Hurricane Michael Enters Georgia Retaining 125 Cat3 Windspeed….

Hurricane Michael made landfall near Mexico Beach, FL, as a strong 155 mph hurricane.  The storm is now entering the southeast Georgia area while retaining quite a bit of energy.  The 5:00pm EST advisory: Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Michael is a dangerous category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

STORM SURGE: Water levels are beginning to recede in some locations, however, the combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will continue to cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. (read more)

Due to the speed of the storm there will be convoys coming to construct a pre-planned electricity grid recovery process even before nightfall today. Convoys from every city, town and state from the east-coast to the mid-west. A glorious melding of dirty fingernails all arriving for the meet-up. Depending on your proximity to the bigger picture objectives at hand, you will cherish their arrival.

But first, there will be an assessment. The convoys will stage at pre-determined locations using radios for communication. Most cell phone services will likely be knocked out. Recovery teams will begin a street-by-street review; everything needs to be evaluated prior to thinking about beginning to rebuild a grid. Your patience within this process is needed; heck, it ain’t like you’ve got a choice in the matter…. so just stay positive.

Meanwhile, you might walk outside and find yourself a stranger in your neighborhood.

It will all be cattywampus.

Trees gone, signs gone, crap everywhere, if you don’t need to travel, DON’T.

I mean CRAP e.v.e.r.y.w.h.e.r.e.

Stay away from power-lines.

Try to stay within your immediate neighborhood for the first 36-48 hours. Keep the roadways and main arteries clear for recovery workers, power companies and fuel trucks.

Florida Recovery Staging Area

Stage one focuses on major arteries… then secondary… then neighborhood etc. It’s a process. Oh, and don’t get mad if your fancy mailbox is ploughed-over by a focused front end loader who is on a priority mission to clear a path. Just deal with it. Those same front-end loaders will also be removing feet of sand from coastal roads. Don’t go sightseeing… stay in your neighborhood.

For the first 36-48 hours, please try to stay close to home, in your neighborhood. Another reason to stay close to home is the sketchy people who can sometimes surface, looters etc. Staying close to home and having contact with your neighbors is just reasonable and safer.

Phase-1 recovery is necessarily, well, scruffy…. we’re just moving and managing the mess; not trying to clean it up yet. It’ll be ok. There are going to be roofing nails everywhere, and you will likely get multiple flat tires in the weeks after the hurricane.

Now, when the recovery teams arrive…. If you are on the road and there’s a convoy of utility trucks on the road, pull over. Treat power trucks and tanker trucks like ambulances and emergency vehicles. Pull over, give them a clear road and let them pass.

When everyone gets to work, if you see a line-man, pole-digger or crew say thanks. Just simple “thanks”. Wave at them and give them a thumbs-up. No need to get unnecessarily familiar, a simple: “thank you for your help” will suffice. You know, ordinary people skills.

Many of these smaller crews will be sleeping in cots, or in their trucks while they are working never-ending shifts. Some will be staging at evacuation shelters, likely schools and such. The need to shelter people and recovery crews might also delay the re-opening of schools.

Power Crews prep, fuel-up and prepare to rebuild power grid…

Once you eventually start getting power back, if you see a crew in a restaurant, same thing applies… “thanks guys”. If you can pay their tab, do it. If you can pay their tab without them knowing, even better.

Same goes for the tanker truckers. The convenience stores with gas pumps are part of the priority network. Those will get power before other locales without power. Fuel outlets are a priority. Fuel is the lifeblood of recovery. Hospitals, first responders, emergency facilities, fuel outlets, then comes commercial and residential.

Remember, this is important – YOU are the first responder for your neighborhood. Don’t quit. Recovery is a process. Depending on the scale of the impact zone, the process can take days, weeks and even months.

Take care of your family first; then friends and neighborhood, and generally make a conscious decision to be a part of any needed solution.

Pray together and be strong together. It might sound goofy to some, but don’t be bashful about being openly thankful in prayer.

It will be ok.

It might be a massive pain in the a**, but in the end, it’ll be ok.

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136 Responses to Hurricane Michael Enters Georgia Retaining 125 Cat3 Windspeed….

  1. Pam says:


    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
    ———————————————–
    LOCATION…32.1N 83.8W
    ABOUT 45 MI…70 KM SSW OF MACON GEORGIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 20 MPH…31 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…970 MB…28.65 INCHES

    Liked by 2 people

  2. Pam says:

    Liked by 3 people

  3. squid2112 says:

    Ummm, yeah .. I would be careful about believing all of the hype .. as Tony points out in this article:

    Something Bad Happened, So Turn Off Your Brain
    https://realclimatescience.com/2018/10/something-bad-happened-so-turn-off-your-brain/

    Liked by 1 person

  4. Sundance thank you for your efforts.. but..
    Folks, I’m going to BUST alot of bubbles here..
    **NO WAY** this Storm came ashore a Cat 5 or CAT 4…. Or 3..
    MORE like a Mid-Level CAT 2.. IF that..
    (I’ve been “observing” the Buoys off shore)..
    NONE SUPPORTED “CAT 4 or 5” at the Surface offshore.. NONE..
    REMEMBER THIS ,, NONE!.. EVERYONE GOING ON THE NHC, “Flight level winds”.. & dropsondes..
    phhifft.. >spit “His truck would have been lifted and thrown; I would have watched him die on live video. It didn’t happen. –> Much like,, AKA Rusty Wallace at Talladega.. Or a 2013 Wild wreck @ Daytona.. @ 150 mph..
    (think about it)..
    Yes, Mexico Beach and parts of PC got trashed — mostly by surge. (Happened here in Wilmington too).. Same thing as pictured..
    No big shock there. But most of those buildings you’re seeing have intact roofs. Not all (there’s a fair bit of older stuff over there that was not designed to modern codes) but most.
    And that’s important because in a Cat 4+ storm there’s damn near nothing left; that’s an EF3 tornado!
    Hurricanes are nasty but let’s stop with the bull**t. The video coming in (and the livestreams) do not support Cat 4 or 5 winds — and neither does the available set of data from wind gauges right at impact. In the same videos you see someone’s roof go flying there’s a billboard that’s standing proud, tall and undamaged. (Or a Gas Station Canopy) Or..
    At one point I saw a “Stop sign” It SHOULD of been Ripped off or broken at 120mph+ THEY are now designed to do this! Or in case of cars hitting them they are designed to break at the base..
    That does not happen in a Cat 4 storm. (Or the Gas Canopy I saw still left standing)..
    The reason you board up your house is in evidence right there in those videos. In a Cat 4 or 5, it does not matter as the entire building, unless it’s reinforced concrete or similar, will be flattened. If you get surged you’re screwed.
    The reason you board up your house is that in a Cat 1 or 2 and moderate 3 if your house and roof is up to code and if you do not get hit with surge it will remain intact right up until the guy down the street, who doesn’t have a place up to said code or has a bunch of crap laying around in his yard winds up generating missiles that go through your windows!
    The “homes that were there and were moved” and are destroyed are nearly all mobile homes – and there are a lot of them in that area. That’s very typical Cat 1 or 2 damage; most to all mobile homes will be destroyed in a Cat 1 or 2.
    Again, there were LOTS of Mobile Homes in the area(s) affected!
    The same that happened here in Surf City, NC..
    They simply cannot take 100mph winds.
    I’m not trying to make light of this storm folks. .
    If you were between Panama City and Apalachicola, or even east to Carabelle and similar and in a place subject to surge, or in a mobile home, or in a structure **NOT** built to modern codes for the (Last 30+ years),, your roof in particular then yes, you got your roof ripped off or Flooded,
    But the damage I’m seeing is typical of a Cat 2 — not a Cat 4.
    Those running a politicized level of “reporting” on storms like this do a great disservice. When an actual Cat 4 or 5 impact looms those who went through this one, didn’t get surged and were in modern construction will stay and die.
    We must put a stop to this sort of “grade inflation” especially among those doing it for political (e.g. Globullshit warming) reasons — they are going to get people killed.
    This said, a experienced Hurricane “Survivor” Since 1969 here in SENC..
    I “tracked this Storm via **Buoys** NONE of them even showed “Cat 4 or Cat 3” winds on the open Ocean..
    CT..
    Also credits to the “Tickerguy” I added and left some of His Montage in place..
    NOW,, here is something Legit..
    Its really cool.. I’ve only seen this happen once..

    THAT said, Take Sundance’s advise..
    ——————————————————————————————-

    COOK OUT on the grille with the COLD FRONT FOLLOWING , NICE Weather.
    Have A beer.. Do like My Misses did.. Be patient..
    IMPORTANT:

    GIVE those Line-men & workers a cold bottle of water, (if you have it)..
    OFFER them breakfast or Lunch.. If they are nearby.. it’s HELPS..

    A HOT MEAL is MUCH gratitude , MOST of these Folks just got done here in SENC..
    ASK THEM if they need ‘Laundry” done!
    (Many sleep in their trucks!)
    Do What you can too HELP them, though,, DO NOT get in the way..

    Liked by 1 person

    • smiley says:

      FYI….Mexico Beach…

      Like

    • smiley says:

      Mexico Beach…

      Like

    • Volchek says:

      FYI… weather buoys at sea often give a false impression of the wind speeds due to the size of the swells during a tropical storm. The peaks/valleys of the swells cause the wind speed to be averaged. I used Ventusky to track Micheal which is a composite of weather buoys, Doppler radar, and weather satellite data from around the world. Sea Level wind speeds for Micheal were *averaging* 95 to 105 mph. There is an option on Ventusky to view wave height and intensity. Micheal was pushing 40ft+ waves in the gulf.

      Ventusky also allows you to view wind speed at 100m and 250m above sea level.

      At 100m above sea level Micheal was consistently breaking 145mph sustained winds on the eastern side of the storm. It was this part of the storm that hit Tyndal AFB and Mexico Beach. Most of the video I’ve seen so far was shot from the west side of the eyewall in PC and PCB, which were Cat 2/3 in strength.

      IT WAS A CAT 4 when it made landfall. Look up the video taken outside the main gate of Tyndal AFB. You can tell the wind speed was over 140mph.

      Liked by 1 person

      • looking for info says:

        No it wasn’t, the proper reading for wind speed is at ground level not 100m or 250m.
        Averaging 95-105 is not a Cat 4, it starts at 131mph.
        The highest speed at Tyndal AFB was 129mph and that was not sustained as required, the sustained speed was 119mph.
        The other requirement for a cat 4 is the Pressure which also was not low enough, in Panama city it was only down to 937mb.
        Yet again a Storm has been overhyped as to it’s ferocity and in no way compares to previous Cat 4 & 5 Hurricanes.
        That does not mean it was not dangerous or produced damage, it just means that like everything else about Climate it was over hyped.
        As to your photos, have you looked at historical photos from previous Hurricanes?
        Try this for comparison

        Like

        • smiley says:

          maybe you weren’t paying attention yesterday…

          the wind speed at Mexico Beach on impact was recorded as 155 mph.

          the hurricane force winds extended outward 45 miles.

          TS force winds extended out 175 miles.

          Panama City and Tyndall AFB both lie northwest of Mexico Beach…the brunt of the storm was in the NE quadrant…

          ..from Mexico Beach…ground zero.

          every single major hurricane has its usual conspiracy-hype naysayers…incl Irma which rocked my town (Naples, Fl).

          Like

          • looking for info says:

            Can you give me the Station number to chack that claim against?

            Like

            • I find this discussion interesting. Thanks for offering counter information and asking for sources of the information others proffer.

              Like

              • looking for info says:

                Practically every Hurricane & Typhoon has been overhyped by the MSM over the last 5-10 years, when the actual ground based data, ie comparing to historical data is revealed it shows that the storms drop one or two rating on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.
                The problem could come about that there really will be a Cat 5 and people will think it will only be as bad as the ones experienced lately, they were bad enough, but look up the actual devistation caused by historical Cat 5s.

                Like

            • smiley says:

              you know-it-all so look it up yourself.

              Liked by 1 person

      • “you can tell”..
        NO HARD DATA to support your “assumptions”..
        BTW the Air Force base reported MAX Wind “gusts” of,, wait for it..
        109 mph..

        Like

        • Doreen Scott says:

          Looking at that film I would say the most a Cat 2 or 3 the most. Most Windows are still intact. Don’t go by roofs coming off that can happen in a smaller storm depending on the type of roof and if in has roof ties. The ones that had the most damage were old frame building or little old stores with flat roofs probaly already in bad shape with rotten wood.

          Liked by 1 person

    • Doreen Scott says:

      When I saw the news people outside standing I knew that the winds could not possibly be 155 miles per hour. You could not possibly stand up with Cat 4 winds.

      Liked by 1 person

  5. Blind no longer says:

    http://www.newsherald.com/news/20181010/like-atomic-bomb

    Thank the good Lord our house made it in Panama City Beach!!! Our metal roof held and we just lost a fence! Some of our neighbors were not so lucky, but are safe! What a difference 5 miles can make!!! The east end of the beach has much more structural damage and the further down you go, it keeps getting worse! This is the local newspaper site in PCB and there are some pics that people posted. I guess we will know more this morning. Thanks for the prayers everyone!

    Liked by 1 person

  6. Is FEMA and other disaster aid based on storm category in any way?

    Like

  7. Molly Pitcher says:

    A series of damage pix in the hardest hit areas. Terrible destruction.
    http://www.apalachtimes.com/photogallery/DA/20181011/NEWS/101109997/PH/1?start=3

    Like

  8. Doreen Scott says:

    The storm surge in the worst. In the picture with the boat the marathon gas canopy is still in good shape so not wind damage but water. That’s why people should not live that close to the water.

    Like

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