Independent voters (the largest growing segment of the registered electorate), and Monster Voters (newly registered previous non-voters), will absolutely determine the next President:
The latest national poll from Fox News (full pdf below) outlines a shift in support throughout the electorate. Donald Trump now beating Hillary Clinton:
The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers May 14-17, 2016, among a random national sample of 1,021 registered voters (RV).
Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. (more…)
An article today in the Washington Post outlines meetings with anxiety-riddled Pennsylvania Democrat party leaders who are increasingly apoplectic as they see a state-wide electorate supporting Donald Trump, specifically in areas where Republicans should not be winning support.
The Pennsylvania outline shows a broad-based appeal for common sense conservative approach of Donald Trump among regions of the Philadelphia suburbs which previously supported Barack Obama.
Post author David Weigel walks through the towns where Donald Trump has garnered unexpected support. What he writes about, is what we have all discussed, the emergence of the Monster Voters – although neither Weigel, nor the Democrat leaders he interviews, are aware of who these Monster Voters are, the silent common sense conservatives.
There is much hand-wringing and angst amid the leadership who are holding meetings trying to figure out why their neighbors are supporting Trump.
And there, right in the center of the WaPo article you find this quote from former Philadelphia Mayor, and Pennsylvania Governor, Ed Rendell: (more…)
Ivanka Trump was interviewed by CBS This Morning and discusses the New York Times political hit piece against her father, candidate Donald Trump:
Candidate Donald Trump has released a set of names of potential Supreme Court nominees. The announcement was made via Facebook –SEE HERE– and is accompanied with the following press release:
(New York, NY) May 18, 2016 – Today Donald J. Trump released the much-anticipated list of people he would consider as potential replacements for Justice Scalia at the United States Supreme Court. This list was compiled, first and foremost, based on constitutional principles, with input from highly respected conservatives and Republican Party leadership. (more…)
We anticipate more than one thread will be needed for tonight’s election night results. It will be a late night for Oregon results (around 11:00pm)
♦ On the Democrat side Kentucky is a must win for Hillary Clinton, she doesn’t stand a chance in Oregon. Sanders would continue his forward momentum with a victory tonight in Kentucky and Oregon. The stakes are high.
UPDATE 10:30pm: Kentucky is super close. However, Hillary Clinton sycophant Alison Lundergun Grimes (KY Secretary of State) actually went on live TV (via CNN) with 99% of the vote in [Clinton 46.7% to Sanders 46.3%] and declared Hillary Clinton the winner:
♦ The media is doing everything they can to take down Team Bernie tonight, but Bernie had a strong victory in Oregon.
♦ On the Republican side Donald Trump easily won Oregon.
(more…)
A new PPP poll from Arizona (full pdf below) shows Senator John McCain is in a serious battle for the GOP primary. Challenger Kelli Ward is currently tied with McCain at 41% and the majority of republican electorate have a negative view of McCain.
Some of the internal polling results might be surprising to readers and political followers, especially given the preferred media narratives bantered about by the insufferable MSM punditry.
Example: Kelli Ward is more heavily supported by Men 46/40 over McCain. Conversely Women support McCain 43/36 over Ward. The complete opposite narrative from what national punditry will opine (gaslight) when discussing gender based voting. (more…)
A National NBC/Survey Monkey Poll (pollster Mark Murray) was released today showing Hillary Clinton barely ahead of Donald Trump 48%/45%.
However, what’s more stunning, actually, gobsmackingly and transparently stunning, is how heavily skewed the poll data was constructed in order to show Hillary Clinton with a three point lead. The poll has a necessary D+7.2% favorability weight:
Beyond the necessary D +7 poll skew, in order to present a poll that retains Hillary Clinton in the lead NBC Pollster Mark Murray needed to exclude 4,725 poll respondents from a total sample size of 12,507 registered voters.
This level of statistical smoothing is huge folks. You can find the full poll data including the methodology HERE. However, even with that said there’s even more evidence of Hillary Clinton losing. (more…)
Given the current state of political dysfunction, coupled with U.S. federal finances, this 2013 epic rant from MSNBC’s Dylan Ratigan can be viewed as an almost eerily prescient prediction for the candidacy of Donald Trump:
The preferred narrative is gaining increasing evidence. Those who gain benefit from leveraging a cultural shift of modern feminism are working earnestly to retain it.
The phrase: “you cannot talk down to me because I’m a woman“, traditional -arguably appropriate- ERA feminism, demanded equality in opportunity. However, that argument has now been dropped.
Modern feminism is leveraged: “you cannot criticize me, because I’m a woman“.
The traditional demands of equality are following a predictable pattern and now invoking leveraged benefit.
Ultimately, this is the modern version of feminism, and one currently being advanced by personalities like Fox News host Megyn Kelly. Social justice memes demanding a higher position of consideration based on (fill_in_the_blank), where this specific blank is filled with gender.
The objective determinations of skill and competency are now being clouded by lowered expectations forced by the benefactors who gain by lowering the expectation. It is a dangerous and slippery slope to bar critical evaluation based on lowered expectations due to gender. Such well-intentioned pathways historically lead to soft-bigotry caused by lessened expectations.
However, if Hillary Clinton is to gain nation-wide elected office her incompetence and inability must be shielded. This is the basic motive for a growing gender-based narrative as injected into the 2016 presidential race. The latest attempts by the Washington Post and New York Times are ultimately evidence of this intention. (more…)