BOOM – Trump Leads Clinton In ABC/Washington Post Poll, Even With D+8 Poll Sample…

There’s a whole lot of good news and ‘splodey head angst in the latest ABC/Washington Post national poll (full pdf below). The poll sample size of 1005 includes a mix of 33% Democrat, 27% Republican and 35% Independent. Democrats over sampled by eight points, (D+8).

However, even with the sample skew (D+8) Donald Trump still beats Hillary Clinton 46% to 44%, and Trump is crushing Clinton with Independent voters 48% to 35%.

2 candidate trump vs clinton ABC Washington Post

In addition to the overwhelming 13 point polling lead among independent voters, the same poll shows that 20% of Bernie Sanders supporters will vote for Donald Trump.

Also, very optimistically presented in the poll data is the exact percentage of Mitt Romney Voters (Never Trumpers) we predicted back in March that would defect to Team Clinton, 6%.   Conversely, when the race switches from the primary to the General Election 8% of Clinton primary voters will vote Trump.

In essence if Clinton wins the Democrat nomination, the stats show Trump can add the Clinton primary voters (8%) to the Sanders ship-jumpers (20%) and the “registered Democrat voters” voting for Trump is very significant.

abc wapo poll screengrab may 22nd

Click To Enlarge

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone May 16-19, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,005 adults, including 829 registered voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect, for the full sample and registered voters alike. Partisan divisions are 33-25-35 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents, in the full sample, 34-27-33 among registered voters.

Via ABC –  A new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows a close contest in presidential election preferences, with Republicans lining up behind Donald Trump as their party’s presumptive nominee while the continued Democratic race is keeping Hillary Clinton’s side more unsettled.

Greater voter registration among Republicans is one factor: Clinton’s 6-point lead among all adults, 48-42 percent in a general election matchup, switches to essentially a dead heat among registered voters, 46 percent for Trump, 44 percent for Clinton. Regardless, the contest has tightened considerably since March, when Clinton led among registered voters by 9 points.  (read more)

Trump rally illinois 4

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340 Responses to BOOM – Trump Leads Clinton In ABC/Washington Post Poll, Even With D+8 Poll Sample…

  1. 804hokie says:

    I Trump’s victory will be YUUUUUUGE

    Liked by 3 people

  2. Martin says:

    I would like for Trump and his campaign to start mentioning that some of these national polls are oversampling Dems. Trump would have a much bigger lead in some of these polls if it weren’t for this dirty tactic used by the LSM.

    Liked by 5 people

  3. PremAmerica says:

    Please stop this obsession with the Party ID split. More Americans are registered Democrat. By about 7% give or take a percent. So EVERY good poll of REGISTERED VOTERS WILL show about D+7. This poll is D+7 and is quite appropriate for a Registered Voter sample.

    Likely Voter samples (when they do that in the future) will need some guess work. If Republicans turn out BIG or if the Democrat turnout is LOW the Party ID split will narrow. If things remain as they are today, Trump Voters will be far more energized than Hillary Voters.

    We have a real chance to obliterate the Party ID differential with some very hard work.

    But this poll is very scientific and statistically completely valid.

    Please let us not repeat 2012. Back then, so many bloggers on the right made complete asses of themselves by obsessing over Party ID and constantly re-inventing every poll by re-jiggering the Party ID. If I remember correctly, AllahPundit was the biggest ass of them all.

    If you think Party ID on election day will look very different than actual Voter Registration, PROVE IT by working hard to turn out the voters on our side. Obama kicked Republican ass in 2008 and 2012.

    BTW, it is too early now to do Likely Voter polls. It is impossible to make educated guesses of who will turn out. So Registered Voter polls are very appropriate.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Chris Mallory says:

      Actually, the Republicans kicked their own asses by nominating an insane Israel Firster and a Globalist who hates the white working class.

      Liked by 3 people

    • ladypenquin says:

      I understand your statement about registered “D” – but I think there is a much larger group out there who don’t register by party, and sometimes vote, sometimes not. I believe the Independents have been growing in number – taking from both parties. IOW, I believe that those folks, and Independents, actually lean toward Republican numbers vs Democrat numbers.

      Then of course, there is the “Monster Vote” – and that may be the vote I’m thinking of…

      Liked by 1 person

      • ladypenquin says:

        Addendum: I’m thinking that the polling of today has less chance of accuracy than in times past. Too many cell phones and loss of land lines. IMO, cell phone folks aren’t answering those calls for polling. The millennials spend all their time texting, and folks who still have land lines (like me) won’t give a pollster the time of day anymore.

        Liked by 4 people

    • Dan Patterson says:

      Very cogent points and appropriate arguments.
      My take-away from the headline was not that the poll was in error, but that even with the registration imbalance Trump leads with registered voters – an important point at this stage of the cycle but with the election so far in the future, not yet significant to the outcome. The importance of accurate information, and of rational reaction to it, cannot be overstated. Trump has to continue to appeal to his base but also to the voter seeking to correct the present path and return to a secure and healthy nation. Self-delusion will not cause a different reality so working with facts and logical outcomes is very important.

      Additionally, the campaign is nearing the point of providing big-picture differences between the philosophies of the two camps: Trump has made long strides toward Constitutional clarity and a return to Federalism (given the exceedingly poor examples of leadership in that realm over the past 100 years, ANY more returning the nation to a Constitutional construction is welcome) and we should see the outlines of programs returning liberty to the individual and lessening the power of the state. We are already seeing the plans afoot from the opposition to increase the power of the state, decrease the liberty of individual citizens, and continue the move toward a border-less empire. Those differences should be emphasized during the next few weeks.

      Cheers y’all

      Liked by 4 people

    • Eric Kennedy says:

      Good post.

      Historically speaking, in recent years, the election has come down to a few counties in a few battleground states. If that remains the case, this will be a very close election fraught with the danger of voter fraud shenanigans…perhaps even from the GOP. Keep in mind that 40-45 percent of the voting public will vote for Hillary no matter what she says or does. My mom and sister are this way.

      What we don’t really know is how serious other states will be in play? Will New Jersey be in play? Some have argued – including Trump – that New York will be in play. If those two states are, then Hillary is in deep trouble. I’ve seen some posts on this site that say California is in play, but I just can’t see that. But if it is, wow.

      What we do need to do is convince people who have never voted – and who like Trump – to vote. My dad and brother-in-law like Trump, but no matter how much I pestered them, they still did not vote in the primaries. I know two other people who were the same – liked Trump but didn’t vote.

      Regardless, it’s nice to feel good right now, but there will be ups and downs between now and November has the DNC and the media turn up the heat even higher.

      Liked by 5 people

      • shallbe4 says:

        This is an election like no other. Trump has won the nomination with more voters than any candidate in modern memory. He can pick up at least 6 states which Republicans have never considered winning. He is a real man when people of both sexes are making it clear that a Real Man is what is needed in times like this. Political Correctness and Gun Control are big turnoffs to the 2016 voters. Will Hillary cheat — you bet she will — Trump advisors need to keep a sharp eye at the polls to make sure this is an honest election but if it is — Trump will win this for the People and he will win big.

        Like

        • notamemberofanyorganizedpolicital says:

          hey hey hey..Trump has standing.

          Wouldn’t it be so funny if he brought multiple actions against Hillary…cause there are scores of things that make her “run” illegal as Obama’s was…..

          Like

    • Sherlock says:

      Your points are good ones,

      Like

    • AbeinLA says:

      @PremAmerica – I remember those days well. The existence of an alleged “enthusiasm gap” not captured by regular polling was what was going to seal the deal in Romney’s favor. In hindsight, they weren’t being stupid or making asses of themselves unintentionally, they knew darn well that audience size and ad revenue would drop precipitously if they were to speak the plain truth that we had a stinking loser of a candidate who had no chance in hell of winning.

      Like

      • maxx power says:

        That doesn’t track with the research I did post election. I still say with high confidence that in spite of what most think, the Republican turnout was the highest since 1980. I also know without any doubt that without vote flipping, in Ohio & Fla especially, Romney wins.

        Liked by 1 person

        • singtune says:

          If you are talking about 2012~~My Husband& I WROTE in our Choice for Republican President~! We would NOT Vote for Romney~~a Known Globalist~~ to us~! We live in Florida & Know others that felt the same way in 2012. Many just did NOT vote~~because of Romney being on the ticket! {Had Nothing to do with religion here.}

          Liked by 2 people

        • notamemberofanyorganizedpolicital says:

          I concur with you AbeInLA. Obama never won a legal, honest election in his life.

          Like

    • Sherlock says:

      My understanding of “oversampling”, for what it’s worth (probably not much):

      A poll can “oversample” in three ways, and only one of those ways makes the poll suspect.
      1. A poll selects random people, and it turns out that the sample includes more D then R.
      This may be perfectly legit. if that difference actually reflects proportion of D and R in the general population. I.e., “that’s life”.
      2. A poll wants to focus on a small group within a larger population, so intentionally selects more members of this small group for inclusion in a general poll, but then re-corrects to weight them properly, i.e., by weighting their response to reflect their TRUE proportion in the larger population.
      3. A cooked or crooked poll, which intentionally (for example) picks more Ds than Rs than the difference reflected in the larger population, and does not re-correct for that fact.
      (An example of this would be to sample residents of San Francisco only and try to pass this off as a reflection of national preferences).

      Liked by 1 person

      • Malatrope says:

        It can be manipulated in a worse way, if the pollsters are maleficent. Go through your random sample population and simply throw away responses you don’t like. The remainder of the population is still randomly polled, just not randomly selected. A poll of 2000 people becomes a poll of 1500.

        Of course, if you do this very often, people catch on and you won’t be making money with it unless you are in business as a crook.

        Like

        • BobW462 says:

          Right on, Malatrope. The type of data manipulation you have described above has become common practice with political polling (also rampant within consumer marketing polling, too).

          I realize that many people still believe that most polls are conducted honestly and in good faith. I am not one of those people.

          “Figures don’t lie, but liars do figure.”– Mark Twain

          Like

    • Prothonotary Warbler says:

      They’re weighting these polls based on D +7 turnout, which is not what usually happens on election day, although it did happen in 2012 (which gives them the excuse to weight the polls that way).

      Hillary does not generate the same sort of enthusiasm that Obama did, so it’s unlikely that we’ll see a D +7 turnout this election day.

      The Republican candidate this time around is not an effete, pandering milquetoast who gets Republican voters more enthusiastic about staying home than going out to vote. He’s also going to get more independent voters than any other Republican candidate could right now, because he represents a clear choice when compared to the Democrat Hillary.

      That’s why the D +7 weighting method is flawed. It fails to account for several factors that weren’t in play four years ago. And I haven’t even mentioned the “monster vote” yet!

      Like

    • JoJo says:

      Likely voters aren’t hard to tag at any time. Just go through voter histories. Get a list of those who have voted in the last four elections – PE and GE and even Special Elections if you want to get REALLY accurate, and voila – you’re there. Needs local county party workers to get the info, though I think some political polling firms might have that.

      Like

  4. mamadogsite says:

    Time to boycott the anti-Trump big doners…who and what companies/groups/corportions do they represent and/or own????

    Worked well with Target!!!!! Their stockholders are just thrilled😁😁😁

    Do not ever lose sight we are voting the AMERICAN Party….all Dems./Republicans/Libertarians/Independents, WHO LOVE THEIR COUNTRY, are silent no more.

    And this includes moderate, peaceful Muslims, and people of ALL Faiths.

    You are voting for a better education for your children.

    You are voting for the right to have a job and own a company without Government road blocks and interference.

    You are voting to re-establish an excellent and affordable healthcare system…a competitive system that you choose.

    You are voting OUT Government corruption/graft/theft/lying/illegal control and INCOMPETENCE.

    You are voting FOR strict control of our borders, and less fear for the lives and safety of family and friends.

    You are voting FOR the right to have privacy in your home, your locker rooms and bathrooms.

    You are voting FOR the right to peacefully worship if you are a person of Faith, and the right to live as an agnostic.

    You are voting AGAINST deviously funded hate groups.

    You are voting AGAINST unfair trade practices that have forced millions out of jobs, and thousands of successful companies to close.

    You are voting FOR a higher education system that better prepares students in the career studies of their choice.

    These are just a few reasons to head to the voting booths between now and November. We can once again be a country of love and compassion….we need to find our way back.

    Yep…as in everything, there are very bad people who will use any force possible to block THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE….but this time we have strength in numbers. And as a wise man once said not too long ago, “The silent majority is now the noisy majority.”

    That man is Donald Trump.

    Liked by 11 people

  5. Howie says:

    Hanoi Obama has arrived….in Hanoi.

    Like

  6. Backspin says:

    NBC = Meet The Propaganda . Pushing a new ‘ study ‘ they claim to show that Mr. Trump does not have that many new voters. Problem is , the ‘ study ‘ only concerns itself with new Republican voters …….. No mention of Democrats joining Team Trump by Tens of Millions ….. keep trying ,losers.

    Liked by 4 people

  7. myopiafree says:

    Hillary is in deep POO – I hope. When she supported Trayvon Martin’s attempted murder of George – I know she is a proven liar. She would be a TERRIBLE president. We all know it that way.

    Liked by 2 people

    • joshua says:

      If Hilliary had a SON, it would look like Chelsea who looks like Vince Foster. What bathroom would it choose, though?

      Liked by 1 person

      • Sandhill says:

        Don’t think it was Foster who is being said to be Chelsea’s father. It was the other fella at the Rose Law Firm, last name Hubbel? Chelsea and that fella look a lot alike. Foster was much better looking, Foster looked normal.

        Like

    • notamemberofanyorganizedpolicital says:

      So…..you’re saying Hillary is a confirmed Ted Bundy or John Wayne Gacy?

      Like

  8. uptothere says:

    Whether Clinton will actually become the nominee depends on the DOJ and FBI do their respective jobs. At this point, I am curious how Bernie would match up with Trump and what the numbers would look like. Has anything been run that would yield this info?

    Liked by 1 person

    • Concerned Virginian says:

      I believe the DOJ/FBI personnel will not be permitted to get the Hillary Clinton indictment to the “process server” point. It will be quashed or silenced in some way. Hillary Clinton has too many “friends at high levels”. As regards Mr. Sanders, he will be sidelined, marginalized, or otherwise “removed” from contention, either very shortly or at the Democrat convention itself. Especially if his supporters try to turn that convention into another Democrat1968 debacle.
      I believe the real concern here is whether or not the REPUBLICAN convention will turn into a disaster with various “spoiler candidates”, backroom deals, and/or outright fraud, to somehow deny Donald Trump the Republican nomination. I assume that the upper tier of the Democrat elites and the DNC are salivating over this possibility.
      From there, if indeed Donald Trump gets the Republican nomination (I hope so), it will be incumbent on the Republican voter base to STOP any and all further attempts by the GOP elites/RNC to sabotage the Trump candidacy: there are any number of bitter Republican losers out there like MItt Romney, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, and Ted Cruz—who can be counted to work behind the scenes to cut their own noses off to spite their faces.

      Liked by 2 people

      • obama has to protect hillary. if trump wins the white house his first priority will be to get barry his own prayer rug at gitmo. hillary’s pardon will go up in smoke along with all obama’s done, signed or appointed…. that’s how trump gets to the “4 or maybe 5” supreme appointments – scratch kagan and sotamoyer and another if obama gets to fill scalia’s seat… thomas will retire and ginsberg may die.

        Like

        • Sandhill says:

          I don’t think that Trump will go that hard on O. He still wants to get reelected and will want to bring in more Blacks into his camp. But I do believe that Trump will overturn almost everything that can be legally overturned of O’s executive orders.
          Hillary , now that is another story. He will let the legal dogs loose on her.

          Liked by 1 person

      • John Galt says:

        “I believe the DOJ/FBI personnel will not be permitted to get the Hillary Clinton indictment to the “process server” point. It will be quashed or silenced in some way. Hillary Clinton has too many “friends at high levels”. ”

        Obozo / Val-Jar hate Hillary. That’s why they’re constantly leaking confidential investigation details to the media. Three Clinton expose books and two movies in theaters in June. Probably around Trump 55 — Hillary 45 by the Dem convention. I think they’ll be ridin’ with Biden. Why would they nominate a sure loser?

        Liked by 1 person

        • The Boss says:

          Will the obama/jarrett syndicate start leaking stuff on Bill too? Say, something about his trips with Epstein? Or his medical issues, like some STDs?

          Liked by 1 person

        • rumpole2 says:

          I am a “simple guy”. It seems obvious to me that a Crooked Hilary indictment is inevitable. I know this administration is adept at “sweeping dust under the carpet”. but there is far more than “dust” here. A mountain of evidence documents, witnesses and a few dead bodies will show as a big ole bulge under the carpet.
          IMO the “cunning plan” is to simply DELAY in order to get past the Dem Convention. IF they indicted Hillary now…. Bernie’s Mob would expect HIM as Nominee. IF they allow Hillary to be nominated they will at least get past the Convention. Then if she is unable to proceed (indicted) it will be up to DNC to select a replacement (Biden)

          Like

        • scott says:

          If Trump keeps polling high, they will keep Hillary in and let her take the beatdown/humilitiation which will finally purge her from the ranks and the “re-organization” of the DNC will begin. By the time of the convention, they will know that Biden/Warren cannot beat Trump and I just don’t see them allowing Bernie to get the nomination so Hillary will get what she wants.

          Then November 8th after a Trump win, Lynch throws the book at Hillary.

          Like

          • notamemberofanyorganizedpolicital says:

            And then the book gets thrown at Lynch, Holder, Ramhn, Jarrett and all the other traitors….

            Like

      • singtune says:

        The So-Called Sabotage~~~Can only be done by the now KNOWN Globalist’s~~but~~~they Have Been Defeated. It was WE the PEOPLE that Defeated them~~so they will NOT have Willing Help to Go after TRUMP>! They will have to do it Themselves~~! However~~These NWO Globalist’s are used to Just Deceiving People~~~Not Working for Just Cause.

        Like

        • notamemberofanyorganizedpolicital says:

          They will try to crash the economy again as they did in 2008.

          But we are on to them and will crash them instead.

          Pass it on!

          Like

  9. yy4u says:

    Some months ago when the race was still tight I received an email from Trump Hdqtrs to register as a delegate to the Republican conventions. Since the race was tight and the Lion King and Kasich were still contesting, I downloaded the forms from the Republican Party. A few days later, I was contacted by post card by the local chair heading up the Trump campaign. He volunteered to take our registrations to Hdqtrs and give us rides to the convention which was held yesterday in another city. (At the time I wondered if this was deliberate by the Establishment Republicans because the city in which I live is the largest in the district but we had to travel the farthest to get to the convention). Yesterday, we sent three solid Trump delegates from our district. Interestingly, a former candidate for the GOP presidency came and spoke briefly about “uniting” behind the party’s candidate but NEVER MENTIONED TRUMP’S NAME! (He is one of the jerks who has not endorsed Trump.) I got the feeling he still was hoping for a contested convention. So all of you who still haven’t voted in NJ, WA and CA, get out there and vote. Unless Trump is well over the number, I think the party insiders will try to take this from him.

    Liked by 8 people

    • Bull Durham says:

      Californians for Trump will drop a Sequoia-sized vote on the heads of these numbnuts who dream of the conservative fantasy (winning the GE with 5 million voters who subscribe to Nat, Rev, listen to EE, drink Rush tea and stand in line for autographed copies of Mark Levin’s useless tomes.

      Liked by 8 people

    • litenmaus says:

      yy4u, the line that was being used at our MT State Convention was “I will support, or I support the NOMINEE”. No mention of Trump’s name is spoken by these delegates and it is another of those coded messages that are being used by the ‘Never gonna vote Trump’ group in order to appear as if they are Trump supporters.

      I’m also in agreement, VOTE, VOTE, VOTE. This year our final voting primary states are in play like never before and Donald J Trump needs massive bound delegate numbers going into our Cleveland Convention..

      Liked by 3 people

    • I know that New Mexico only has 24 delegates, but we do get to vote on June 7. And Mr. Trump is in Albuquerque this coming Tuesday. MAGA!

      Liked by 11 people

    • Sandhill says:

      Thank you for the info, yy4u. The race will not be over until Trump is declared the RNC’s POTUS nominee at the convention. I have always believed that Trump will need more than the 1237 delegates to win cause the Backstablishment GOP will not do the right thing and die graciously.

      Liked by 1 person

    • perpetuaofcarthage says:

      I think you are right that there are some who hope we in the June primary won’t bother to vote and they will use that against Trump. Election Betting Odds is showing Trump with only 95.7% chance of winning the Republican nomination. So some people are still betting for a contested convention, 4.2%.

      Like

    • The Boss says:

      Was this a state or congressional district convention? Would you be OK letting us know what state or CD you’re referring to? Thanks.

      Like

  10. boutis says:

    Preference cascade! Swings that big in various demographics is amazing. You can see it filtering through different ages, regions, educational backgrounds, all of it. And it isn’t even June and Hillary can’t get rid of Bernie the socialist non-Democrat hack.

    Liked by 3 people

  11. lorenetn says:

    Wait for it…wait for it…next up…”Trump can’t break 50%.” The media pundits are so predictable and boring.

    Liked by 3 people

    • Sandhill says:

      lorenetn, my wish still remains the same. I want Trump to win every county in every state that still has a primary left to vote in. I love to see a complete county wide sweep for the next POTUS.
      Then , not being a greedy person>sarc, I want to see Trump to win every county in every state in the General.
      MONSTER VOTE in Nov. MAGA.

      Liked by 3 people

  12. spindlitis says:

    Someone shared a comment by Robert Reich on Facebook. He was telling the Bernie voters that they needed to unite behind Clinton when she wins the nomination. There were a large number of Bernie supporters that said there was no way they could vote for her. We need to continue to be friendly towards the Bernie folks even though we disagree with their politics. A protest vote for Trump is still a vote for our guy and we know how rigged the system is.

    Liked by 4 people

    • perpetuaofcarthage says:

      We need talking points for the things we share in common. I would mention the bad trade deals and the rigged primary systems. Also Trump wants to save Social Security and is not an interventionist.

      Liked by 3 people

      • perpetuaofcarthage says:

        Here is a list I found in a January Atlantic Monthly article
        Both oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal.
        Both support maintaining or expanding current levels of Social Security benefits.
        Both support some upper-income tax hikes.
        Both lament the pernicious role of money in politics (this is why, as Stan herself notes, Trump likes to falsely claim he’s funding his own campaign).
        Both opposed the Iraq war (Stan herself notes that Trump “would have left Saddam Hussein in power”) and believe the money spent on it could have been put to better use domestically.
        Both have been known to worry that increased immigration could depress working-class wages.
        Both have supported single-payer health care.
        Both have flip-flopped on gun control.

        Like

      • The Boss says:

        Both abhor Hillary Clinton.

        Liked by 1 person

    • Phillip Blackburn says:

      Good post. We do need to continue to reach out to them and bring them into the fold.

      Liked by 1 person

      • boutis says:

        We agree on many problems but disagree on the solutions. I talked to a long time junior college instructor recently who is pro-Bernie and started out on the free college argument. When I drilled down he is really about only qualified students who can pass coursework and are serious about study going to college. He said half of his students (most on loans or free grants) should not be there and are driving up the cost for everyone else who are subsidizing what in essence is baby-sitting. He really wants a meritocracy with a reasonable cost. He said it is an extension of high school because public schools produce functional illiterates who just sit in community college taking up public resources (this is county subsidized school) and we have to start saying no. He also thinks community colleges should be more into the trades only call them something other than “colleges” with apprenticeships, etc. He would not admit it but he will vote for Trump as he wouldn’t criticize him.

        Like

  13. Pam says:

    Liked by 3 people

  14. Athena the Warrior says:

    The best and most telling thing about these polls is that Trump has barely touched Hillary yet. A couple of little jabs here and there but no right upper cuts yet. She keeps putting out attack ads that make the case FOR Trump.

    She’s weak, corrupt, and unfit. I think the Clinton Foundation is the key link to everything.

    Liked by 3 people

  15. Martin says:

    Ideology has been used by globalists to split up the country so this election is simple, folks.

    Trump = Non-Globalist
    Not Trump = Globalist

    You decide, USA.

    Liked by 3 people

  16. sysconfig says:

    The choice is clear..One is a Builder and the other

    Liked by 4 people

  17. Country Boy says:

    We the People of the United States, Have Had Enough! A great article from January foretelling the Patriotic sea change. “Americans love Trump even MORE than they hate the media.” http://shoebat.com/2016/01/06/90551/

    Liked by 1 person

    • Howie says:

      What a joke. It is never going to a second ballot. They have to vote Trump on the first and only ballot. Cruz is done.

      Liked by 4 people

      • shiloh1973 says:

        Washington has not even had their Primary yet. It is this Tuesday. Candidates will be bound on the first ballot according to the Primary outcome.

        Like

    • spindlitis says:

      They are bound first ballot to the winner of the primary this Tuesday. This doesn’t surprise me too much as you had to sign up as a delegate back in Feb. And, if you voted at the caucaus, you can’t vote in the primary.

      Like

      • heidi says:

        last paragraph: In theory, Washington Republicans’ delegate move will have little effect: despite electing delegates at this state convention, those delegates are bound to vote according to the statewide results in this Tuesday’s upcoming Washington primary. TRUMP SUPPORTERS NEED TO GET OUT AND VOTE!

        Liked by 2 people

  18. tballard56 says:

    My greatest fear is that the GOP consulting class is going to get their meathooks into Trump and convince him to tone down or alter his message. If the GOPe cannot stop Trump overtly, then the big push is going to be to put the reins on him. Hopefully Trump will see through that attempt and keep on message, but you know the attempt is coming. The GOPe is not going to go down without pulling out every last stop, even to the point of trying to convince Trump they have changed their minds and are now supporting him while working to undermine him at every turn, sneaky traitors that they are.

    Liked by 1 person

  19. ginaswo says:

    oh yeahhhhhh!!!!!!!!!!!

    Liked by 1 person

  20. Howie says:

    Golden Bear likes Golden Lion
    Jack Nicklaus: Donald Trump ‘Awakening the Country’
    http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/05/21/jack-nicklaus-donald-trump-awakening-the-country/

    Liked by 2 people

  21. spindlitis says:

    Chuck Todd is such an idiot. He did this segment on whether Trump was bringing in new voters. So he starts in Virginia, where almost all the voters have voted Republican in a primary or general election. Then he says only 6% are new voters. He adds them to Trump’s numbers in the primary and shows this as less than Obama got in the general in 2012! Then he goes on about New Hampshire as the only possible state that could be flipped.

    I’m sure you can see the problems with the analysis. The first is that Trump had multiple candidates to compete with for those votes. The second is that primary elections are different from a general election. In some states, it’s difficult to change party registration. And, importantly, Trump is not running against Obama. He’ll be running against Hillary and those Bernie supporters may not support her.

    Like

  22. Howie says:

    The PTB are going to have to cook up a couple polls really fast. I have no doubt they will.

    Like

  23. azfederalist says:

    Polls right now are designed to shape public opinion, not measure it. Thus, the question that should be asked is why the pollsters are publishing results and generating polls so unfavorable to Hillary Clinton when pollsters are largely left-leaning, left of center statists who overwhelmingly support the democrat nominee. One possible explanation is that this is part of a larger effort to get Hillary removed from the nomination and replace her with someone that the powers that be think is more likely to win the race.

    Liked by 1 person

  24. IMO says:

    Still Report #890 – Judge Jeanine Trump vs Clinton on Islamic Terror

    Bye Bye Hilldog

    Like

    • Backspin says:

      Hitlarys pals in the Obamination administration are fast tracking settlement of muslime unknowns and Opss ….. many may have TB and other diseases . Human Bio-Weapons.
      Jihad — > at its KISS simplest !! ( Gateway Pundit )

      Like

  25. Nice aggregate here, with Trump finally on top:
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
    I honestly thought he would not poll consistently better until he stood on stage with her. All the media attacks and hype are swaying voters to his side.

    Has he even spent a dime on his campaign in the last three weeks?

    Liked by 2 people

  26. LULU says:

    WashPost Buries Their Own Poll Result: Trump Leads Clinton, 46-44

    http://newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/tim-graham/2016/05/22/washpost-buries-their-own-poll-result-trump-leads-clinton-46-44

    “Begrudging WaPo” became a trending topic on Twitter on Sunday afternoon as Paul Bedard at the Washington Examiner mocked how the Washington Post buried the lead in Sunday’s story on their new poll:

    It’s not the headline, and it takes 219 words to get there, but a new Washington Post poll on the presidential race reveals that Republican Donald Trump leads Democrat Hillary Clinton among registered voters 46 percent to 44 percent.

    Four paragraphs and a sentence in, Dan Balz and Scott Clement arrived at the numbers:

    Hilarious! More at the link, but you get the drift. WaPo being mocked by other media…

    Liked by 1 person

  27. Just Curious says:

    Hillary Clinton is nothing more than Barack Obama in different gender and race. The liberal media do not recognize gender or race anyway. For those Americans who are willing to vote for Hillary Clinton, I have to ask them one question: “Do you have a brain?”. If you do, use it.

    Like

  28. R-C says:

    This is only the beginning…

    Liked by 2 people

  29. Martin says:

    Liked by 1 person

  30. Prothonotary Warbler says:

    I have to say, that picture of a Trump rally crowd that Sundance posts from time to time, as he did here at the end of this post… that is the most powerful image of this whole campaign, in my opinion.

    Not only are you seeing the massive crowds the guy draws, but you can also feel their excitement coming through, even though it’s a static image.

    See, if you draw lines through the crowd to show the natural contours of the individual people, you see all these lines leading diagonally to the upper right. This highlights how many of these people are leaning forward and holding up their Trump signs. They’re that excited that they finally have a candidate who’s really, seriously addressing their concerns, and doing so in such an entertaining manner. And… also winning.

    That picture is going to be prominently featured in all those magazines that do a “2016: The Year In Pictures” issue. It’s beautiful, just straight-up iconic!

    Like

  31. Democrats voting Trump only will increase after Sanders gets raked over the coals by the party bosses. The Democrat Establishment is rotten to its core. The Romney/#nevertrump freak show is shedding numbers fast, too. Good times, good times.

    Expect the polls to bounce around for a bit, but based on what is happening Trump likely will exit Cleveland with a lead that never goes away. The Republican Party thought he would cost them seats down ballot. It looks like it will be Hillary who will cost her party down ballot. In the process, the Republican Party grows, sheds a few grotesque members, and adds millions of new voters. Win/win.

    Liked by 1 person

  32. Sandra says:

    When Hillary was ahead did the headline declare that she had “challenges aplenty”? Cuz I think she has a lot more than Trump. Being under investigation is one of them.

    Like

  33. philbertfarkle says:

    Testing my connection

    Like

  34. barton2016 says:

    But… What about the womens’ issues?!?!?

    Like

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