Hurricane Matthew Update – Florida East Coast, The Time Window to Prepare is Now…

At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), radar data from Guantanamo, Cuba, along with reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft, indicate that the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 74.4 West. Matthew is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue overnight.


A turn toward the north-northwest is expected today, followed by a northwest turn Wednesday night. Matthew will be moving across the Bahamas through Thursday, and is expected to be very near the east coast of Florida by Thursday evening.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through at least Thursday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km).
The minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance aircraft data is 962 mb (28.41 inches).  (more)

FLORIDA […] While it is too soon to know if it will make a direct hit on Florida or somewhere else along the US coast, Matthew is expected to create dangerous conditions.

A hurricane watch is in place for parts of Florida, which is already experiencing bands of rain from the storm.

Florida governor Rick Scott met emergency officials along the coast, starting out in the Keys and travelling north. At a news conference in Daytona Beach, he noted that the storm’s predicted path can change quickly.

“We can rebuild your home, we can rebuild your business. We can’t rebuild your life,” Scott warned. “We are preparing for the worst, hoping for the best and not taking any chances,” Scott said, as he visited emergency management officials in the Florida Keys.

The governor urged residents along the Interstate 95 motorway corridor to start making preparations, which include having at least a three-day supply of water, food and medicine.  (more)

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226 Responses to Hurricane Matthew Update – Florida East Coast, The Time Window to Prepare is Now…

  1. Pepperjelly says:

    Liked by 2 people

  2. smiley says:


    check out the European Model of “the loop” if this storm does actually stall out and swing back around after the Carolinas…image is at the end of the article, towards bottom of page..

    Liked by 1 person

  3. (Cross-posted to the Open thread)

    For the Treepers who are facing Hurricane Matthew, remember: In the eye of the storm, He remains in control.

    “In the eye of the storm, You remain in control
    In the middle of the war, You guard my soul
    You alone are the anchor, when my sails are torn
    Your love surrounds me in the eye of the storm.”

    Liked by 2 people

  4. lawrencepaul1 says:

    Wonder if I will still have a house when I get back to SC.
    I left one year ago while we were waist deep in water and it looks like it will be pretty much the same when I get back. Can’t wait to get home though.


  5. tony says:

    got friends in north miami and im in tampa. they got it worse.


  6. smiley says:

    if you look at the NOAA graphic (most recent) for Tropical Storm Force Winds (today thru next Monday)…

    …it looks like Matthew will merge with Nicole sometime early next week (!!).

    combining in that very troubling “loop” scenario.

    not liking that at all.


  7. ginaswo says:

    Prayers up for all in the path of the storm
    stay safe Treepers

    Liked by 1 person

  8. Howie says:

    DDD Report. If you live on one of the E Coast barrier Islands. If you evacuate they will not let you back home until the wind is over and the State bridge inspector can inspect the bridge to the mainland. Also if the traffic Lights are out. Be ready to stay away a few days. The weather could get nice but they will keep the bridge closed. I would not leave if at all possible. Just get plenty Ice and get someplace that you can avoid the ‘surge’ if you can, or be prepared to stay away for a good time. Ice is a key once power is out. As much as you can get ahold of. This guy could kill the power grid BIG TIME! Plan for the worst!

    Liked by 1 person

  9. Pam says:

    Here is the 2pm ET intermediate advisory:

    Liked by 1 person

  10. Howie says:

    Once it clears the Bahama Bank and hits the Gulf Stream LOOK OUT! Anything goes out there, strange things happen. Been there and done that.

    Liked by 4 people

    • smiley says:

      stay safe, Howie.

      thanks for all your helpful comments.

      Liked by 2 people

      • Howie says:

        If it hits the stream as a three bet it bumps to a 4. it depends on how deep the thermocline is. When the storm hits the stream if the thermocline is too deep the cold water can not upwell to the surface and the storm will bump up. Hurricanes like warmer water.


    • Marsha5 says:

      Yep. Us too. Oct. 2012 Hurricane Sandy took an “unprecedented” sharp left turn into Jersey. Devastation…folks still have not fully recovered. 8 days w/o power…felt like fridgid January weather. No loss of property/life but over $1,400k in food spoilage. Spent over 1k to “shelter in place” Too “wealthy” to qualify for any FEMA emergency program services/compensation. Working folks folks are on their own. Very little to assist you/family except evacuate. Better prep hard. Survey the landscape.. mediate risk factors: relocate if you can. Within a year of Sandy… we relocated south to the highest above sea level area in our county…away from low country/water. Never again. Generator…firewood/fireplace inspected… kerosene heater, Gel Can heat, grill…food & water. All basic essentials up the whazoo. The government will not be there except to bus you to a shelter. Must be self-sufficient. Look out for self, family, friends & like minded neighbors. We learned some hard lessons Evan though already preppers from that Y2K hoax. Now we face weather anomalies, global/domestic/political threats.
      Gotta be ready for any eventuality if possible. Oh yeah…armor up.

      Liked by 1 person

      • Marsha5 says:

        I forgot the unexpected “1000 year flood” last October 2015 during our 2nd year in new location! Being “upcountry” saved us from devastating, horrendous flooding from torrential rains & failing dams. Like Jersey…Folks here living downstream still not fully recovered.

        Our 1 year post- flood anniversary was just yesterday-10/4. Now here we go again? Looks like disasters are tracking us. We ‘re always watchin, prayin & preppin.


  11. Howie says:

    Expect 60 mph winds on coast of W Central FL. Power out there too.


  12. aplusresumes says:

    Watching radar this storm looks like its intensifying. God bless everyone in its path.


  13. georgiafl says:

    Recent predicted path from Ziiggii’s guy:


  14. James Crawford says:

    how much you bet that Obama will respond to the storm by flying Air Force One to Palm Springs or Hawaii to go golfing?


  15. Janeka says:

    My man child is currently evacuating from Jacksonville Beach.. He said the flooding of the rivers are major concerns, the rivers will continue to flood days after the storms have moved further north.. His evac choices were Macon Ga, Akin SC and Ft Walton Beach FL. He has has free housing at all three places and decided to go to Ft Walton Beach.. He did not say so but I think his choice was so he could partake in the surge with his water toys.. Truck is loaded he headed out 11:00 EDST.. Traffic is bad, its raining, he expects more trouble around Tallahassee as the north bound traffic meets west bound.. Should check in with us, again, soon..

    Liked by 1 person

  16. Howie says:

    Now. Here is the track of Hurricane David. It is very similar. It caused a lot of power out and such but was not so bad as to panic. It was about 90 mph. This one will be higher but similar. All it did to me in Melbourne beach was power out and some shingles blew off.


  17. How can anyone believe any of these news fools and “weather ” people now when they lie and inflate things all year long….. Global warming etc. I can’t believe anything they say. I feel for the people in the path for this reason as much as the possible danger they may be in.


  18. georgiafl says:

    11pm update:


  19. Howie says:

    Oh great. Now Otto is firing up in the Antilles.


  20. wtd says:

    Prayers go out to all the folks facing Hurricane Matthew in the coming hours. Live coverage WFTV
    Live track
    Expected damage
    5PM is the critical hour for Central Florida – since records kept in 1851 this area never experienced a hurricane of this strength
    anticipated location of eye at 11:15 pm
    potential hurricane force winds of 70-100 miles per hour in Metro Orlando at 7 am tomorrow


  21. Kimberly Williams says:

    Is there anyone in the Waynesville Georgia area that can help my sister? She is alone and has a invalid roommate and animals. I live in Wa state and can’t do very much from here but locate shelters and give moral support. They live in a old trailer and she is completely panicked and overwhelmed. I am worried sick about her. Any suggestions would be greatly appreciated.


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