Yesterday Donald Trump delivered a speech at Bethel United Methodist Church in Flint Michigan. During candidate Trump’s remarks he began to speak of the failed economic policies of past administrations including Bill and Hillary Clinton.
As Mr. Trump Pastor began addressing outsourcing and jobs, and the subsequent impact on Flint workers, pastor Faith Green Timmons interrupted and stated: “We invited you here to thank us, not to give a political speech“.

WATCH: At Flint church, pastor interrupts Trump and asks him to refrain from giving political speech on Clinton. https://t.co/wL8NpCVwPy

— NBC Nightly News with Lester Holt (@NBCNightlyNews) September 14, 2016

Not flustered, Mr. Trump calmly said thank you and concluded his remarks talking about how the damage to the Flint water system can be remedied and corrected.
The media immediately began to frame the interruption as “Trump being scolded“. However, what the media did not disclose was the interruption itself was a pre-planned set up by Pastor Timmons. (more…)

Candidates Donald Trump and Mike Pence are together again today in New York, New York at the famous Waldorf Astoria delivering remarks for the Economic Club of New York.  The event is closed to the public but will be live streamed at 11:30am EDT:
Live Stream Link – Alternate Live Stream #1

This morning candidate Donald Trump was interviewed on Fox and Friends discussing current events:

Tonight candidate Donald Trump held a massive campaign rally in Canton Ohio.  Mr. Trump delivered a passionate ‘America-First’ speech directly to the voters in the mid-West and across America.  It was arguably one of the best campaign speeches to date.
Included with the speech transcript below are specific pictures from the rally from the Canton Memorial Civic Center:

[ Transcript ]   Thank you, Ohio. It is so great to be in the great city of Canton.
We just got new polls from Bloomberg and CNN. We’re up five points in Ohio, and the LA Times poll has us up 5 points nationwide.
The people of the United States are ready for change. They’re ready to discard a failed political establishment that disdains, disrespects and looks down on hardworking people.
This election is about a choice between the control of an arrogant ruling class in Washington D.C. versus the hopes and dreams of everyday citizens.
For years, our leaders have looked out only for themselves. (more…)

Donald Trump is in Ohio and Mike Pence is in Scranton, Pennsylvania both delivering 7:00pm speeches tonight in simultaneous rallies.  You can see Pence HERE
Candidate Donald Trump is in Canton Ohio holding a rally at the Canton Memorial Civic Center.  In an effort to try and keep Trump out of Ohio, in addition to venue costs the city of Canton charged the Trump Campaign an additional $20,000 just for security.  Trump paid it. Live Stream coverage of his event is scheduled for approximately 7:00pm EDT (or earlier):
Live Stream Link – Alternate Live Stream #1 – Alternate Live Stream #2

Bloomberg released a poll today (full pdf below) that is markedly different from their traditional polling methodology.   The poll is a representative sample of 802 random Ohio ‘likely voters’ with no additional weighting, smoothing or adjustments by the pollster, it’s just raw voter data for the sample.  The result:

What makes this specific media poll interesting is that media polls rarely (can’t remember any) present raw unfiltered likely voter data without applying their own weights, and modifying the results to fit the pollsters’ assumptions of who will show up on election day.
This poll doesn’t weight anything or assume/project a specific turnout ratio. (more…)

There are two important ratios to remember 65/35 and 55/45.

Throughout the past year those who have followed political opinion will note the consistent and reoccurring appearance of these two sets of statistical ratios.

♦ First, a variant of the ratio “65/35” shows up in random series of obscure polling questions done by alternative or social media.  Three examples include two Bravo Network broadcasts asking for voter input, and another from data tech “Zip App“.
The Bravo Network were so stunned by the (65/35) results of their initial poll – they actually repeated it just to make sure.

… “the results of this poll even more surprising is that the demographics of Bravo viewers are far different than the average stereotype of Donald Trump supporter” (link)

However, it should also be noted “65/35” shows up again in the NBC poll daddy result from the Commander-in-Chief forum. (more…)

Today in Aston Pennsylvania candidate Donald Trump outlined an innovative plan to bring federal tax policies in line with the needs of today’s families.  The plan is not for the wealthy, but rather specifically targeted to provide the biggest benefit to working and middle-class families.
According to the proposal, the plan is needed because child care expenses are now one of the largest expenses in many families.  This complicates a family’s decision on how to care for young children.
The Trump tax reforms and policy proposals will allow a family to make the choice of whether a parent should work outside the home or not without bias from the tax code. Having employed and empowered thousands of women at every level throughout his entire career, Donald Trump understands the needs of the modern workforce.
Here’s a summary of the outline:

Proposals Contained In Mr. Trump Child Care Plan
PROPOSAL #1 : The Trump plan will rewrite the tax code to allow working parents to deduct from their income taxes child care expenses for up to four children and elderly dependents. (more…)

CNN’s Jake Tapper interviews Trump campaign spokesperson Katrina Pierson and tries, rather pathetically, to continue maintaining Clinton’s “deplorable” narrative.

Candidate Donald Trump is joined with his daughter Ivanka Trump in Aston Pennsylvania this evening holding an event at the Aston Community Center.  The event is not open to the public; however, you can watch the live stream here beginning at 7:30pm EDT:
Live Stream Link – Alternate Live Stream #1 – Alternate Live Stream #2