When the professional pundits and the chattering class speak of Marco Rubio possibly winning Florida they are completely oblivious to reality. Floridians have a very specific disdain for Marco Rubio based on his self-serving backstabbing of his own constituency. The anger is personal, deep, widespread and will never go away.
Forget Senator Rubio. Marco Rubio doesn’t stand a chance in Florida, he won’t even carry his own home county because he’s never there. This latest Quinnipiac poll (full pdf below) merely confirms what is obvious to those who live there and talk to their neighbors. This sentiment is top of state to bottom, and coast to coast.
However, what is even more amazing than the weakness of Rubio and strength of Trump, is when you ask evangelicals who they would NEVER SUPPORT…. they say, Ted Cruz. This is absolute affirmation of what we’ve continually pointed out as the non-discussed flaw in Cruz’s overall campaign.
Looking at the depth of support for Donald Trump you find almost every demographic of Florida voter puts Trump at the top of their preference:
(click image to enlarge – or see pdf below)
[*note* Remember Rubio has been in DC office for almost 6 years (he ran in ’09), so the youth vote is higher for him because they didn’t experience his candidacy and have attachment to his broken promises – Yet Trump is still crushing him.]
Additionally, Marco Rubio has NO HOPE in Florida because he can’t run positive campaign ads touting his accomplishments. He ran on a very specific platform back in 2009, and he has turned his back on EVERY PROMISE he ever made during that very intense election. Trust Floridians when they say he has ZERO chance.
Now check out who Floridians say they will NEVER SUPPORT. Notice how Ted Cruz, who has been almost exclusively campaigning for the evangelical vote, is less supported by evangelicals than any other candidate. Ted Cruz has the highest negatives amid White Evangelical Florida Voters. That reality is like a bucket of ice-water on the chattering class punditry:
(click image to enlarge or see pdf below)
Here’s the full poll pdf:
(Via Quinnipiac) The Donald Trump juggernaut rolls into Florida where the GOP front-runner leads native son Sen. Marco Rubio 44 – 28 percent among likely Republican primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas has 12 percent with Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 7 percent and Dr. Ben Carson at 4 percent.
Men back Trump over Rubio 49 – 25 percent, while women go to Trump 39 – 31 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.
Trump gets a low negative score in the Sunshine State as 21 percent of likely Republican primary voters say they “would definitely not support” Trump for the nomination, with 26 percent saying no to Cruz and 17 percent saying no to Rubio.
Five percent of Florida likely Republican primary voters are undecided and 30 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind before the March 15 primary.
Strong leadership is the most important quality in a presidential nominee, 32 percent of Florida Republicans say, as 23 percent most want someone who is honest and trustworthy and 20 percent most want someone who shares their values.
“Florida is the single biggest prize of the primary season because it is the largest state to allocate its delegates on a winner-take-all basis. If Sen. Rubio can’t win in his own home state, it is difficult to see how he can win elsewhere,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
“Florida election law makes this contest more uncertain than earlier primaries. Only registered Republicans may vote here, which raises the question of whether the flood of new voters Donald Trump seemed to bring to earlier contests will be able to participate in Florida.” (read more)
TAMPA, Florida (Two weeks Ago)