When polling is driven by media contract it is generally useless; however, when three non-media polls are conducted on the same dates and deliver almost identical results, we can be more confident the outcome will generally be in line with the forecast.
Three polls from Trafalgar, Monmouth and Suffolk University all generally find the same outcome. President Trump is polling approximately 20 points ahead of Nikki Haley in New Hampshire:
♦ Suffolk University Poll: Trump 57%, Haley 38%
♦ Monmouth University Poll: Trump 52%, Haley 34%
♦ Trafalgar Polling: Trump 58%, Haley 36%
The multinational corps, Biden Team and Sea Island group were all hoping that New Hampshire’s open primary would allow Democrats to influence the outcome.
Historically, New Hampshire has been a playground for manipulated voting by cross-party voters, including activists from Massachusetts who coordinate travel voting for the closest contests. However, despite the advice from David Plouffe for Democrats to support Nikki Haley, it doesn’t appear there’s a close enough margin for them to make too much difference.
(via Politico ) – […] Trump’s lead over former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley has slowly but steadily increased in the Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS daily tracking poll over the past week. In interviews conducted Saturday and Sunday, Trump led Haley by 19 points, 57 percent to 38 percent.
That’s essentially identical to Trump’s lead in a new Monmouth University-Washington Post poll also released this morning. That survey shows Trump leading Haley by 18 points, 52 percent to 34 percent, with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who dropped out of the race Sunday, at 8 percent.
Moreover, DeSantis’ supporters are more likely to go to Trump than Haley. The Monmouth University release said backers of the Florida governor were twice as likely to pick Trump as their second choice than Haley, which is consistent with polling from Suffolk University and the University of New Hampshire over the weekend.
The most consequential divide in the GOP primary electorate remains party registration. In the Monmouth University-Washington Post poll, Trump leads among registered Republicans by a 3-to-1 margin, 64 percent to 22 percent. Haley has an advantage among independents, but it’s closer: 48 percent to 38 percent. (more)
Nikki Haley will do and support whatever her corporate masters tell her to do and support. Additionally, the backers have poured a lot of money into her campaign, and Nikki Haley doesn’t have much pride in herself, so even if she loses her own state of South Carolina by 40 points, she might stay in the race just to poke at President Trump if that’s what she is funded to do.
Nikki Haley is all about Nikki Haley, and she will be the first one to tell you what position in the Trump administration she will accept.
Even if no one votes for Nikki Haley and she is not given any job in the Trump administration, she will show up at the White House in January 2025 asking who is going to assist her in picking out office furniture for a cabinet level executive suite she is sure exists. That’s just the way Haley operates.
Nikki Haley is like the George Costanza character from Seinfeld – showing up to a job at the New York Yankees he doesn’t even have.
Hard to imagine Haley making an impact. If she can’t win in a state with an open primary, how does she expect to compete when she gets to Florida and Texas?
Arrogance and she’s being paid to do it, as outlined in the article.
“How does she expect to compete when she gets to Florida and Texas”.
” She” == her donor owners?
As Sundance made clear in his article that’s posted above this comment section, those are the ones, along with DC UniParty schemers who decide what she will or won’t do. And then she does what she’s been told to do.
She’s a meatbot; an NPC.
Perhaps consider that being able to “win a state” may not be the only reason her programmers have for telling her to compete in states they know she can not win?
Or better yet, dont and instead spend 100% of all available time, creativity and energy on gathering voters so President Trump is re elected.
After all, in just 296 days this last chance will be GONE FOREVER.
Nikki Haley is like the George Costanza character from Seinfeld – showing up to a job at the New York Yankees he doesn’t even have.
Careful, Sundance, don’t jinx this: George did get hired to work for the Yankees, and he did it with his new-found technique of saying everything the opposite of how he would have said it before his discovery that his INSTINCTS have always been wrong. So, he tells of Steinbrenner for making the Yanks a laughing stock, and the Boss says, “Hire that man, immediately.” Thus is born George’s Yankee career.
Great episodes. My wife and I just started watching them all again, season 1 to the finish. On Season 5 currently.
“Nikki Haley is like the George Costanza character from Seinfeld – showing up to a job at the New York Yankees he doesn’t even have.” 😀
The Uniparty now sees the handwriting on the wall, as proven by the Scott/Vivek/Desantis endorsements, and has likely made peace feelers to the Trump camp. Too early for serious discussions, but always nice to hear your enemy’s opening position.
At a point, Trump’s people can take the Uniparty’s VP list and toss it into the wastebasket right in front of them. That’s the next milestone event in this process, me thinks. He’s got the nomination nearly locked down now, and he can threaten Uniparty favs individually, with real damage. They may be forced to accede to him on some things, like the VP.
All quiet stuff. But important.
President Trump’s reply should be similar to Elon Musk’s retort to the X boycotters…
GFY
ALL of them
I hope he doesn’t choose a rino this time around!
Twenty percentage points is well within the Democrat/RINO “margin of victory” when counting all of the thumb drive vote
That percentage can easily be overcome by election now that all the kinks have been worked out of the steal over the past three election cycles
Nikki is the Rino replacement should the Democrats’ lawfare convict Trump.
I doubt she drops out no matter what.
At this point it seems she is only staying in the race hoping something happens to President Trump which IMO makes her an even more evil, vile disgusting globalist. Is she under the impression that Trump will not be on some ballots ? Does she think Trump can not be elected if he goes to jail ?
George showed up to a job from which he was fired.
Kramer went to work every day to a company that never hired him.
George got hired at the Yankees by saying everything that was opposite of the, ” right thing to say”. during his interview.
She blew it big time!
Of those three polling groups, Trafalger has the best track record. I hope all of the Trump supporters in New Hampshire get out there and vote today. With all the Demcommies from Massachusetts, the ignorant Governor, and the Dominion voting machines, there will be plenty of election tampering tonight. I will be staying up to see what happens to the vote totals after everyone in New Hampshire have gone to bed.
Trump will want all of the votes he can get today! McConartist is still alive and functioning well enough to cause more problems. He is one person I hoped would be deceased by now.