical miles to the ENE (62°) from the flight level center

    Liked by 2 people

  26. “Operation IrmaShield”

    Like

  27. Howie says:

    You can not prepare for a direct hit by a Cat 4 or 5. Best to leave. Pray it turns North and just heads out to sea. It might. If it gets past Andros tp the south. Someone is done no matter what.

    Liked by 2 people

  28. God bless everyone in Irma’s path 2pm update
    185 mph
    REPORTED CONDITIONS
    Tue Sep 5, 2017 2:00PM AST
    CAT5
    IRMA
    Hurricane
    WIND: 185 mph
    PRESSURE:926 mb
    MOVEMENT:
    W at 14 mph

    Like

  29. El Torito says:

    Prayers for all in the path. I am in East Orlando. Went to Lowes this A.M. and bought 15 sheets of 1/2 in plywood and a couple of boxes of tapcons. There was still plenty of stock, but you could feel the anxiety setting in but people were still composed and very decent to each other. In 24 hours it will not be so nice. Tomorrow will cut and drill and hang it all by Fri afternoon to be ready for a Sat/Sun landfall. We have 2 weeks supply of food and water and well stocked on batteries. So if it does march up through the middle of FL, we are as protected as possible.

    Prayers and love and fingers crossed for everyone!

    Liked by 3 people

  30. andyocoregon says:

    Too bad the citizens of the U.S. Virgin Islands do not enjoy the protections of our 2nd Amendment.
    http://dailycaller.com/2017/09/05/virgin-islands-allows-national-guard-to-seize-guns-ammo-ahead-of-hurricane-irma/

    Liked by 1 person

  31. Pam says:

    Liked by 1 person

  32. smiley says:

    from SWFL…even tho this thing has not even hit the Leewards yet, we are seeing a def increase in wind here…more like sudden gusts, then calm, then more gusts..very windy at the moment.

    the latest (an hour ago) local weather report showed the updated EURO model aiming IRMA directly at us here as a Cat 4….”but that could change”…160 mile wind field at this time.

    some schools are closing and we are being urged to evacuate now.

    I’m going to wait a little longer…”but that could change”.

    Liked by 2 people

    • God bless you smiley, been thinking about you a lot!!! Stealing from duchess01 God bless you REAL REAL Good!! Head on a swivel and pack your flipper heels 😉 Love you!

      Like

      • smiley says:

        THANK you so much, AGG…

        Collier Co. here is now giving a presser saying to evacuate now b/c it could be a total mess later w/ people going east, going west, unsure about where the heck this thing is headed…no mandatory evacs issued yet…they’re being really careful not to “over evacuate or under evacuate”…

        SO nerve-wracking…I’ve never evacuated before so I’m kind of spinning in circles but trying to stay focused & calm about it, organizing…boarding up on Thursday, if not sooner.

        BTW…no sandbags available in entire state of Florida since they were all sent to Houston.

        what a mess….heart-pounding.

        thanks for your kind thoughts ❤

        Liked by 1 person

    • JC says:

      Have been praying for you (and others in possible harm’s way) since you first listed concerns a couple of days ago. Please don’t wait too long to skeedaddle; we all want you to be safe and happy, and we need you here.
      Hugs, blessings, courage and peace upon you.

      Liked by 2 people

      • smiley says:

        THANK you, JC…means a lot 🙂

        a friend and I are probably going to evac together but just don’t know where yet…or I might just stay w/ her since she’s on slightly higher elevation and slightly further from the water..I am surrounded by water…lakes, canals, the Bay/Gulf.

        I just don’t want to evac…that can be a total mess.

        Liked by 2 people

        • JC says:

          Oh, I know; sounds awful, all the way around. So sorry you’re going through this. Good to have a friend as your “evac buddy” – may God grant both of you wisdom, peace and smooth goings.

          Too bad I’m so far north (central Colorado), or you could come here. You’re welcome, of course; you’d be driving for days, though, hehe.

          Wish I could send my magic wand, but it’s been on the fritz for years… and years. You will, however, have something much better: my continued prayers and concern. 🤗

          Liked by 1 person

  33. Pam says:

    Liked by 1 person

  34. Pam says:

    Like

  35. Nope says:

    I just want to say that there is technically a third route north–up the turnpike to US-17. It’s probably not the fastest, but it is an additional route.

    And what’s the outlook for the Orlando area??

    Like

  36. FL Rain says:

    It’s gonna be Irma-geddon!

    Like

  37. Pam says:

    Like

  38. G. Combs says:

    Under the circumstances, I think we should all pause a moment in memory of a great man.

    Dr Bill Gray from Colorado State University invented hurricane forecasting. He had his funding cut off by Al Gore in 1993 for refusing to go along with Gore’s global warming politics. Unfortunately he passed away April 19, 2016.

    In Memory

    Liked by 3 people

  39. Dora says:

    I’m not sure this is legal.

    ====

    U.S. Virgin Islands seizing guns, ammo in anticipation of Irma

    http://www.nola.com/outdoors/index.ssf/2017/09/us_virgin_islands_seizing_guns.html

    Like

  40. JAS says:

    When it comes to Hurricanes my saying is “When the going gets tough, the though go on vacation.”

    Prepare all you can, but DO NOT stay in the path of anything stronger that a CAT 1 hurricane. Been there done that and I don’t recommend it at all. It’s very dangerous.

    Like

  41. Jimmy Jack says:

    I encourage anyone in Florida (also GA, SC, & NC) to pay close attention to Sundance and the numerous knowledgeable commenters here. They were right during last’s years threat to FL.

    You do NOT want to rely on the likes of Houston’s Sylvester Turner to determine if you need to evacuate or shelter in place. I am hearing first hand horror stories from people here in Texas who ignored the Governor’s suggestion to evacuate.

    I am praying that Florida is spared. Harvey was so destructive I can’t imagine us trying to rebuild after two even though I know as Americans we can overcome all.

    Liked by 1 person

  42. Ronny says:

    Adios Lani Kai, FMB

    Like

  43. I never really thought of the frigid New England waters as an asset beyond their necessity to the ecosystem here. But with three and possibly four hurricanes to be spinning in the GoM and the Atlantic I now have a deep respect for their ability to sap hurricanes of their power. At least for now.

    Like

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