Rutgers Eagleton has conducted another poll (full pdf below) of New Jersey voters.  Donald Trump retains his lead at 32% surging 11 additional points since the last poll.  New Jersey governor Chris Christie is defeated within his own state, garnering only 5% support.

(Via Washington Examiner)  New Jersey governor and Republican presidential hopeful Chris Christie is being told by voters across the board in his home state to call it a day.

The establishment candidate, who once flew high in the GOP field, is down to just 5 percent support in the latest Rutgers-Eagleton poll of New Jersey voters. His favorability ratings are tanking, and nearly 70 percent of voters say he should end his campaign. (more…)

~ Have Tar, Need Feathers ~

Politico is reporting that congressional leadership may not present the TPP deal for approval until after the 2016 election, during the lame duck session. Obviously this solidifies a particular reality all too common in Washington DC: If it is only politically safe to vote on the deal when no political election risk is evident, then you can be assured the deal is not in the best interest of the electorate.

Washington – Mike Sommers, chief of staff for Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio), said at a Ripon Society meeting that Congress was unlikely to move on the massive trade package until a lame-duck session more than a year from now.

Hazen Marshall, policy director for Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), who was also at the session, agreed that a TPP vote was more likely to happen in a lame-duck session, and added that the White House was trying to work with congressional leaders on timing. (more…)

There is absolutely NO DOUBT that Donald Trump has embedded exceptional character within his kids. Ivanka Trump truly is a brilliant representative of character, intellect and class.

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Crowd Shot: (more…)

CNN/ORC Polling (full pdf below) today release some jaw-dropping results showing the scope of Donald Trump’s campaign attraction.  Beyond the top-line numbers are internal considerations far beyond anything any candidate could ever hope to catch.

Everyone should read the full polling internals to grasp how favorable the results are for Team Trump:

[scribd id=285056152 key=key-CohR2KcHCQus2uzjPWdp mode=scroll]

Considering the Nevada poll was conducted during/after Marco Rubio spent 4 days in the state, the Nevada results are devastating to the RNC/GOPe preferred narrative.   It cannot be emphasized enough how wide, deep and committed the Trump coalition is to his campaign.  (more…)

Another YouGov National Poll (pdf below) shows Donald Trump leading with every polled demographic.  Simultaneously, hidden in the data this national poll shows how Fox News is manipulating their results by focusing on a polled electorate over 65-years-old.

The full poll data is below, however I’ve pulled out the key metrics so you can see how the candidates line up amid electoral support. (more…)

This analysis is the precursor to the second part of what was written here yesterday: the first part of the latest Fox News poll.

Within the prior analysis we shared:

“Don’t expect the remaining embargo data (most likely GOP polling data) to be favorable to Donald Trump.  Remember, there is a goal which never stops – THAT GOAL is the removal of Donald Trump at all costs.  Promoting Ben Carson and Marco Rubio (to a lesser extent Fiorina) remains the media strategy”. (link)

The goal behind that strategy is the nomination of Jeb Bush.

The second part of the poll is now released, and exactly as predicted it shows exactly what we said it would most likely contain.  However, in order to explain the content we first need to revisit the construct of why these events are surfacing with such intense predictability.

Simultaneously, it is also necessary to discuss and deconstruct another Fox Business report that John Kasich is being touted as a possible Vice-President pick by Donald Trump.  Both the Fox Poll agenda, and the Fox Business report agenda are tied to the same overarching goals.

Bear with me because, despite my earnest efforts, more than likely this analysis is necessarily going to go in the weeds, it’s unavoidable. (more…)

The latest large scale poll sample from Morning Consult (pdf below) shows that Marco Rubio and Carly Fiorina are now in a downward trend-line having had their moments of exposure and review.  Conversely candidate Donald Trump now begins climbing even higher than previous polled results.

(Via Morning Consult) […] Donald Trump retains a wide lead over the rest of the field, with 34 percent of the vote. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson clocks in second, at 20 percent, while former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) finishes at 9 percent.

Sens. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina are tied with 5 percent apiece, just ahead of former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee’s (R) 4 percent. (more…)

If the primary election were held today, Donald Trump would take all 25 of the 28 available delegates.  No other candidate exceeds the minimum primary threshold of 20% within this winner-take-most (closed primary) state.

CONNECTICUT – […] Trump is far ahead of establishment candidates such as Jeb Bush, according to a Quinnipiac University poll of Connecticut voters released Tuesday morning. Two other GOP candidates who have never held elective office — Dr. Ben Carson, a pediatric neurosurgeon, and Carly Fiorina, the former CEO of Hewlett-Packard — also drew double digit support.

“Republicans are looking for an outsider,’’ Quinnipiac poll Director Doug Schwartz said. Trump captured 34 percent of the Republican vote, while Carson drew 14 percent and Fiorina received 11 percent. (read more)