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Voters rejecTED – Chuck Todd vs Ted Cruz: "Will you please, just answer the question"…

The implosion of Senator Ted Cruz’s candidacy is, at this point, a self-fulfilling prophecy.  This is the danger phase; the phase we have warned about for the past several weeks.
In the past month, in an attempt to protect his viability, Senator Cruz has ducked all requests from media he has defined as ‘unfavorable’ to his campaign.  However, the last several weeks have created a situation where he’s now beyond desperate.  The Hail Carly didn’t help.
The downward slope is now too steep – his running desperate.  His physical ability to keep his feet under him is exhausted,…. and he just noticed the sloped gradient is worsening…. he’s about to fall:


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Indiana Poll – Donald Trump 49%, Ted Cruz 34%, John Kasich 13%…

NBC/WSJ has released a new poll (full pdf below) of Indiana republicans.  Donald Trump holds a significant 15 point lead over Senator Ted Cruz, and a 36 point lead over Ohio Governor John Kasich.
When Kasich is removed from the polled equation, to allow for a head-to-head comparison, Donald Trump beats Ted Cruz 53 / 42.
3 candidate INDIANA nbc-wsj poll

[…] “In Indiana, Trump is positioned to corral all the [state’s 57] delegates, which will be a big prize toward winning the nomination outright,” says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “Clinton and Sanders are more likely to divide the delegate pool, which will do little to change the narrative on the Democratic side.” (link)

Via NBC – […] The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll was conducted April 26-28 — so mostly after Trump’s six-consecutive primary victories in Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states, as well as after Cruz and Kasich announced an alliance/truce, whereby Kasich wouldn’t campaign in Indiana to help Cruz (in exchange for Cruz not campaigning in Oregon and New Mexico).
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Donald Trump Rally, Fort Wayne Indiana – 4:00pm Live Stream…

The second Trump rally of the day is taking place in Fort Wayne, IN at the Allen County War Memorial Coliseum. The event is scheduled to begin at 4:00pm Eastern time.
Live Stream LinkAlternate Live Stream #1Alternate Live Stream #2


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Donald Trump Rally, Terre Haute Indiana – 1:00pm EDT Live Stream…

Donald Trump is holding two campaign rallies today in Indiana.  The first is in Terre Haute, IN at the Indiana Theater.  The event is to begin at 1:00pm Eastern:
Live Stream Link Alternate Live Stream #1Alternate Live Stream #2


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Latest Campaign Data – Ted Cruz Unfavorability Increases, Campaign Confidence Crumbles – Trump Over 60% In West Virginia…

Indiana – On the heels of several campaign rallies where Ted Cruz failed to attract more than a few hundred die-hard supporters, some new data-sets show even more evidence to a continuing trend that began four weeks ago.
cruz v trump favorability
Ted Cruz has a net non-favorable rating amid Republican voters (Per Gallup) and the addition of Carly Fiorina has only worsened the condition of the Ted Cruz campaign.
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The "Trump Effect" – Fox News Joins Macy's On The Losing End of Anti-Trump Efforts…

CNN has the strongest surge in ratings in the past 14 years and now beats Fox News in the all important category of 25-54 year old viewership.  That age category drives the ad revenue determinations for the industry.
Fox News can’t say they were not warned this would be an outcome of their insufferable decision to continue promoting a media narrative in opposition to Donald Trump. The same thing happened to Macys Department Store after they dropped Trump.
roger-ailestrump media wall
(Via CNN) CNN ranked #1 in cable news in prime time in April. CNN beat Fox News for the fifth time in the last eight months in M-Su prime time (four of the past eight in M-F prime) among adults 25-54.  The last time CNN had this many prime time wins in an eight-month period versus Fox News was over 14 years ago (Nov. 2001). (more…)

"Technical Trouble" At the Arizona GOP Convention Has Some Trump Supporters Claiming "Fraud"…

…and it appears they have good reason to be concerned.  Reminder of the election results. Arizona Primary Election:

  • Donald Trump 286,743 votes

  • Ted Cruz 172,294 votes

Arizona – Upset that Donald Trump received just a handful of statewide delegates during an electronic vote, his Arizona campaign manager is threatening to sue the Arizona Republican Party.

“This stinks to high heaven!” Jeff DeWit shouted at reporters, decrying the results of the at-large delegates.

He suggested the website Arizona Republicans used to choose delegates for this summer’s national GOP convention, NeverHillary.SimplyVoting.com, was rigged. He offered proof in terms of a screen shot that suggests statewide delegates clicked on a slate supporting Trump.
“People clicked the trump button more than any other and we got hosed,” he said.

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Economics, Modern Conservatives, The 2016 Election and The Import Export Bank…

In 2009 the popular conservative opinion was to declare the Supreme Court’s Citizens United decision a win for “our side”.   Of course, the decision ultimately opened the floodgates for unlimited corporate spending in elections via the new Super-PAC approach.
In 2016 90% of all American’s polled believe there is too much special interest money in politics, and both political parties no longer need the financial support of the electorate.  Corporate lobbyists were always problematic, but now in a post CU world they control almost every aspect of electoral politics – including who wins elections.  Citizens United wasn’t a win, its consequence was a major fail.
Uncle Sam Hopeless
Within that reality you find one of the synergies between candidate Donald Trump and candidate Bernie Sanders.  The popular insurgencies supporting each candidate rail against the corrupting corporate financial influence. Party leadership? Meh, not-so-much.
Of course it would only take RNC and DNC rules changes, ie. self-regulation, to stop the problem of unlimited corporate funding; but when the political party leadership has that much access to money, well, they have no interest in regulating it away.  Ergo, legislation becomes the only option and the legislators would be writing law against their own financial interests…. Yeah, FUBAR.
To wit, one of the shifts amid the “common sense” electorate is the general perception that Citizens United is no longer viewed as a win.  However, with all the discussions on bad Trade Deals there’s also another shift coming into focus, the Import/Export bank.
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Kambree Nelson Emotional Testimonial – Meeting Donald Trump in California (Video)…

Kambree Nelson was in California Friday night and was able to meet Donald Trump. She talked to Wayne Dupree about the event and the meeting, here’s an excerpt:


You can hear the full Wayne Dupree show HERE
Follow Kambree on Twitter HERE

Dear Indiana…

Sometimes when you find yourself in a disconcerting and unfamiliar place, it can be beneficial to stop, look back and understand just how we ended up in this terrain. The professional DC consultant class are benefiting from the current climate of chaos, and they certainly don’t want anyone to review the consequential and intentional steps it took to get here.
When the Tea Party rose up in opposition to President Obama’s indulgent spending programs in 2009 many were under the mistaken assumption the opposing party, the republicans, were against the progressive agenda based on principle.
cheeseheads walker ryan preibus
However, there were a few voices on our side saying be wary of the UniParty nature of DC, the republican party is not our friend.
Money always fuels their motives, and so long as there are millions available to the ‘loyal opposition’, the republican political intentions should not be regarded as altruistic and they damned well have never been ‘conservative’.
At the time our concerns were dispatched by a louder voices demanding strategic unity and instructions for the Tea Party alliances to work within the DC-based GOPe system.
However, those of us who broke free from the cycle of battered conservative syndrome immediately knew the warning signs.  What benefit is within unity if the end result is just as destructive as the problem?  An awakened electorate was just as dangerous to the republican side of the UniParty as it was the Democrat side.
It was from this basic framework The Conservative Tree House was born. A “last refuge” where common sense approaches still mattered.
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