11:00pm Update Hurricane Florence – Slight Weakening as Storm Stays On Predicted Course…

According to the 11:00pm advisory Hurricane Florence has weakened to a Category 2 storm with winds at 110mph.  Forward speed is still around 17mph and it is located approximately 280 miles east south-east of Wilmington North Carolina. [16 hrs away]

Time Lapse Forecast Map Available Here

At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Florence was located near latitude 32.0 North, longitude 73.7 West. Florence is moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion, accompanied by a gradual decrease in forward speed, is expected to continue through Thursday. A turn to the west-northwest and west at an even slower forward speed is expected Thursday night and Friday, and a slow west-southwestward motion is forecast Friday night and Saturday.

On the forecast track, the center of Florence will approach the coasts of North and South Carolina on Thursday, then move near or over the coast of southern North Carolina and eastern South Carolina in the hurricane warning area on Thursday night and Friday. A slow motion over eastern South Carolina is forecast Friday night and Saturday. (read more)

(Link to National Hurricane Center)

Advertisements
This entry was posted in Hurricance Florence, Uncategorized, Weather Events. Bookmark the permalink.

213 Responses to 11:00pm Update Hurricane Florence – Slight Weakening as Storm Stays On Predicted Course…

  1. smiley says:

    meanwhile…. Isaac …Gulf folks…

    Liked by 1 person

    • smiley says:

      probably a “trough” as the tropical storm “dissipates” into a depression, just south of Cuba.

      convection cells can form within those troughs…esp in warm waters.

      right now, the convection is so shallow, it’s off the radar…?

      go away.

      Like

    • Howie says:

      Eye just reformed. Bad. Drudge idiot photo say collapse. Mope I jusk clocked 130 sustained and it nears coast. Ugly. Small eye just now started. UGLY.

      Like

      • smiley says:

        hoping it’ll weaken with wind shear after Antilles…but if/when it globs up into the Gulf even as a “trough”….well…worrisome.

        several possible scenarios.

        Like

      • smiley says:

        seems likely, at this time…could change…

        how are you getting 103 mph ?? you mean NOW ?

        right now it’s around 45 mph…40 knots…something like that.

        you mean 103 mph when it gets up into the Gulf, right ?

        I hope NOT…but if it has any juice at all if/when it veers north, just west of Cuba there….anything can happen in the Gulf.

        the stronger it is…the more westerly it’ll go.

        the weaker it is…the more east…

        way I understand it.

        Like

        • smiley says:

          wait…what happened to that graphic I just posted ??

          it totally changed to something else…??

          what the..?

          Like

          • smiley says:

            looks like Levi has changed that first graphic I posted for the GFS model…he removed that and replaced it with the one now showing at my post up there..

            whatever.

            these images will automatically update, at the post.

            that’s what happened.

            Like

      • smiley says:

        Howie,,,if you’re still reading this…activate this model w/ the forward arrow at top…watch what Isaac does when it’s just south of Cuba…look at the dark blue/blue area..

        https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=atl&pkg=mslpaNorm

        this model will keep changing…this is diff from this am..this has Isaac as “something” moving up due north thru Cuba.

        Like

  2. Pam says:

    Good news, bad news…

    The good news is that the storm continues to weaken. The bad news is that it is continuing to slow down.

    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
    ———————————————–
    LOCATION…33.4N 75.5W
    ABOUT 145 MI…230 KM ESE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 195 MI…315 KM E OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…955 MB…28.20 INCHES

    Like

  3. Pam says:

    Like

  4. Ziiggii says:

    no change with the latest update for the rain band

    Liked by 1 person

  5. Doc says:

    The press is probly very disheartened that the storm is weakening

    Liked by 1 person

  6. fuzzi says:

    My dh’s employer decided that he was essential medical personnel, and so he’s at work, for a couple days. I am not amused.

    We’ve had some wind here, on and off all morning, but the first outer rain bands just hit. As soon as there’s a break in the rain, I’m going outside to take down the bird feeders. The birds have been very active this morning, “stocking up”.

    Laundry is done, dishes washed, bags of ice into chests, aquariums have had a last water change. Once the power goes off the perishables that I’ll want to use in the next 24-36 hours will be moved into the coolers and a big piece of duct tape will be placed across the refrigerator door handle as a reminder to NOT open the doors!

    Oh, and I brewed enough coffee for the next two days, and have stored it in a vacuum bottle to keep it somewhat warm…I like my coffee!

    Liked by 4 people

  7. smiley says:

    10 mph now.

    really slowing down.

    ugh

    Like

  8. Ziiggii says:

    Like

  9. Kent says:

    I simply can’t wrap my mind around sitting for days while a hurricane rages outside….when they have forward movement is bad enough….

    Prayers for the people affected by all of this.

    Liked by 1 person

  10. PotP says:

    Frying pan tower camera (34 miles offshore) is pretty impressive

    Imagine being on a ship rolling & pitching in tbat

    Liked by 1 person

  11. Ziiggii says:

    this is also what I’ve been noticing all morning

    she’s getting over the really warm Gulf Stream waters… if the slow down continues that could spell real BIG trouble for points north of the emerald coast to Morehead City. I am surprised that we have not started to see the westerly turn yet; was expecting something with that in the 11am update. It’s still 145 miles off the coast so the slow down will be nerve racking the next 24 hours – how slow will it become & when does the turn start to happen. All things to be watching between now and tomorrow morning.

    Like

  12. Howie says:

    DDD Report….Florence….Catastrophic Major….Epic about to happen….It is growing ….The Big Ugly tonight. 140 right now.

    Like

  13. carole says:

    Granville County, NC Emergency Mgmt has said since the impact of Florence will be “minimal” here, they have decided not to open a (formerly announced) shelter in Oxford. But now the major of Oxford (Granville County Seat) has declared a state of emergency and asked people to stay in their homes until given the all-clear. Emergency personnel only are to be out and about… Wish my husband were still here. Not relishing going through this alone.

    Liked by 2 people

  14. Ziiggii says:

    😂😂😂😂👇

    Liked by 1 person

    • Pam says:

      Too funny but true. Of course it’s serious business. Tell that to the people in Charlotte who got whacked by Hurricane Hugo after it made landfall in Charleston. Those were some very shocking pictures that were shown on TV there just hours after the eye had passed over. I don’t think I’ll ever forget it.

      Liked by 1 person

  15. Pam says:

    Like

  16. Ziiggii says:

    His pin is set at Southport, NC the location of the last record breaking rainfall totals with Floyd in ’99

    Like

  17. Howie says:

    Florence is going to Florence. Amazing.

    Like

  18. Howie says:

    Already over the dunes in NC and it has not yet begun.

    Like

  19. Ziiggii says:

    idiot👇

    Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s