We anticipate more than one thread will be needed for tonight’s election night results.  It will be a late night for Oregon results, Kentucky results begin around 7:00pm.

Oregon and Kentucky (Dem Only) Vote Today

♦ On the Democrat side Kentucky is a must win for Hillary Clinton, she doesn’t stand a chance in Oregon.  Sanders would continue his forward momentum with a victory tonight in Kentucky and Oregon.  The stakes are high.
♦ On the Republican side Donald Trump awaits the Oregon results.
Polls close in Kentucky at 7:00pm Eastern (6:00pm CDT) – Polls close in Oregon at 11:00pm Eastern (8:00pm PDT)

• CNN Election HQ – Results Available HERE
• Politico Election HQ – Results available HERE
• New York Times Election HQ – Results Available HERE
• The Green Papers – Election Results and Delegate Tracking HERE

Folks, Donald Trump is CRUSHING Hillary Clinton Nationally

A National NBC/Survey Monkey Poll (pollster Mark Murray) was released today showing Hillary Clinton barely ahead of Donald Trump 48%/45%.
However, what’s more stunning, actually, gobsmackingly and transparently stunning, is how heavily skewed the poll data was constructed in order to show Hillary Clinton with a three point lead.  The poll has a necessary D+7.2% favorability weight:

Beyond the necessary D +7 poll skew, in order to present a poll that retains Hillary Clinton in the lead NBC Pollster Mark Murray needed to exclude 4,725 poll respondents from a total sample size of 12,507 registered voters.
This level of statistical smoothing is huge folks.   You can find the full poll data including the methodology HERE.  However, even with that said there’s even more evidence of Hillary Clinton losing. (more…)

Good grief.  Hillary Clinton Inc. is desperately trying to avoid the visible reality of Bernie Sanders representing the larger voice within the Democrat Party.

The Clinton machine (MSM) is working overtime pitching a wounded indian routine to their allies in the media.   The professional party apparatus is now blaming Bernie Sanders supporters for the Nevada Convention chaos the Clinton led democrat party created.

The customary process of DNC party officials claiming victim status and blaming the Bernie peeps for the abuse is ridiculous in the extreme.  After all, it was Bernie Sanders supporters who were intentionally shut down in Nevada.
Now the party leadership is demanding Bernie Sanders rebuke his own constituency.  Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz released a statement calling for universal condemnation of the Sanders supporters’ “troubling” attacks.
Here’s an example of how the Clinton Machine (New York Times) is pitching the latest strategy to destroy Bernie’s insurgent campaign: (more…)

Anderson Cooper said last week CNN had never corroborated, nor reported on, an earlier story about Hillary Clinton.  Watch. The video speaks for itself:

One America News Network and Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,574 registered voters across the United States. The poll was conducted on May 10th and has a margin of error of ± 2.5% at the 95% confidence level. (Link to More Data)
This OAN poll is the stuff of Team Hillary Clinton nightmares, for a couple of reasons.

1. The poll is well oversampled toward Democrats: 40% Democrat, 33% Republican, 27% Independent.  Yet, Hillary barely squeaks out ahead.
2. The Independents in the poll heavily skew toward Donald Trump 58%.  This is the battleground space/electorate for almost all swing state polling.
3. Donald Trump wins Hispanic voters.
4. The polling base, “registered voters” does NOT include the Monster Vote.

Here’s the Hispanic Voter breakout:

(more…)

Sometimes you might find yourself having an imaginary conversation with the insufferable moonbat pundits on TV:

• Pundit: Candidate Donald Trump has a woman problem…
SD: But he’s winning large majorities of women voters in the primary and polling.
• Pundit: That’s only Republican women…
SD: Well, actually Republican and Independent women, but that’s women.
• Pundit: But he needs to win women in the General Election…
SD: He’s winning women so far.
• Pundit: But that’s only republican women.
SD: Republican and Independent women are general election voters...
• Pundit: But that’s only republican and independent women.
SD: So, you’re saying he needs to win non-Republican women, Democrat women?
• Pundit: Yes, exactly.
SD: Are you saying Democrat women are going to vote for a Republican?
• Pundit: No, heavens no. Of course they’re not.
SD: So why should he change message to appeal to a constituency with no intention of voting for him?
• Pundit: Well, um… because.
SD: Thanks. Carry on.

One of the best Trump attributes in the current political season is his ability to campaign on common sense. Unfortunately for the media enterprise, this makes much of their influential punditry seem silly. It’s not a matter of Donald Trump defying the intellectual logic of the professional political class; it’s more a matter of just plain common sense.
(more…)

Almost two years ago the Washington Free Beacon broke the story of a recording within the Clinton Library of Hillary Clinton laughing and describing her work as a defense attorney for a predatory child rapist.   –AUDIO HERE–
The entire WFB Story is available HERE – April 10th is the 41-year-anniversary:

A brand new series of Quinnipiac Swing State Polls (full pdf below) shows Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in Ohio (43-39), and a virtual tie in Florida and Pennsylvania with Hillary Clinton attaining a one point lead in each (43-42).

(Via Quinnipiac University) Clinton and Trump both have negative favorability ratings among voters in each state, compared to Sanders’ split score, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of these three states.
The presidential matchups show: (more…)

When contemplating the “inevitability threshold” we anticipated last year the Wall Street power brokers would switch to supporting Hillary Clinton if Donald Trump became inevitable. 

[…]  The Tripwire we identified back in July 2015 remains today.  If Wall Street (writ large) views Donald Trump as inevitable, they will re-evaluate –QUICKLY– the opposite side of their controllable coin.  Meaning they will evaluate Hillary Clinton.
Wall Street (The U.S. CoC, Tom Donohue, and all varied interests, DNC/RNC et al) set this up as a win/win. A Clinton/Bush strategy.  If Trump is believed to be inevitable in victory over Bush, they need to re-evaluate the Clinton side STAT.

Today that outcome begins:

(Via The Observer) Renaissance Technologies, a hedge fund founded by billionaire James Simons, donated over $13 million to Sen. Ted Cruz’s failed presidential campaign. For a guy who’s supposed to be pretty smart with his money, the ROI on that one has got to sting. (more…)

Candidate Donald Trump fired a subtle shot toward Hillary Clinton and her traditional constituency today by pointing out some insurgent support amid the Teamsters Union.   The strategy behind this seemingly odd ‘out-of-left-field‘ shot is actually quite brilliant:

As with almost everything Trump messages, the element of uncomfortable truth comes directly to the surface.  Because the inherent disposition of the opponent is to avoid talking truthfully and directly (see: own the downside), the discomfort is directly felt by them.
(more…)