A very interesting and exceptionally in depth poll from Sextant Strategies (two pdf’s below) of California voters shows candidate Donald Trump is in a commanding position within the state.
Interestingly, the poll highlights two overall categories voter: 1. Registered Republicans who have voted frequently in all recent elections; and 2. New voters who are registering in astonishing numbers in order to vote in this year’s primary.
Donald Trump is leading with traditional republican voters (41%), and is crushing the field with those holding new registration (53%).  The internals and crosstabs of the poll are a very interesting read.  Here’s the topline result:

Candidate Donald Trump is winning with all demographics (men, women, age, race, income level, education etc.) within the cross tabs of the poll.
However, Trump’s lead expands significantly when you review the “new voters” who are registering by the thousands.


(Via Capitol Weekly) […]  Our California poll of 1,165 high propensity Republican voters has Trump currently atop the leader board by a comfortable margin.  In the survey, conducted April 11 through April 14, Trump receives 41% of the vote, to Ted Cruz’s 23% and John Kasich’s 21%.  A separate sample of 466 Republicans registered since the turn of the New Year has Trump ahead 53%-21%-15%, indicating that Trump’s overall lead among the expected turnout is a few points greater.
And while there isn’t a Trump residence here in the Golden State, the closest we have is in the 33rd CD on Palos Verdes Peninsula — home to a marquee Trump investment and a sublime irony if that were the only district Trump didn’t carry in California.
A comparison of California’s primary to the election we just saw in New York is justified for two reasons:  The systems in each state are similar and, as our recent poll suggests, another Trump sweep could be in the offing here.
Of course, winning the state overall isn’t the hole-in-one it is in the winner-take-all states.  California awards its delegates on a winner-take-all basis in each Congressional District – 53 concurrent holes of match play.  (read more)

Here’s the full poll data:

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• If Kasich doesn’t make it to California, his vote splits two-to-one for Cruz, but Trump still has a 10-point lead (47%-37%). So a two-person race does not significantly reduce the hazards for those attempting to block him.
• Just under half of Republicans (48%) say Trump should be the nominee even if he doesn’t win a majority of delegates in the primaries. Only 42% say the convention should be allowed to select someone different.
• Nearly half (47%) believe Trump will be the nominee, while a quarter say someone other than the three current candidates will be the nominee.

Here’s the Cross Tabs of the Internal Demographics:

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