Like us, if you had concerns the entire MH-370 missing plane search was fraught with undisclosed assumptions this recent revelation will bring even more validity to your concerns.
From the outset, we have held the position the Inmarsat Data just never made sense. Too many assumptions, and far too much reliance, on a singular uncommon denominator fraught with intellectual implausibility, the “Inmarsat satellite data”. For whatever reason the public was never allowed to actually analyze.
It was always presented as “take our word for it”; and none of it ever made sense. The geometry, the telemetry, and the global positionings inherent from the math, well, actually inherent from the assumptions within the math, just never made sense from the outset.
Now, as time has passed, and more people demand to know exactly what the specifics behind the assumptions were, the Inmarsat people who analyzed the data sets -and targeted the search area- claim to have lost the data. Well, actually, they claim to have given it all to the Malaysian/Australian authority… and the authorities claim they never received it…. and supposedly there was only one copy….. Yeah, go figure – you getting this?….
AUSTRALIA – Who has the data investigators used to shape their search for Malaysia Airlines Flight 370, and why hasn’t it been released to the public?
The answer to those questions depends on who you ask.
Facing a growing chorus of criticism from scientists and family members who want to see more details about why searchers are combing the southern Indian Ocean for the missing Boeing 777, Malaysia’s top transportation official Thursday claimed his country doesn’t have the raw data from the satellite’s communication with the plane as it flew thousands of miles off course.
The data is crucial because it’s what led investigators to the area where they’re currently searching for the plane. And in recent days, some scientists outside the investigation have suggested they don’t trust investigators’ analysis of the data, and questioned whether searchers are even looking in the right place.
The raw data is with (satellite company) Inmarsat, not with Malaysia, not with Australia, not with Malaysia Airlines, so if there is any request for this raw data to be made available to the public, it must be made to Inmarsat,” Acting Minister of Transportation Hishammuddin Hussein said.
Australian officials heading the search in the Southern Indian Ocean tell CNN they don’t have the raw data, either.
But Inmarsat, which owns the satellites, insists that the data has already been released to investigators.
“Inmarsat’s raw data was provided to the investigation team at an early stage in the search for MH370,” Chris McLaughlin, the company’s vice president of external relations, told CNN’s “Erin Burnett: OutFront.”
He added, “We have very high confidence in the analysis of this data, which was independently evaluated by the international teams accredited to the official investigation.”
It’s up to investigators, he said, to decide what they want to release — and when. The company says the Convention on International Civil Aviation prevents the release findings from an investigation without the consent from the state conducting the investigation.
“I don’t know who to believe,” CNN aviation analyst Miles O’Brien said. “But isn’t it awful that it’s quite evident somebody is lying here? Somebody is lying. We’re talking about something that involves a missing airliner, now 70 days. Lives lost, families shattered. And there (are) people lying about this. This is absolutely reprehensible. I can’t even believe…it would be funny if it wasn’t so tragic.”
Aviation attorney Arthur Rosenberg said he thinks the satellite company is obligated to release the data, whether or not Malaysian authorities have it.
“Unfortunately, you almost get the sense that they’re stalling, that there’s something in there that they don’t want the world to see. And that’s the problem,” O’Brien said. “That’s why there’s so little credibility right now about why this search zone has been identified.” (read more)
Here’s a snippet of what we previously identified as a flaw in the analysis:
Our source, a 30 year stealth air force pilot and tactical flight commander, predicted exactly this end result. Why?
Because he predicted, accurately, they would use “Euclids Element” to begin their analysis:
Two Things which are equal to another thing must also be equal to one another.
First – the Inmarsat data team used what they called “similar flight data” to establish their distance positions. Meaning they compared the ‘pings’ or ‘handshakes’ received by their satellite to other flights who were in routes of similar disposition. This is how they directed the search proximity.
The flaw in this analysis is the first flawed step: The two things are not equal to each other. The two, or elevently two, flights are not known to be equal to each other in altitude, therefore their comparison to the other thing (the Inmarsat Satellite) is not known to be equivalent.
The difference is in the known vs unknown altitude.
A Boeing 777-ER flight with consistent thrust at 12,000 feet compared to a flight with consistent thrust at 35,000 feet are not equal. EVEN IF their flight route is the same, their fuel load is the same, and their thrust quotient is the same, their altitude makes a big difference.
How big?
A throttle setting at 3/4ths capacity will generate an approximate forward speed of around 300 knots at 12,000 feet altitude. An identical throttle setting (3/4ths) capacity at 35,000 feet will generate a forward speed of around 475 knots. The fuel burn is essentially the same but the distance on each liter of fuel is much further at higher altitude.
- 1 knot = 1.15077945 miles per hour
- 300 knots = 345.24 MPH
- 475 knots = 546.62 MPH
The flight time is an assumption of 7.5 hours based on 6 ‘pings’ at 60 minute intervals and the absence of a 7th locating ping. So the assumption of time of flight is a constant at 7.5 hrs. So let’s just use the 7.5 flight time as a fixed aspect and look at two differing altitudes:
- [12,000 FT] If you take 7.5 hours X 345.24 MPH = 2,589 miles
- [35,000 FT] If you take 7.5 hours X 546.62 MPH = 4,100 miles
- Difference 1,511 miles
So you can see that based on altitude assumptions, in that example alone, the distance possible is 1,511 miles different.
Two identical planes, taking off from identical places, following identical paths, and using identical thrust, will run out of fuel almost at the same time. However, if they are at different altitudes, while they may run out of fuel together, the higher altitude plane will have travelled a much greater distance. If the flight time is longer, the disparity in distance grows even more.
The two things (planes), by being at differing altitudes, are not equal to the third thing (satellite). Therefore you simply CANNOT use such comparatives.
The Inmarsat data has no way to identify the altitude of the missing MH-370 flight.
ps. FWIW He still says odds are it went around the Southern tip of India (Maldives) because this due South flight plan just does not make a lick of sense.