The latest CNN/ORC poll from Iowa (full pdf below) shows Donald Trump remaining in the lead despite various prior efforts within agenda-polling to highlight a divergent narrative.  Trump leads in all categories of voter concern: ♦ Economy ♦ Illegal Immigration ♦ Foreign Policy ♦ Medicare and Social Security.

Ben Carson leads on “social issues”: Abortion and Same-Sex Marriage. Ben Carson remains in second place which seems to belay the concern that Carson’s opposition to federal corn subsidies (outlined in prior debate) would diminish support.

Marco Rubio continues to retain benefit from “Operation Hummingbird”; however, the evident weakness in Rubio’s ability can be measured against the visibility of the Chris Christie insurance policy being called to action by MSM/GOPe operatives.   Ted Cruz is positioned to take most of Carson’s evangelical supporters if collapse occurs. (more…)

*NOTE* Do not for a moment think Fox is moving away from their mandated/scripted narrative to eliminate the Main Street Vulgarian, they’re not.  Remember, the next debate (Nov 10th) is on FNB and Team Trump have already announced intents for the campaign to negotiate debate conditions.  The FNB debate line-up is expected to be announced tomorrow, and Fox Needs Trump.

Within this latest national Fox News Poll (full pdf below) three interesting aspects.  ♦  Donald Trump is leading despite the methodology and breakdown.  ♦  Donald Trump is viewed as most likely to defeat Hillary Clinton.  ♦ Fox News sub-contracted the data collection to two different partisan polling outfits: Anderson Robbins Research (for Democrats), Shaw & Company Research (for Republicans) from November 1-3, 2015:

Via Fox –  Is the race for the Republican nomination finally shaking out?  Four candidates get double-digit backing — and then there’s a steep drop-off to the rest of the field.

The latest Fox News national poll on the 2016 election finds that Donald Trump has the edge, as GOP primary voters by wide margins identify him as the best candidate on the economy, as well as the one most likely to beat presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.  The poll also finds Ben Carson remains within striking distance of Trump. (more…)

Here’s the latest results from a Quinnipiac National Poll released today (full pdf below).  Unfortunately, yet again, even with all of their resources, the polled sample is intensely small (only 502 republicans).

At this point these large organizations, NYT/CBS (300), NBC/WSJ (400), and now Q-PAC (500), using small samples to present a national narrative – cannot reasonably be considered coincidental.  These quantifying decisions deliberate; they are also sketchy and bear the familiar signatures of media ‘gaslighting’:

(Via Q-PAC) Trump gets 24 percent of Republican votes, with Carson at 23 percent, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 14 percent, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 13 percent, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 4 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 9 percent undecided, and 63 percent who might change their mind. (more…)

It would appear Team Cruz is no longer waiting for the multi-million dollar “Keep The Promise” Barton/Beck Super-PACs to push the Cruz message.

Nicely done ad:

Somewhat of a shake-up in the second tier.  The latest PPP Iowa Poll (full pdf below) shows Donald Trump on top ahead of Ben Carson – so much for that prior MSM narrative showing Carson as frontrunner – however, that’s only the beginning.

Ted Cruz is the biggest gainer amid the field coming in at 14%, while Bobby Jindal and Mike Huckabee, each with 6%, are beating Jeb Bush – ouch.

(Via PPP Polling)  PPP’s newest Iowa poll finds a tight race on the Republican side in the state with Donald Trump at 22%, Ben Carson at 21%, Ted Cruz at 14%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Mike Huckabee and Bobby Jindal each at 6%, and Jeb Bush and Carly Fiorina each at 5%. Polling further back are Chris Christie at 3%, John Kasich, Rand Paul, and Rick Santorum each at 2%, Lindsey Graham with less than 1%, and Jim Gilmore and George Pataki each with no supporters. (more…)

Candidate Donald Trump was quite up front and out in the open with his warning about Super-PACs doing some sketchy business and putting their candidates in compromising positions.

The recent discoveries of Team Rubio using Digital Media Astroturf paid for via Club for Growth spending is one such example of “sketchy”.

In a similar fashion we have warned of Ted Cruz being compromised by “sketchy” activity resulting from his way-too-close association/alignment with Glenn Beck and the extremely “sketchy” David Barton who runs “Keep the Promise”.

Now a recent outline from Politico (<– which you may want to bookmark) claims that the Cruz Camp is a little concerned about the activity, or, well, actually, lack thereof, from the various Keep The Promise Pro-Cruz Super-PACs. (more…)

“ A whiffer” – a batter who strikes out by swinging at and missing the third strike !

Almost everyone, except the political Mossad, have entirely missed the obvious set-up within the Colorado RNC/GOPe debate.  They had a plan, they had a very good plan, this was their home-turf, this was their home audience – this was personal.

The GM, Reince, had gone along with the family and developed a political strategy; a very political strategy.  The umpires:  John Harwood, Carl Quintanilla, were pre-selected, vetted, nudged, and the necessary game-saving political ball was resting easily upon the tee….  But Jeb whiffed !

Yes, RNC Chairman Reince Prebius was angry last night post-debate, but he wasn’t necessarily frustrated by the venue, his frustration was the collapse of the best laid plan.  Jeb whiffed. (more…)

CNBC Has just announced the debate lineup for the next GOP Debate on October 28th.  The RNC sanctioned debate will be held at the Coors Events Center at the University of Colorado Boulder and broadcast live on CNBC at 8pm/EST:

Via CNBC – Today marks the close of the five-week window for determining eligibility based on national polls. The results were based on methodically sound and recognized national polls conducted by NBC, ABC, CBS, Fox, CNN and Bloomberg. The debate will be divided into two parts. (more…)

The Proud Vulgarian Uprising Continues…

(Via Morning Consult) […]  Donald Trump continues to lead the field seeking the Republican presidential nomination with a whopping 40 percent of the vote, up from 34 percent in last week’s survey. Carson is a distant second, at 14 percent.

[…]   No other Republican candidate breaks into double digits. Bush sits in third place at 6 percent, while Rubio and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) are tied at just 5 percent of the vote. (more…)

We will not be denied !!

And so it begins.  Here is where the earlier discussions about the vitriolic side of the Bush family begin to surface.  This is where it begins to get personal, and everyone will see exactly how the alliances within the professional political class surface.

It doesn’t come as a surprise, because sooner or later someone was going to have to rip off the band aid.  Regardless of whether you have supported any individual within the construct of the Bush family, those who have watched the political scene for more than a few decades will understand what’s going on. 

After all, it was Dubya’s dad, George Herbert Walker Bush, who represented the establishment class of republicans and was most strenuously against the vulgarian Ronald Reagan in the 70’s…   Old ideologies run deep; and, bottom line, this will probably help Ted Cruz.

(Via Politico) Inside a sleek Denver condominium, George W. Bush let a hundred donors to his brother’s campaign in on a secret. Of all the rival Republican candidates, there is one who gets under the former president’s skin, who he views as perhaps Jeb Bush’s most serious rival for the party’s nomination.

It isn’t Donald Trump, whose withering insults have sought to make Jeb pay a political price for his brother’s presidency. It also isn’t Marco Rubio, Jeb’s former understudy who now poses a serious threat to his establishment support.

It’s George W. Bush’s former employee — Ted Cruz. (more…)