New CNN Poll South Carolina: Donald Trump 38%, Ted Cruz 22%, Marco Rubio 14%…

The latest CNN/ORC Poll (full pdf below) of South Carolina voters has been released.  Donald Trump remains at the front of the group with a significant lead (38% support), followed by Senator Ted Cruz (22%) and Senator Marco Rubio (14%).

In addition to the top-line results, candidate Trump leads on all the key current event issues amid the South Carolina electorate – with dominating leads in: • the economy, • ISIS, • Immigration and • the best chance to win the general election.

(Via CNN) Donald Trump holds a broad 16-point lead among those likely to vote in South Carolina’s Republican primary this Saturday, according to a new CNN/ORC Poll. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton tops Bernie Sanders by 18 points in the state’s Democratic primary, which will be held a week later.

In the Republican race, Trump, at 38%, tops Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who holds second place with 22%. Behind those two, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio garners 14% support, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is at 10%, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson has 6% and Ohio Gov. John Kasich is at 4%.

Trump’s lead is bolstered by widespread perceptions of him as the candidate best able to handle the economy, immigration and ISIS, and further, that he has the best chance to win in November and would be most likely to change the way things work in Washington. (read more)

trump lion

This entry was posted in Donald Trump, Election 2016, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Tea Party, Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

224 Responses to New CNN Poll South Carolina: Donald Trump 38%, Ted Cruz 22%, Marco Rubio 14%…

  1. Raffaella says:

    Trump is about to go up another 10 points in polls. Obama is trashing Trump in his press conference.

    Liked by 19 people

  2. R-C says:

    If I was a loyal member of the GOP Establishment (a wholly-owned subsidiary of GLOBALIST USURPER, Ltd), I’d have only one thing to say about this poll:

    “OUCH!”

    Liked by 4 people

  3. stringy theory says:

    Jebita is toast and so is Rubio. Go Trump!

    Liked by 3 people

  4. More Polls from South Carolina here >> election2016unitedstates.blogspot.com/2016/02/republican-south-carolina-poll-feb-16.html

    Liked by 2 people

  5. stringy theory says:

    And all the kings horses, and all the kings men, couldn’t put Jebita together again. I honestly think Trump will do even better than this poll suggests; and I can’t believe Cruz won’t do worse.

    Liked by 7 people

  6. NHVoter says:

    This is a great poll for Trump. He leads Pastor Ted with evangelicals – 42% to 23%. Bwahaha.

    Liked by 15 people

  7. Suzy Kiprien says:

    Bewilderment everywhere. They don’t understand. So funny!

    Liked by 8 people

  8. NHVoter says:

    Somebody wants an endorsement…

    Liked by 2 people

  9. flyanddive says:

    Trump is likely to win it all at this point. The Establishment now knows this to be true. This is why I think Scalia was murdered. The globalists need to install a pro Obama judge to protect their agenda from Trump. Watch Obama select a conservative judge to the SCOTUS in the coming days. This is to get a confirmed ally for him prior to Trump taking office, and going after the legitimacy of the Obama Presidency. The Supreme Court will rule 5-4 in favor of Obama being eligible even though he was born in Kenya, because his mother was a US citizen. If Scalia had not died, the Obama Presidency would be invalid, and all the work that Obama did would be undone.

    Liked by 6 people

  10. NHVoter says:

    Is this true?
    I find it hard to believe that Trump isn’t on Pennsylvania’s ballot.

    Liked by 1 person

    • woohoowee says:

      FTA: “I’m leaning away from Cruz,” Kennemore said at a Trump rally in Greenville Monday night. “I’m glad Trump pointed out his dishonesty.”

      People just needed the facts.

      Liked by 11 people

  11. cheekymeeky says:

    Trump may take all 50 delegates. Woot!

    Liked by 9 people

  12. Nick says:

    Cruz tax plan would slash U.S. revenue, favor wealthy: analysis
    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-cruz-taxplan-idUSKCN0VP2K7

    Liked by 4 people

  13. Finalage says:

    The only polls that matter are those cast on Saturday. After what happened in Iowa, I don’t believe in the polls. We have to go out and vote and vote in droves for Trump! If you went to the ballot box by yourself, you did something wrong! If you voted absentee by yourself, you did something wrong! GOTV and MAGA!

    Liked by 9 people

    • MacKenzie says:

      Apples and oranges. History shows that almost no one chooses “not to vote” because they think the election is in the bag for their candidate. In fact, in general, it’s just the opposite. People like to pile on with a winner — the bandwagon effect. On the other hand, disappointing polls may have a suppressive effect if people think it’s hopeless for their candidate, but Trump’s polls are strong.

      On the other hand, your comments about GOTV, including getting others to the polls are laser-precision correct.

      Liked by 1 person

  14. Fourth of Juluau says:

    Ignore this poll, according to Cruz supporters the only poll that matters is that internal poll from Heb!’s campaign, so this poll is junk. Also Cruz supporters keep reminding us that the polls were wrong in Iowa, because Iowa and South Carolina voting is completely identical and parallel. Also they claim Cruz’s ground game is worth an additional 25 points in the polls, so if Trump isn’t leading by at least 25 he will not win South Carolina.

    Liked by 6 people

    • stringy theory says:

      Cruzbots are full of crap and that’s why they all have brown eyes.

      Liked by 3 people

    • sahm2016 says:

      Frank Luntz said that Cruz’s ground game is worth 5 points in SC last week on Hannity’s radio show. The Cruz supporters on the message boards I frequent are living in an alternate reality. I know they believe in their candidate, but at a certain point they are going to have to face reality. Some of them still believe there is a chance Trump would select Cruz as a running mate.

      Liked by 4 people

  15. Garrison Hall says:

    We can easily see the splitter strategy, modified a bit but still in place, being played out in SC. Rove and compamy is counting on the combined anti-Trump votes going to Rubio, Cruz, Jeb!, Carson,and Kasich to suck critical support away from Trump who he thinks or hopes and prays has finally reached his maximum constituency. The Foxbots are already talking about how Trump now has to “win big” in SC in order to “maintain his momentum” and, of course, that’s exactly what the splitter strategy is designed to prevent. The only problem is that Trump is always a couple of steps ahead. Here’s why.

    Today, in a really interesting segment, Rush kinda had the whole Trump strategy decoded. Here’s his summary: Trump’s open attack on Bush’s justification for the Iraq war, he intentionally used the well-known liberal/left “Bush Lied!” talking point because he is aiming at attracting disaffected Democrat voters who may not be all that friendly to traditional Republicans like Bush. Trump may well understand that his hard hits against Cruz, Rubio, and Jeb! may (but may not—my idea here) alienate their voters but he may also have concluded that they aren’t his core constituency. Now, think about that for a minute. If this is true, Trump may have already written those “core conservatives” off as supporters. He’ll welcome them, of course, but they may be too locked into the establishment orbit to be of much use. This raises the interesting about whether or not they’re really a part of the conservative insurgency . . . ? Rush has mentioned several times that what Trump is doing is going to reshape the Republican party. He’s only partly right in this because we are reshaping the Republican party and Trump has joined our insrugency!

    Curiously, what Trump appears to be doing right now is a version of Jeb!’s initial strategy which was reported some time ago. This was when Jeb! was quoted as asking John McCain if he thought he (Jeb!) would win without the conservative/Tea Party core. I was puzzled about this but, now that I think about it, Trump’s version of the same thing makes demographic sense: There are a **lot more thoroughly pissed off Democrat, independent, conservative. and first-time voters out there than there are committed Jeb!, Rubio, Cruz, etc. voters.** It is these people who are making up Trump’s new conservative/populist constituency. They may be conservative but they aren’t at all like traditional Republicans. If this is true, then this is most likely Trump’s response to the GOPe/Uniparty splitter strategy. It never pays to try to be too clever by half. GO TRUMP!!

    Liked by 9 people

    • Zzschnops says:

      To;dr

      Like

    • owentt says:

      The nomination is useful to Rubio so that he can get a million dollar talk show job. Cruz could wield it like a cudgel against his fellow senators. Jeb! can hold his head high at family dinners for being a little less pathetic compared to his brother.

      But the nomination is no good to Trump unless he can win the presidency. Trump already had a hit TV show. He’s already rich. He already has pride in his family. He has no need to play senator social games in Washington.

      And Trump knows how Hillary is vulnerable. She’s iron hard on her right flank. She’s been hit from there for twenty five years and knows how to hit back. Hillary is prepared to fight dirty and drive up her own negatives in order to drive up the Republican’s more. But she was beat by Obama and is weak in the face of a supposedly-Socialist insurgency. She has no answer to too many ways she’s cheated the country from the other side. Hillary simply never prepared for a fight from that direction.

      And why should she? The Democratic Party will back her. No Republican can be truly conservative and expose her from the left at the same time.

      Well, no Republican she could have foreseen, anyway.

      Why did Hillary support the Iraq war? She had access to the secret documents that revealed how weak the case for WMDs was. Her husband had extensive Iraq briefings based on our deep cover operatives that knew the truth. There was no excuse for her not to know the war was sold based on lies. And there was plenty of history to explain why nation building in Iraq by outsiders was futile, all of which was explained to her by her own analysts.

      But Hillary was running for president. She’d been running since she was a teenager. And she had a deep seated life long fear that the people would see her as a weak appeasing girl. Hillary believed no woman could be president without gleefully and unremorsefully spilling blood — our own and theirs — to show that she could match any action movie star image of the president. Voting against the war would make her seem weak, she thought, and in her mind the most shameful thing people could think is that she was weak and — even worse — girly weak.

      So she chose to spend American blood for her tough guy image. The same as GW Bush, except Bush might have been too dumb to understand he was doing it and Hillary was fully aware.

      Trump is prepared to expose her. But he can’t just bring it up in October. He needs credibility. He wasn’t a senator or a retired general arguing with her in 2002 to build a record of telling the truth. Trump needs to set a marker that he can stand up and tell the truth about war.

      Then the public emails about Libya and Syria will bring the narrative up to date and cut into Hillary deep. She will have no credibility on national security when he’s done. Her left flank is defenseless.

      But first Trump needs a marker. Remember that the nomination is worth nothing to Trump unless he wins in November. Losing by even one electoral vote in November just means he wasted a year of his life and a billion dollars of his money for nothing. Rubio or Cruz would be delighted even to lose just to raise their profiles but for Trump it’s a failure.

      So Trump stands up and tells the truth to the most hostile audience of South Carolina establishment GW Bush and Rubio lovers ever assembled. Rubio can’t get that many supporters out to his own rallies, but they’ll come to boo Trump. And he says it right to Jeb!’s face. The crowd even booed him just for saying that George W. Bush was president when 9-11 happened, because the Bushes have made that taboo in the party. (It’s true, though. I checked.)

      Trump is playing the long game. This won’t be cashed in until long after the primaries. The booing and resentment from Bush and Rubio and Fox News is what makes Trump credible when he destroys Hillary on foreign policy in October.

      As a likely Hillary voter, I’m worried for her.

      Liked by 1 person

      • SharonKinDC says:

        I gave you a ‘like’ even though I didn’t like the ‘likely Hillary voter’ part, lol. However, your analysis was superb and very worthy. TY.

        Question: when it’s clear she is so flawed, why would you still remain a ‘likely Hillary voter’?

        Like

    • SharonKinDC says:

      I think this theory has merit. I’d also note that the polls don’t include registered voters who have sat on the sidelines, even if their votes tend to be R’s, or those who voted D, frequently or infrequently.

      The ARG poll is being given props for being the most accurate in NH, but the talking heads all omit that Trump’s final numbers were 6+ percent over their projection. If my add on theory is correct, we may well see Trump break 40%, which I’d love in general, and in particular, to see splody heads all over the tv.

      Like

  16. NJF says:

    Someon remarked about a poll asking Trump supporters things like, “do you like your confederate flag,” and other racist based questions to use against him.

    Just heard an example while watching Charles Payne’s show. Having a roundtable about Trump, and Charles clearly does not lappreciate yesterday’s press conference. Conversation is about his popularity despite his “controversial” comments. Charles just threw a push poll tidbit out amid the discussion:

    He asked, “is that why 30% of his supporters wish the south had won?”

    SMH….another one bites the dust.

    Liked by 3 people

  17. Director says:

    At this point Trump is the presumptive nominee.

    So every Con, Neo-Con etc art racking him is effectively acting as a proxy for the Dems.

    Liked by 3 people

  18. Garrison Hall says:

    Attention moderator: This is the second of my posts that hasn’t showed up. Have I been banished into the ‘net’s black holes?

    Like

  19. Director says:

    At this point every knock on Trump by a Republican is treasonous.

    Obama and Clinton know Trump is going to be nominee based on their own oppo polling.

    Liked by 5 people

  20. NHVoter says:

    Like

  21. Archangel12580 says:

    I noticed you didn’t put any emphasis on the 10 point collapse for trump in the post debate poll numbers found within the poll’s data sheet. That’s pretty significant. Not sure why you excluded that little tid bit.

    Like

  22. NHVoter says:

    Liked by 5 people

  23. Raffaella says:

    I just read that CNN tweeted pre debate Trump support at 40% and post debate at 31% averaging to 38% for 5 days of polling. I hope this not true.

    PPP from this morning was all post debate so it makes me feel a little better.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Archangel12580 says:

      It is. 9-10 points in 2 days is massive. Turns out, republican voters don’t really like out of the closet liberal democrats. This trend is continuing. Trumps only hope is to pull enough democrat support in the South Carolina open primary to fend Cruz off. He’s campaigning hard for those democrats now. His MSNBC town hall was no chance encounter. He’s actively courting democrats. We have another Iowa on our hands.

      Like

      • Martin says:

        He’s growing his base you dope.

        Liked by 5 people

      • Raffaella says:

        No matter how far Trump falls, Cruz will never catch him. People in the south are red blooded Americans who do not like to vote for Cubans born in other countries to become U.S. President. Both Cruz and Rubio are only good for 2nd or 3rd place finishes. Iowa was an exception. After all those people voted for Obama.

        Liked by 7 people

      • Post debate PPP has Trump + 17 & SC House GOP + 19 . This is no Iowa …. Even with what you are saying Trump still has a solid double digit lead but I would guess it’s closer to 17 to 20 point lead overall .

        Liked by 5 people

      • Fending off Rafael Canuck? Don’t make me laugh. Cruz belongs in a nut house with his buddy Glenn Beck, ideally in Canada.

        Liked by 4 people

      • DaveNY says:

        Hang in there buddy it will all be over soon.

        Liked by 8 people

      • slawinlaw says:

        Unfortunately for the “Angel of Light” that Archangel is working for, only Kasich and Carson got a bump from the debate and even that was in the margin of error. Half truths are still lies.

        Liked by 6 people

      • MVW says:

        Cruz troll alert.

        Liked by 3 people

      • ZurichMike says:

        No, he’s courting centrists. He’ll never get the extremes (and who wants them, anyway?). Tell Rafael we said “hi”.

        Liked by 5 people

      • TheTorch says:

        Very important for people to remember that polling immediately after an event is always a bad idea. In this scenario it will have a lot of noise/skew, always happens, and it tells you very little, if anything.

        What you need to look for is what the polls show 3-4 days after an event, when things have settled down, people have reflected, and any noise skewing is removed.

        The polls for Trump in SC as of today, look terrific and the national ones including Reuters are looking fab. I have to be honest, and say they are better than I expected them to be. I thought Trump might of taken more of a hit due to the Bush bashing in the debate, but I was wrong. If anything it is showing what some posters from South Carolina have mentioned in other threads, that the Bushes are not loved in SC, it is the establishment in SC that loves them, and W’s personal popularity, does not mean a thing in reality, as you can see from Jeb Bush’s placement in the polling, it is terrible.

        Nate Silver who keeps an eye on polling trends and also analyses all the data now has Trump to win SC at an 85% chance, that is the highest I have seen it recently (and Cruz is at 9%! YES let that sink in). Nate is a Dem, and I have knocked him in the past especially during the 2012 election, but he was proven right, and so far this cycle he is doing pretty well to say the least.

        Keep an eye on Cruz, if he starts hitting Rubes hard in the coming days, you know that means they are vying for 2nd position with Rubes likely close or ahead of Cruz…

        I am also keeping an eye on some of the betting markets, where the gamblers are playing. BetFair London Exchange is amusing, Cruz is now 17/1!, and Rubes is 33/1. The money is going on Trump, you have to put £14 on to win £1 LOL🙂

        It is looking very good Treepers. As always no complacency, if you are in South Carolina, make sure you get out and vote and encourage others to do so, a win with a 5-10 point margin would be great, but 15+ blow out would be icing on the cake.

        Liked by 5 people

      • R-C says:

        Well, that is wonderful ‘alternative reality’ thinking; it must be nice on your home planet.

        Trump is CRUSHING the polls, and your weak sauce attempted ‘spin’ won’t work here. You’d have better luck over at PJ Media, in with the other ‘splodey-heads who are stuck on stupid.

        Liked by 4 people

      • georgiafl says:

        Small sample polls show Trump lower.

        Let the voters cast the final poll. As Trump says, that is the only poll that counts.

        Just let Real Angels be guarding the election, the voters and voting machines.

        We have had enough of cheaters with slimy Cruz and his tactics and the voting machines programmed courtesy of the Bush crowd!

        Liked by 2 people

      • reireichan80 says:

        Aren’t you missing the crying jag they have at the right scoop whenever poll numbers come out?

        Like

      • justfactsplz says:

        Go tout your support for Lying Dominionist Ted elsewhere. You are being so obvious, troll.

        Like

      • Ricardo says:

        Small sample size on final day out of total 400 votes. Normal poll variation. PPP and ARG both post-debate polls showing no change to Trump’s support, though Cruz is doing poorly.

        Like

  24. ZurichMike says:

    I wonder what the mainstream media whores and the Cruz liars will float in the Trump punchbowl on Friday to muddy the waters?

    Liked by 6 people

  25. Carolyn says:

    With Rubio and Gowdy now calling Cruz out for his lies in SC it isn’t just Trump saying he is lying like a rug in the state – I imagine this will resonate on Saturday when people decide to vote,.

    Liked by 3 people

  26. flyanddive says:

    Jeb tweets out this image trying to be like Trump, immediately it backfires with people saying he’s on suicide watch. lol

    Liked by 4 people

  27. Cruz bots already out with their excuses, saying if Trump wins SC, it’s because of the democrats. You people sound ill. If Cruz can’t appeal to any independents and half of the party hates him, how is he going to win the whole thing? The goal is not just to become the nominee. Let’s not even consider that he is a horrible liar and not qualified to be a dog catcher. what are his major accomplishments? lol

    Liked by 4 people

    • also since cruz is only pretending to be christian he doesn’t get it: dems are people too. it’s GOOD that they’re having a genuine “come to Jesus” moment about Trump and supporting him.

      Rafael “Night of the Hunter” Cruz is a two-faced assmonkey.

      Liked by 4 people

      • I think Cruz is not in it to win the whole thing. And that makes cruzbots more despicable. The guy has no shot at winning the whole thing. He would even get trounced against Bernie. I don’t care what the polls say today. … it’s not that he is too conservative. It’s that he is too creepy. Nobody wants a snake in the white house unless it’s a liberal. Conservatives are held to a much higher standard, and this Canadian will get trounced if he is the nominee.

        Levin, Limbaugh, and others are pushing Cruz because radio business will be good with 8 more years of Obama policies

        Liked by 4 people

    • sam says:

      With all the Cruz’s Lies, i guess Cruz is not going to be VP anymore haha. Not a chance!

      Like

    • SharonKinDC says:

      The Cruzbots are dividers. just like their Maple Leaf Messiah.

      Like

  28. dizzymissl says:

    Add this to the other post debate and this makes me feel better about the drop in the post debate CNN

    Liked by 1 person

    • TheTorch says:

      YES and this is why you may start seeing more freaked out Cruz bots invading this great site. I can see there is already a few lurking in this thread.

      What is terrifying them is the possibility that Cruz falls into 3rd place, behind Rubio. If that happens, Cruz is toast.

      The townhall with Rubio and Cruz this week, don’t be surprised if you see a knock out. If the internals are showing it close for 2nd, then one of them will likely go for the knock out. Could be a revealing night…

      Liked by 5 people

  29. Empress says:

    Apologies if this has already been linked:

    “Gowdy Calls for Cruz to Denounce ‘Underhanded Tactics”:

    “In the last week, we have seen a systematic effort by Sen. Cruz and his allies to spread false information and outright lies in the hopes of winning votes by appealing to our lowest common denominator,” Gowdy said. “Now, Its been reported that a fake Facebook page has been used to fool South Carolinians into thinking that I no longer support Marco Rubio and that I’m instead supporting Ted Cruz…”

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/gowdy-calls-for-cruz-to-denounce-underhanded-tactics/article/2583367

    Liked by 4 people

    • georgiafl says:

      Beck and Levin have certainly chosen a slick creepy crook to support.

      Liked by 4 people

      • georgiafl says:

        Gowdy hasn’t chosen any better. Rubio left a trail of fraud and corruption in FL even before going to DC. As a Senator, he has betrayed the Tea Party, written an amnesty bill, been absent almost half the time. Rubio is showing signs of drug use, with his sweating, dry mouth, hyper-jumpiness and other symptoms.

        Liked by 6 people

  30. politijim says:

    Left out of the article above is that Donald’s “definite” support did drop from 40% to 31% following the debate. Likely the Bush (legitimate) and Planned Parenthood (Trump should clarify he doesn’t believe in selling baby body parts) hurt him. It will be interesting to see how many DEMS cross over to vote.

    Like

  31. dizzymissl says:

    Another new good one!!

    Liked by 3 people

    • myrightpenguin says:

      Cruz doesn’t seem to have any traction at all, if anything he’s falling back into the pack for 2nd/3rd. Evangelicals are turning against him.

      Liked by 7 people

    • Raffaella says:

      Almost a three way tie for 2nd place and far far behind Trump. The best case scenario for Trump. None of those three can claim a second place and they will kill each other moving forward.

      Liked by 7 people

    • TheTorch says:

      WOW! and another showing similar results.

      You see this is what will be worrying the heck out of Cruz, if Rubio is as close as this, as of today, assuming their internals also show something similar. It will be full on panic mode as from tomorrow.

      I see Cruz Campaign is already doing dirty tricks with the Gowdy endorsement. Expect a lot more of this stuff. I used to like Cruz and was supportive, but what he is doing in this campaign is terrible, to say the least, and some of the people around him are worryingly bad. This guy is not as advertised, that is for sure.

      Liked by 7 people

    • R-C says:

      Buh-buh-buh-buh-but! The Cruz-bots on this page are absolutely certain that ‘Trump is Doomed!’

      How can this be???

      Liked by 8 people

  32. dizzymissl says:

    Liked by 1 person

  33. benY says:

    I find it interesting that Cruz’s % among evangelicals is so much less than Trump. Since he started his campaign storming churches and his base were mostly evangelicals where is he getting his support from. My guess is that the only ones who are still hanging on are the Limbaugh and Levin drones as they get their daily dose of “best conservative” needed for this time.

    Liked by 4 people

    • R-C says:

      What Cruz might be learning is that if you want to pander for the votes of legitimately religious people, you can’t only ‘act’ pious–you actually have to ‘BE’ pious.

      “Once Cruz’s mask slipped, it was impossible to go back to the mask.”

      Liked by 8 people

    • Doug says:

      The evangelicals who arent supporting trump and carson mixed with those you described above. Thats his base and it is an ever shrinking base at that too. He will rally in Utah… maybe thats his plan or something? I dont know.

      Liked by 1 person

    • Spencer's Mom says:

      When it comes to selecting a Presidential Nominee, compared to their Iowan counterparts, Southern Evangelicals are much more likely to back a candidate who is “all-in” for America. The Southern Evangelicals are more likely to support/serve in the military, and they seem to prefer a candidate who shows strength and gumption. In contrast, many (but certainly not all) Iowan Evangelicals are more easily influenced by those candidates who make a bigger deal over displaying personal “piety” rather than being passionate over protecting constitutional rights, protecting our borders and American way of life, boosting the economy, creating more private sector jobs, etc. These Iowan Evangelicals also seem to be more psychologically needy and they seem to want to be “fawned over” and flattered by their candidates – or else the candidate won’t get their votes.

      in other words, Iowan Evangelicals seem to be Democrat-lites with a strong religious streak.

      Sorry if i’ve stepped on anyone’s toes – but that’s my impression.

      Liked by 3 people

    • SharonKinDC says:

      Think the lies are catching up to him…and when did nutjob Beck start stinking up SC w/ his televangelist presence?

      Liked by 1 person

  34. NHVoter says:

    I was a Democrat until recently so please forgive my ignorance on this subject but are super delegates a big issue on this side of the aisle? I know super delegates are a big thing with Democrats but wasn’t sure if that was the case with Republicans.

    I’m wondering overall whether super delegates will create a situation in which Jeb! becomes the nominee (aside from the splitter strategy).

    Liked by 5 people

    • Raffaella says:

      I was a democrat too until Trump showed up June of last year. No super delegate on the republican side. Thanks god For that.

      Liked by 5 people

    • Martin says:

      What made you change from being a “Democrat”?

      Like

      • Doug says:

        I changed too but thats just because I wanted to vote for trump. No one else on either side ever seemed worth fighting for. Ron Paul if he had gotten traction in 12 I would jhave changed for but sadly that didnt happen.

        Liked by 2 people

      • NHVoter says:

        Me?

        In a nutshell, the Zimmerman case made me realize how the Democrat party had been coopted by social justice lunatics. I also thought I could keep my doctor.

        Trump is the ideal candidate for me. He’s tough on immigration, puts America first & isn’t super socially conservative (I’m not). I can also relate really well to him because we are both former Democrats.

        Honestly if the Democrat party was more reasonable I probably would not have switched parties (I don’t vote straight ticket anyway). I don’t feel particularly welcome in the GOP since I’m not considered a True Conservative™ and I support Trump. The elitism I’m seeing among the pundit class is really sickening.

        Sorry for the long answer🙂

        Liked by 9 people

        • Martin says:

          Thanks. If Trump weren’t running, I wouldn’t vote at all.

          Liked by 4 people

        • Zzschnops says:

          It was a very good long answer!

          Liked by 3 people

        • Prothonotary Warbler says:

          No need to apologize! Sometimes it takes a few extra words to speak your mind.

          As for me, I am “super socially conservative”, and I think it’s awesome that people like you and me are part of the same team right now. We’re all about preserving and restoring this great land!

          Liked by 4 people

        • jello333 says:

          I know George went through (and is still going through) a LOT of stuff over what happened that night, but I hope he realizes how many eyes he helped open. A whole lot of change has happened to individuals (like you and me) and the country as a whole that can be traced back to Feb 26, 2012. Some of that change has been for the worse, but I think much more will EVENTUALLY be seen as good… in the awakening that has occurred in so many people.

          Like

        • SharonKinDC says:

          IMO, I think the UniParty, in order to keep people divided, have made particular social issues MANDATORY for being in that party. SJW nut jobs for the D’s, and absolutists on pro-life/anti-gay marriage for R’s. SInce Obama and the Tea Party infiltration, for R’s, there is a vibe that the lines are drawn, regardless of a candidates geographic location. Additionally, as Scalia noted, he was personally pro-life, but he wasn’t going to SCOTUS with an agenda. Unfortunately, due to the nudging/UniParty manipulation, candidates, esp for Congressional races, seem encouraged to not only check those two boxes, but to do so in a way, that shows them as ideologues or even religious zealots.

          Thus, I like Trump’s way of handling issues: gay marriage ‘isn’t his thing’ even if he attended a ceremony of one of his friends.

          Like

  35. Centinel2012 says:

    Reblogged this on Centinel2012 and commented:

    I hope can keep it up he is running a brutal speaking schedule — no other candidate is making as many appearances as he is and we appreciate what he is trying to do. There is no legitimate way he will not be elected.

    Liked by 3 people

  36. Prothonotary Warbler says:

    Republicans do have unpledged delegates in every state, but not nearly as many as the Democrats apparently do. I had no idea the Democrats had so many! Based on the two states that have voted so far, you’d expect Colonel Sanders to have an impressive early lead for the Dem nomination, but instead Mrs. Bill Clinton has almost a 9-1 lead!

    Liked by 2 people

  37. Tarit Chakraborty says:

    Your site seems to be blocked for me. Tarit Chakraborty On Feb 17, 2016 4:06 AM, “The Last Refuge” wrote:

    > sundance posted: “The latest CNN/ORC Poll (full pdf below) of South > Carolina voters has been released. Donald Trump remains at the front of > the group with a significant lead (38% support), followed by Senator Ted > Cruz (22%) and Senator Marco Rubio (14%). In addition to” >

    Like

  38. Quinnipiac national poll from this week has Trump +20 over Rubio, doubling his lead since before the debate.
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

    Like

  39. joenigma says:

    I was looking into the polling data internals and I’m really curious as to what it looks like on a daily basis.

    They made it seem like Trump went from 40% to 31% after the debate.

    So lets assume on Monday-Saturday he received 40% daily and 31% on Sunday & Monday of polling, well his average would then be 37% not 38%

    Now lets say 31% was the low on Sunday due to immediate after the debate, what is the percentage of Monday needed to get average of 38%? 37%

    I’m overly simplifying and it’s possible the 38% is a rounded number so even if it was 37.5 the final number on Monday would have to be 34% (Ironically 34% is where Trump is at in the SCHouse Tracking poll on Monday.)

    So if Trump really had a 9 pt drop from Sat-Sun. He gained 3 pts back from Sun-Mon.

    Liked by 1 person

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