5:00pm Update Hurricane Florence: Slight Weakening But More Concerning Projected Path….

The 5:00pm advisory from the National Hurricane Center shows the massive storm has lost a little internal power but the forecast path is now considerably worse.  The projections put Florence actually making near landfall and simultaneously shifting south buzz-sawing both the North Carolina and South Carolina coast with hurricane winds.

The projected path is incredible.  SEE HERE (hit play) a hurricane paralleling the coastline while retaining strength is one of the most damaging outcomes possible.  This also increases the storm surge potential with multiple tide cycles.

Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within the hurricane warning area late Thursday or Friday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength on Thursday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Florence was located near latitude 30.9 North, longitude 72.5 West. Florence is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion, accompanied by a gradual decrease in forward speed, is expected to continue through Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Florence will approach the coast of North Carolina or South Carolina in the hurricane warning area on Thursday and Friday, and move slowly near the coastline through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Florence is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in strength will be possible through Thursday morning. Although slow weakening is expected to begin by late Thursday, Florence is forecast to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane when it nears the U.S. coast late Thursday and Friday. (more)

If you in in the coastal region, or an area at risk of floods, and have the capability to leave, it would likely be the best option to evacuate.  Listen to your local officials.

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251 Responses to 5:00pm Update Hurricane Florence: Slight Weakening But More Concerning Projected Path….

  1. This just struck Me… As… ODD..
    Trivia…
    DID you know another F Storm(s) Made Landfall? In North Carolina?
    **FRAN Sept 5th/6th,,, **

    NOW..

    **FLOYD** in/ON SEPT 16th..
    Another extreme flooding event.. (1999)

    Now We have yet another September *F* storm,, Florence..

    Liked by 2 people

    • Pam says:

      That is so creepy but you are correct. Wow!

      Liked by 3 people

    • wheatietoo says:

      That kind of indicates a ‘pattern’, doesn’t it…

      A cyclic pattern, of storms that hit the Carolinas…at the point in the naming-sequence, where the letter-F-names are, which is the 6th storm of the season.

      Heck, I bet if we went back in time, even before they started naming the storms…that there were September hurricanes that hit the Carolinas.

      I read an article some time ago, about Core Samples that were made along our coastlines.
      They took core samples as far inland as 20 miles…to determine storm surges.

      The core samples showed that even More Massive Storms were hitting our coastlines…500 to 800 yrs ago.
      Our coastlines were largely uninhabited back then, and it pre-dated any record-keeping on storms, like we have today.

      But the ‘climate change’ advocates ignore such research, because it doesn’t fit their fake narrative about it all being man-made.

      Liked by 5 people

  2. Pam says:

    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
    ———————————————–
    LOCATION…32.0N 73.7W
    ABOUT 280 MI…455 KM ESE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 325 MI…520 KM ESE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…110 MPH…175 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…957 MB…28.26 INCHES

    Like

  3. MAGADJT says:

    Anyone know if the weakening is typically an ongoing trend when a hurricane is this close to landfall, or is it likely to strengthen again?

    Like

    • dawg says:

      I dont think its supposed to weaken yet.

      Like

    • Ziiggii says:

      It should strengthen once it deals with the dry air invasion

      Honestly it’s hard to say it’s ‘weakening’ when it’s only lost 5mph since 3 hrs ago, but that’s just me.

      Liked by 1 person

      • keeler says:

        The more promising takeaway from the 11PM update is the track, which has Florence making landfall earlier and staying inland, which should limit intensity and duration.

        Liked by 1 person

        • Ziiggii says:

          But that means it’s not gonna slow down like they thought which then means the wind field will reach further inland that thought as well. They’ve increased the probability of tropical storm force winds reaching Charlotte up to 70%…😳

          Like

          • keeler says:

            Pick your poison, I suppose.

            I’d rather see tropical storm winds in Charlotte than Cat 3/4 winds ripping down the coast from Cape Fear to Charleston. The scale of damage will be orders of magnitude smaller. If a storm has to hit it might as well get inland as quickly as possible where there is no energy to draw from. More widespread damage perhaps, but less devastating.

            Liked by 1 person

      • MAGADJT says:

        Maybe. But that’s how the NHC categorizes it. Hopefully it’s a trend that continues.

        Like

        • Ziiggii says:

          I know that’s how they categorize it – I don’t agree with the wording. It gives a false sense of hope. We already have enough issue with ppl not taking this storm seriously as it is

          Liked by 1 person

  4. dawg says:

    Come on Cat 1!!

    Liked by 1 person

  5. Trent Telenko says:

    Gads…the US defense industrial base is going to take a huge hit here.

    Water surges are utterly destructive and the South East supports the Navy Department with a lot of local industry for the Navy and Marines bases (Norfolk & Camp Legune!) plus there are all the small contractors for the XVIII (18th) Airborne Corps & 82nd Airborne Division at Ft Bragg NC.

    At a rough guess, between 12% and 20% of the Navy’s contractor base will directly (the contractor facility damage) or indirectly (sub-contractor facility damage, transportation disruptions or supporting electrical infrastructure damage) be hit.

    And a lot of the spare parts for many USN & USMC planes & ships are going to be ruined by 40 inch rain plus storm surge flooding. There just has not been time to move them all.

    Like

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