Barry? Head’s Up Louisiana and Northern Gulf Region…

A storm is gaining strength in the northern Gulf of Mexico and the National Hurricane Center is now predicting organization to hurricane strength late Friday. If you live in a gulf coast community pay attention to storm updates.

At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 27.7 North, longitude 88.0 West. The system is moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A motion toward the west is expected on Thursday, followed by a west-northwest motion on Friday and a northwestward motion by early Saturday. On the forecast track, the system is expected to approach the Louisiana coast this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the disturbance is forecast to become a tropical depression early Thursday, a tropical storm by late Thursday, and a hurricane by late Friday. (LINK)

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34 Responses to Barry? Head’s Up Louisiana and Northern Gulf Region…

  1. TreeClimber says:

    Here we go… buckle up…

    Praying for safety for all in this storm’s path.

    Liked by 9 people

  2. Raindrops keep falling on my head…..
    Ughh
    Possible landfall …. My front yard.
    Grrrrrr
    We are almost ready. Will finish getting everything together tomorrow.

    Liked by 6 people

  3. mj_inOC says:

    Prayers for those in Gordon’s path… be wise, listen to Those you trust, and know America is praying for all of you…
    And sending you some CA dry weather and sunshine.
    Been through many from N’awlins to MD, and always His promise from first chapter of Joshua, “I will never fail thee nor forsake thee. Be strong and of good courage.”

    Liked by 10 people

  4. Sherri Young says:

    I am in Baton Rouge tonight. Every river I crossed getting here today looked quite swollen already.

    Liked by 3 people

  5. ATheoK says:

    Maybe a cat 1 hurricane.
    New Orleans is prepared for those.

    Flooding? Local rains in south Louisiana flow into the swamps, bayous, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Borgne. Atchafalaya Basin and maybe the Pearl River.

    The Mississippi River carries all of the waters from this country’s immense Mississippi drainage. The local drainages around Baton Rouge, New Orleans and South Louisiana are micro-drainages into the Mississippi River.

    Can New Orleans flood? Certainly, and New orleans has frequently flooded in the past.
    But, that flooding is all local rainfall, not Mississippi River flooding unless the River Dikes fail. A failure that is not because of local rain, but caused by rain that fell far upriver.
    Rain local to New Orleans drains into or is pumped into the Lakes, bayous and swamps.

    Like

    • desperatelyseekingmelania says:

      Parts of New Orleans are already flooded and this thing hasn’t even gotten there yet

      Liked by 1 person

      • vexedmi says:

        Orleans has a dike that can handle 20 feet. The Mississippi is expected to crest at 20ft or a little over with the rains from Barry added….OH MY!!

        Like

        • czarowniczy says:

          The levees are armored to 20 feet, that’s the main design point. The levees are ‘protective’ up to 25 feet or more in some places and in the few areas where they are a bit lower the Corps has huge sand bags designed to plug them. The river around NOLA is also about a half-mile wide so despite the river being higher than normal for this time of the year it’s going to take a lot of water over an extended period of time with a heavy, sustained wind to push that much water up and over.

          The worst expected all around is some waves sloshing over but that would be mostly unexpected. What we’re watching is those feeder outfall canals that failed in Katrina, they can flood the city without any help from the lake or river, as we’ve seen. They will bear the brunt of the water as they hold it for the pump stations to pump into the river or lake. If this is the rainmaker many fear it will be this will be the test to see how well those billions of taxpayer dollars were spent.

          Like

      • czarowniczy says:

        No longer, pumps have taken care of it. There’s a bit of standing water where residents haven’t taken the self-serving actions of cleaning the catch basin inlets by their homes, instead waiting for the city to do it.

        Issue yesterday was a storm that moved in and blew up, feeding off of the ambient humidity of a city surrounded on all sides by water. Even then it was a very few areas that had the 6-to-8 inches of rain (no ‘official’ totals) inside of two or so hours, the rest of the flooding being largely due to the pumps not being able to readily deal with the large amounts of water moving through the labyrinth of drainage canals and pipes.

        Part of the problem is that through really crappy engineering due to ‘favoritism’ and plain stupidity there are places that flood predictably, especially underpasses. The press gathers at these spots as they know they’ll flood and they know that inevitably some jerk will drive into them even though there are rulers painted/attached to the supports showing how many feet of water are in the underpasses. It’s a gimme.

        The city is basically a huge swimming pool. Just about all of the city on the east side of the river is below sea level except for some very thin areas parallelling the river, the Esplanade ridge and two man made piles of recreational dirt. The remainder’s mostly covered over with concrete or asphalt, water doesn’t soak in it freely runs to the lowest areas and back fills. The pumps are designed to push out a regular rain event. not a major storm; at that point they they are designed to remove the water over time for eventual recovery – as they did post-Katrina.

        We know what happens in a storm, those of us who lived and worked thru Katrina saw that the nattering nabobs of negativity were right on. The city’s pumping system is so old it has parts in the generators and pumps themselves that are no longer available, they have to be custom made. The city is now trying to refit its pumps to the standard electricity supplied by the city’s main power supplier Entergy. The system is so old that the pumps use a voltage/frequency no longer used anywhere with the pumps being powered by separate generators and converters.

        It’s a mess but it’s our mess. Sloooooly the issues are being directed – about 118 to 119 of the available 120 pumps are up and working. For the first time in decades most of the thousands of catch basins are clean and open and the major drainage canals are clear. There’s that issue of the city’s residents historically using the streets for open trash disposal and the canals as dumping grounds for things from shopping carts to household appliances but we’re hopeful the city caught them before they entered the covered drainage areas and plugged them. We’ve seen worse than this.

        Liked by 4 people

  6. dayallaxeded says:

    I’m in NOLA–about 3 miles from the Stupor Dome as the crow flies. “We” as a city are not even remotely ready for a hurricane or any serious storm. Large areas of the city have flooded twice in 60 days from nothing more than hard rains, the latest this morning. That hadn’t happened, especially not on this scale, since about 1995 (Katrina doesn’t count–floods in the main part of the city came from levee breaches, not rain or even direct storm surge).

    What changed? What’s gone wrong? We’re all scratching our heads and pointing fingers, but a couple of things are certainties–we’re a Dementocrat-tumor on the Gulf Coast, so anything relating to gummint or infrastructure or common sense is out the window and down the crapper. The Corpse of Engineers ain’t all they’re cracked up to be and suffer from terminal hubris–only thing is it’s terminal for us, not them. Our drainage pumping system and those who operate it follow the Dementocrat model referenced above. So, in short, please pray for us, including that the ignorant, criminal, lazy, and stupid be lifted up and their ways corrected.

    I’m pretty well prepared, though I wasn’t yesterday morning, so lost 4 vehicles (but have insurance, thankfully); all living areas of my home and all services are above flood elevation, so I could even tough out something like Katrina. Though I didn’t expect this new, horrible normal, I lived here through the nasty “May Floods” of the 80’s and 90’s and rebuilt immediately after Katrina, so I just have to remember what to do and get fresh gas for the generators. Prayers up for all in the way of storms and floods! In Jesus name, AMEN!

    Liked by 9 people

    • sharon goodson says:

      problem is it will be a slow moving storm taking 24 hours to go from NOLA to Jackson, MS – slow moving means a lot of rain dump. Hell broke loose with 7 in in 4 hours – we are expecting at least 11-12 inches in 4 hours and now they predict it may hover and dump. The levee by Audubon Park is 2 feet below crest of top. Army Corp is trying to sandbag it tonight.

      Liked by 3 people

    • czarowniczy says:

      Hardly anything changed, that’s the problem. And it’s NOLA, that hasn’t changed either.

      Look at the railway underpass on the expressway that blocks THE mnajhor evacuation route to the west comes immediately to mind. Someone didn’t want to spend the money to raise the railway bridge so a huge underpass was built. It flooded during Katrina and blocked the main in and out of the city on the I-10. Did the city redesign it? Oh no, they built a multi-million dollar pumping plant just for that one underpass, it pumps to the canal about a mile away, the same canal that failed during Katrina and put more water into the underpass.

      That huge open drainage and navigation canal that paralleled to the Pontchartrain Expressway and drained much of the city was narrowed, boxed in and covered over leaving fewer and narrower pipe systems to drain more and more concrete. Even the new stopgap and super expensive drainage the city’s put in downtown did little to stop the recent rains flooding the street. Let’s face it, we have a clown circus running the show here.

      Liked by 2 people

      • dayallaxeded says:

        The deal with the Mounes underpass (as it’s unaffectionately known and available for viewing when the LA-DOT traffic cams are operational) is an incredible, BS, Corpse of Engineers vs. LA-DOT/USA-DOT boondoggle. The obvious solution, would’ve been to build an overpass above the train bridge. There’s higher elevated highway about 4 miles away near the Dome. Shouldn’t have been a big deal. But the only $ available was for drainage, so drainage is what was built. That very impressive white elephant pumping station was also supposed to be a helper to help move water from NOLA city pumping stations into the 17th Street Canal and Lake Pontchartrain. I have no idea of whether it’s working or not. It hasn’t been discussed in any of the recent news, afaik.

        Liked by 1 person

        • czarowniczy says:

          And if I remember correctly the City owns that rail line just as they do the line and marshalling yards on both sides of the Huey P. In either event – building the Pontchartrain roadway over the tracks or raising the tracks themselves – the folks in the area would have been upset about the increased noise.

          That idiot box pumping station, if you remember, failed in its first attempt to pump after it was built. The question is how reliable it will be when it has to pump over an extended period and keep the I-10 West evac route open. And God forbid the still questionable 17th Street canal should fail…again…as there seems to be some on-and-off seepage.

          Liked by 2 people

  7. Truthfilter says:

    We live 45 minutes south of New Orleans along Bayou Lafourche in Thibodaux. We are vacationing in the Missouri Ozarks through Sunday. We thought about cancelling this trip but then we are always prepared for these storms. So we locked everything down and drove up here today.

    Sometimes the storms aren’t as severe as predicted and other times we have regretted not leaving. When the water rises and the power goes out for days in hot/humid south Louisiana, we’d rather be floating down a cold Ozark mountain river. I don’t care how many generators we have- the aftermath of a hurricane is miserable. Days to weeks with no power. Snakes and flotillas of fire ants -my lawn becomes a small island for them. Dead fish all over my yard when the water goes down. And the stench. It’s a good time to be go on vacation.

    Liked by 5 people

    • dayallaxeded says:

      But it’s all worth it for the boudin. Amirite!? 😋

      Like

      • Dayall, I live 90 minutes due west of truthfilter.

        Sadly it is not worth it for the boudin.
        However, it is worth it for the
        Boiled crawfish
        And the fresh shrimp and fish
        And soft shell crab and ….

        Awww, I guess it’s worth it for the bowdin, if that’s your thing
        And cracklins ….

        Liked by 2 people

    • czarowniczy says:

      Oh the Lower 9th and Arabie s they dried out, yum. I had sinus infections well into 2006 from that dark grey crap that was kicked up as dust by our trucks. Oh yeah, and the smell of the meat locker/plant downtown until they cleaned that out or the thousands of freezers and refrigerators that were stored off of West End in the hot sun. NOLA can be a carnival of smells.

      Liked by 2 people

  8. boomerbeth says:

    Bâri′, Barry, Barack?
    Hurricane Bari Soetoro Obana aka Bari Malik Shabazz left irreversible damage.
    No more Barrys

    Liked by 5 people

    • TexanInFL says:

      I immediately thought the same thing. Hopefully full of hot air and some rain. I live in Perdido Key, FL. Circular rain and humidity. Gulf coast.

      Like

  9. Hillaryisguilty says:

    All you people along the Gulf Coast stock up and stay safe. We’ll probably get more rain here in Oklahoma; but the hurricanes are unpredictable around the Gulf. Some of those storms can turn into monsters. Again, stay safe.

    Like

  10. diogenes says:

    I hope all the Treepers in the storm’s path stay safe and dry. I also vote we rename the storm Barack instead of Barry. Out of respect for Persons of Color ™. 🙂

    Liked by 3 people

  11. RobInPA says:

    Hurricane “Barry”, huh?!

    So we can then expect it to take a hard-left track and wipe out northern Mexico?!

    Sounds good to me!

    LOL!!

    Liked by 2 people

  12. MikeyParks says:

    Hurricane “Barry”? Will it suck rather than blow?

    Liked by 4 people

  13. Stay safe everyone! I will be praying for you all!🙏🙏💜

    Liked by 2 people

  14. tozerbgood8315 says:

    Liked by 1 person

  15. L. Gee says:

    All I can say is, if it floods New Orleans again, PLEASE, PLEASE DO NOT send everyone to Texas! We’ve got enough riff-raff now, thank you!

    Like

  16. czarowniczy says:

    Louisiana governor’s on giving his rah-rah speech. The Gov just gave the Corp’s new guesstimate of the possible Mississippi rise (out of the NOLA office) as being downgraded to 19 instead of 20 feet, meaning even the possibility of a wave splashing over is remote. Interesting that the Gov was given that revised estimate instead of the mayor – then again it is reelection time for him. To meet the need for a low level of panic the response to the lowering of the peak possibility from 20 to 19 feet is ‘BUT IT CAN STILL HAPPEN!!!’. Panic springs eternal.

    The Gov will be in Chalmette to the east of NOLA this afternoon. Good political choice so as not to upstage the song and dance the NOLA mayor’s doing, Chalmette is unincorporated. He can show a commanding presence in the face of possible pending disaster and will be available in case the 1st responders need something densec and otherwise useless to plug a levee leak.

    Mayor’s underlings are on TV telling us how the ferries are all open and will be running at least throughout the day as a live on-scene feed is showing the Guard blocking the Westbank ferry landing at Chalmette. Still some bugs in the works.

    Like

  17. czarowniczy says:

    The Democratic governor of Louisiana showed up at the levee where the Chalmette-New Orleans ferry crosses the levee. The spot’s directly behind the huge Chalmette refinery and the refinery checks that levee regularly – it keeps the river from flooding the plant.

    Anyway, just before the governor show up to address the assembled media an 18-wheeler with pallets of sandbags shows up and a few National Guard folks start unloading bags. They are laying sandbags in the back while the Gov is taking a commanding pose talking about making sure the levees arfe safe (Gov’s wearing a blue workshirt!!).

    Gov leaves, press unass the site, Guardsfolkm pull out, gate to levee closed and locked. There is one skimpy layer of sandbags about 5 feet down from the crown and no more than 50 feet long – that’s it. The bare patch of dirt from the bags to the gate is uncovered as is the rest of the levee face upriver.

    I’ve lain more sandbags with the military than I ever care to think about as well as hi-water related bags in NOLA. That one thin layer was nothing but a photo-op, it was and is useless in protecting anything on the levee but the Governor’s position as the leader of the state (more than a hint of sarcasm there). I fully expect him to be back sloshing through the flood, if there is one, telling the sotted residents he feels their pain and would fart rainbows for them but for Trump’s being in office. I imagine he can get at least two free meals outta this disaster at pricey NOLA eateries before the Rambo makeup washes off.

    BTW, I called the local Fox station , explained the sandbagging and they hung up on me right quick. Even Fox is joining the circus.

    Like

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