Very Good News For Donald Trump In North Carolina “Non-Media” Poll…

A Suffolk University “non-media” poll released today shows exceptionally good news for candidate Donald Trump in the quest to overcome the rigged system. Unlike most media funded polls, the Suffolk poll is very extensive and provides full disclosure on all aspects of the construct allowing for comprehensive research, analysis and evaluation.

trump-rally-north-carolina-1-w-poll

The general top line result shows Donald Trump  winning with 44%, and Hillary Clinton 41%. However, the fully disclosed methodology provides an even greater level of optimism. Here’s why:

This survey of 500 likely North Carolina general election voters was conducted between September 5 and September 7, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2016 general election for president. Each area’s quota and demographic information — including race and age — was determined from previous like elections (link)

We have already statistically quantified the significant variances from 2012 to 2016. Suffolk relying on baselines from ’08 and ’12 presidential models means they are under evaluating the ’16 Trump enthusiasm and Trump registration gap.

Again, Suffolk provides full disclosure and sunlight; their use of historical reference for current cycle is honestly disclosed and understandable.

Additionally: Here’s the key takeaways that, when added to the (understandable) assumption, underscore the exponential optimism:

The poll itself holds a D+9 benefit toward Democrats, which would generally be a benefit to Hillary Clinton.

north-carolina-suffolk-poll-demo

However, much like Florida (16%), Trump is pulling in large percentages of Democrats. In North Carolina 12% of Democrats are voting Trump.
♦ Additionally, Trump has a 17 point lead with independent voters. 46% Trump, 29% Clinton. (see below)

north-carolina-suffolk-crosstab-banner-1

(Crosstab Banner #1)

Again, the weighting applied to the poll -with low MOE (4%)- is based on historical outcomes from ’08 and ’12 presidential election cycles.  Donald Trump has continuously outperformed the Romney campaign in 2012 on all metrics.  There is no indication the same trend does not overlay in North Carolina.

In Summary:  The top line result of Trump 44 / Clinton 41, when weighed against the reality of visible campaign support in North Carolina (discussed here), appears significantly under-valued for Donald Trump; and that’s ok.  The predictive discussion angle should always be kept separate and apart from scientific polling.  Like Florida, North Carolina now appears to be solidly in the Trump column.

The Suffolk University Outline is AVAILABLE HERE.  Explanation of methodology HERE. Complete/Raw poll data is available HERE (and below), and the Crosstabs are available HERE (and below).

It would be awesome if all polling was conducted with a similar level of professionalism, sunlight, and disclosure.  Alas, 90% of emphasized polling is nonsense “media polling” which never includes the raw data, weighting and assumption disclosures.

red_hair

Trump in North Carolina

trump rally north carolina

Clinton in North Carolina

clinton-nc-rally-1

Dr_Phil_teen_youtube_beating

It won’t even be close folks…

This entry was posted in Clinton(s), Desperately Seeking Hillary, Donald Trump, Election 2016, media bias, Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

190 Responses to Very Good News For Donald Trump In North Carolina “Non-Media” Poll…

  1. tampa2 says:

    No accounting for the “Monster Vote”!!!

    Liked by 9 people

    • farmhand1927 says:

      Trump is closing in on her in Colorado also. One month ago, Clinton had a 13 point lead, McCellan’s poll this week shows that lead has shrunk to 5 points. Clinton has restarted massive TV ad campaign in response.

      Colorado is home to an amazing gentleman, patriot extraordinaire and Trump supporter. Navy Lt. Jim Downing, 103 years of age, is one of two remaining survivors of the attack on Pearl Harbor. Another Great American Hero ready to watch President Donald Trump Make America Great Again.

      Liked by 27 people

    • tempo150101 says:

      Not for one second do I believe Trump is going to lose North Carolina and Georgia. Colorado and Pennsylvania? Those are iffy. But North Carolina and Georgia are in the bag no matter what anybody says.

      Liked by 4 people

  2. ginaswo says:

    The enTrumpening continues to gather steam and rollll tide
    #MAGA

    Liked by 14 people

  3. hpushkin says:

    Thank You, Sundance!

    Liked by 13 people

  4. Bull Durham says:

    Sunshine on the system. Suffolk, unrigged.

    Maybe Suffolk will shame one or more of the others to do their work honestly and professionally.
    I’m not holding my breath.

    In the meanwhile, we can watch the Clinton campaign spasm, the Media got bonkers and the crowds form long lines for 8 hours to hear 40 minutes of Trump Truth.

    We get it. Monster of November 8th is rising.

    Liked by 17 people

  5. Marygrace Powers says:

    Zip-A-Dee-Doo-Dah
    Zip-A-Dee-A

    My oh my, what a wonderful day
    Plenty of sunshine heading my way
    Zip-A-Dee-Doo-Dah
    Zip-A-Dee-A

    Mister bluebird on my shoulder
    It’s the truth
    It’s actual
    Everything is satisfactual

    Zip-A-Dee-Doo-Dah
    Zip-A-Dee-A
    Wonderful feeling
    Wonderful day

    Liked by 16 people

  6. mikebrezzze says:

    If mr Ed had a match race with secretariat the margin of victory would be embarrassing, Hillary is mr Ed , extrapolate that, have a nice day 😎

    Liked by 12 people

  7. quintrillion says:

    Can you dig it? I can…”It isn’t even going to be close” ….Sundance…The Last Refuge and the Best

    Liked by 10 people

  8. cheryl says:

    My home state. I knew that they would go Trump no matter how much the liberal media spun it. NC people believe in hard work and common sense and Trump is right up their alley.

    Liked by 17 people

  9. micscottmd says:

    They polled 9% more Dems and 6% more females and Trump still leads. It will be a blowout in November.

    Liked by 16 people

    • navysquid says:

      I am cautiously optimistic. I fear the rigging…

      Liked by 1 person

    • I noticed that too. Last week CNN ran an article that “unskewed” their latest poll results. Those results showed Mr Trump up by 2 pts. After their adjustment, crooked HIllary was up by 4. I thought it was funny that they can’t cook the data enough so now they have to resort to changing the outcome, yet again, so they can claim Hillary is ahead. I wonder how far ahead Mr Trump really is.

      Liked by 1 person

    • DD More says:

      Check the current numbers on the 97% black vote that went Obama.
      Page 15. The North Carolina presidential ballot – BLACK
      Hillary @ 84% Trump @ 7%. But Undecided @ 4% + Refused @ 3%.
      How many of this 7% are Trumpters who don’t want to be Outed by a Pollster and are anti-Crooked?

      Liked by 1 person

  10. Dick Wolff says:

    This poll makes much more sense. No way she is going to win NC. Here’s my question. Why in Gods name is she campaigning in North Carolina??

    Liked by 8 people

  11. Peter says:

    It’s so refreshing and energizing to the mental stimuli to read Sundances analysis….compare the intellect of Sundances analysis to this trash..,,complete opposite of smart:

    http://hotair.com/archives/2016/09/08/morning-consult-50-state-poll-shows-hillary-large-electoral-college-lead/

    Liked by 6 people

  12. Paul Killinger says:

    Dare I say it, this suggests Hillary Clinton could be going down like a WWII Japanese Battleship (no offense) in the Bungo Straits!

    PS. Unless we all don’t GO VOTE on Election Day!

    Liked by 7 people

  13. More good news: Today’s Q poll has Trump +4 in Ohio.

    Some better numbers out of Pennsylvania in the next couple weeks, and we can head into Nov. 8th with high confidence. As far as Pennsylvania, never forget that in the primaries the polls overestimated Clinton’s numbers by 4% and underestimated Trump’s numbers by 14.2%.

    Liked by 13 people

    • Pam says:

      Also, look at the unprecedented numbers of PA voters who switched to Rep just to vote for Trump in the primary there. I think PA has been totally underestimated by these agenda driven polls.

      Liked by 8 people

    • An Emerson poll just came out with RI +3, and NJ +4 for Clinton. To some that would sound like bad news, but I don’t see it that way at all. If it is that close in those two blue states (based upon the pollsters typical bias) that is great news. I wonder how much they manipulated those ones to give her the lead. If RI and NJ go red in the polls it will be full out panic by the pundits and Clinton campaign. I think in reality they already are. 😉

      Liked by 5 people

    • mister549 says:

      Yep! Let’s get out those red shirts, baby. Show for who we’ve voted!

      Liked by 4 people

    • kim says:

      Whats interesting to me is the number of cars here in Chester County, Pa that still have Obama stickers that have not been replaced with Clinton stickers. Most people have removed the Obama stickers they had, but wouldn’t you think the ones who haven’t would have Clinton ones? I am now driving the school bus over 100 miles a day here and have not seen a single Clinton sign anywhere.

      Liked by 9 people

      • DecisionTime says:

        I live in NE Florida and haven’t seen one yard sign or bumper sticker for HRC, only Trump!

        Liked by 5 people

        • Somebody says:

          I live in NE Florida in eastern Nassau County and I’ve seen 1 Hillary sign. It’s a big one that would be perfect for target practice if it wasn’t right by a highway.

          I’ve seen a couple of Hillary stickers and lots of Trump. To be fair my neighbor’s mother is involved with the dem party here so a demo party official accounts for 2 of the 5-6 Hillary stickers I’ve seen.

          Hahaha, typed this on my phone and auto correct kept trying to change “dem” to demon, LOL!

          Liked by 4 people

      • kim, i’m northern chesco (hopewell village) got my trump sign out, got three more for neighbors.
        i’d love to get one on every house on my road – the last real back road left in the county.

        Liked by 1 person

  14. redsequin4 says:

    This is why I love CTH so much, we get the pure unvarnished truth, explained in detail!

    With the corrupt MSM twisting the truth on an hourly basis, what an incredible breath of fresh air this site is!!

    Liked by 14 people

  15. M33 says:

    What’s with the Dr. Phil image?
    Didn’t he get eviscerated or something?
    I have no idea since I haven’t watched TV since 2006.
    It was bad then and I hear it’s only worse now.

    Like

  16. SouthernbythegraceofGod says:

    Lyrics from People Get Ready.

    People get ready, there’s a train a comin’
    You don’t need no baggage, you just get on board
    All you need is faith to hear the diesels hummin’
    Don’t need no ticket, you just thank the Lord
    People get ready for the train to Jordan
    It’s picking up passengers from coast to coast
    Faith is the key, open the doors and board ’em
    There’s hope for all among those loved the most.

    Trump/Pence!

    Liked by 15 people

  17. Pam says:

    One thing of note is that in this state, we have more registered Dems than Reps and so the key for a rep to win is those crossing over from either party in the general. In the March primary, Indies were allowed to cross over and vote for a rep ticket or Dem ticket. This poll is good news indeed! If this state does indeed go for Trump, I hope the voters will have the good sense to keep our governor for another four years since our AG Roy Cooper has been too busy campaigning for crooked.

    Here is the state’s voter statistics as of 9/3/16. The list is broken down in ABC order by county.
    http://enr.ncsbe.gov/voter_stats/results.aspx?date=09-03-2016

    Liked by 2 people

  18. Trumped says:

    AND

    the so called demexit, disenfranchised bernie supporters, made a difference in voter registrations already..

    Liked by 9 people

    • ALEX says:

      This is something as big as the Monster vote in my opinion…If we could find out how many unaffiliated are 18-35, that would be interesting…

      Liked by 3 people

      • Trumped says:

        That’s all you can get:
        http://enr.ncsbe.gov/voter_stats/

        August/september
        Dem: 2,661,311 / 2,671,858
        rep: 2,020,743 / 2,027,347
        ind: 1,940,238 / 1,966,004

        2012 A/S:
        Dem:2,753,838 / 2,763,190
        rep: 1,992,465 / 1,999,289
        ind: 1,609,644 / 1,630,824

        THIS IS SIGNIFICANT!
        And shows that most polls weightening is totally off if based on 2012 ..(08 even more so)

        Liked by 1 person

      • “live telephone interviews of adults” does not tell me whether landline or cell. Many of these polls are landline based. Many 18-35 yo don’t even have a landline. Many older folks who do, don’t answer. I’m going with the Monster vote.

        Like

    • NC PATRIOT says:

      Said this in another thread—they said on the radio today “NC Board of Elections said thee had been an unprecedented number of unaffiliated voters registering this cycle.”

      Liked by 2 people

  19. Ruffin says:

    Trump will win NC, all we have to do is keep on, keeping on. The intelligent population is going to pummel the ignoramuses that lurk among us into the ground.

    Had to go to Fayetteville today, saw twoTrump/Pence signs displayed prominently in an affluent neighborhood. Mentioned it to a friend (former Dem.) and he allowed as how he was waiting until 30 days before the election to put his sign out. He also commented that dying was the only thing that would prevent him from voting Trump.

    On the way back I saw two more Trump/Pence signs in a low income rural area.
    There were NO Hillery signs or bumper stickers, although I did spot a Women for Obama sign in the back window of an older model Subaru. ….same mindset as a Prius owner..

    Liked by 11 people

  20. PatriotKate says:

    The numbers in this poll (of those polled) is in direct line with current voter registration in NC. Democrats do hold about a 10% advantage in NC in terms or registrations. The amount of Independent registrations in NC is almost the same as Republicans right now, within about 1/2 of 1%. I know the Independent numbers have grown quite a bit in the last year or so and many of NC’s Independents are Republican-leaning.

    Good news. I feel certain he will take North Carolina.

    Liked by 6 people

  21. sDee says:

    October/November 1980 National polls
    Reagan 40% Carter 44%
    Reagan 39% Carter 45%
    Reagan 47% Carter 44%

    Actual result
    Reagan 51% Carter 41%

    Liked by 6 people

    • NYGuy54 says:

      I was all in for Reagan living in NoVa….Gallup had Carter 47% Reagan 39% two weeks before the election (Oct 26, 1980). Those were the days when people actually picked up their phone too. So Reagan had a monster vote as well.

      Liked by 4 people

    • deqwik2 says:

      The military all voted for Reagan because Carter was a weak Commander-in-Chief.
      It’s the same this year with Obama being so weak. Their vote isn’t counted in the state polls because most all of them are stationed outside their home state. They will have a big impact on vote totals especially if they don’t loose duffle bags full of voter forms from overseas this time.

      Like

  22. LBB says:

    Nice to see Obama unfavorable higher like it should be too.
    The weird question of this one is #16. They only polled 19 people ?

    Like

  23. keebler AC says:

    Pat Caddell is a Democrat pollster with a lot of experience. He lambasted and ridiculed Reuters back on Aug 2 for falsifying Hilliary’s bump after the convention.

    Not so fast on Hillary’s bump! Pat Caddell says Reuters flat-out ‘cooked’ poll as part of media ‘jihad’ against Trump
    August 2, 2016 |

    Political strategist Pat Caddell knows a sham when he sees one, and he’s not afraid to call it out, big time.

    Caddell was near disbelief by what he called a “cooked” Reuters daily tracking poll he claimed was rigged to favor Democrat Hillary Clinton.

    “They not only changed their formula, to put Hillary ahead. They went back and changed the results, for a week of results where Trump was ahead, and then they turned those into Hillary leads,” he said.

    “They also erased all the former polling off the site. They didn’t tweak their procedure – they cooked it.”

    Well, well, well. Say it isn’t so. But, Caddell didn’t end there, and went on with his allegations.

    Please share:
    http://www.bizpacreview.com/2016/08/02/not-fast-hillarys-bump-pat-caddell-says-reuters-flat-cooked-poll-part-media-jihad-trump-373322#

    Back in 2012 too

    Liked by 6 people

    • keebler AC says:

      Please share with undecideds and Bernie voters! Hildabeast’s Democrat Party is now the party of the old corrupted Republican politicians. GOPe establishment hacks and uniglobalists are jumping ship to go to Hilla’s corrupted DNC. The Democrat Party is NO LONGER THEIR PARTY! It’s become the Bush’s party. Yikes! Tsunami wave going to Trump’s Republican Party! Lincoln’s party! Not LBJ, John F Kennedy assassin’s party! Share! Share! Share!

      Liked by 4 people

    • Voltaire's Crack says:

      Caddell’s comments have been featured prolifically and often exclusively on Breitbart lately, where he most often addresses issues around polling and the media.

      Like

    • sunnydaze says:

      Here’s a shortened version of the 2012 speech referenced in that AIM article:

      Like

  24. quintrillion says:

    Add 10% for the Monster Vote and Trump is at 54% in NC ?

    Storm clouds should be clearing soon and the psyops oppression of Obamanomics and smart assness will disappear. Free at last!

    Liked by 4 people

  25. Kent says:

    The true beauty of this is…for me…that not only will it be a solid rejection of hillary….but the libs/progs/marxzanistas/SJW’s/soros etc….plus the biggest prize of all…..

    The shutout will represent a LOUD and CLEAR referendum on the presidency….of….

    barack hussein obama….

    Liked by 3 people

  26. sDee says:

    NC will go Trump. Strong turnout and new voters in counties outside Wake, Durham, Orange and Mecklenburg counties will shape a Trump victory. Those heavily populated 4 counties are liberal, high numbers of government employees, and much is dependent on government spending – they will see large anti-Trump turnout IMHO.

    Right now, Clinton TV ads run constantly and I think they appeal to low information voters and anti-Trump voters. I assume Trump has a surprise waiting in response.

    During the Obama regime we in NC broke 100 years of Dem control of our legislature and then a few years later added a Republican governor. So the red tide is still rising.

    We have a Legislature that wants to be even more aggressive in moving toward sovereignty and limited government. When it comes to pushing back on the Federal agendas, we have a timid governor who owes the globalists much, and, our AG is a a rabid subversive Obama bootlicker who refuses to challenge federal judges. President Trump will make these problems less of an issue.

    NC is poised for explosive growth under the policies of the Trump Presidency

    Liked by 7 people

    • cheryl says:

      Plus there have been thousands upon thousands of manufacturing jobs in NC lost to Mexico and China. People in NC are po’d and know Trump is the only one who can help them now.

      Liked by 1 person

    • joanfoster says:

      N.C. has also played footsie with Obama and federal funding for “light rail” which isn’t light at all on the pocketbooks of the taxpayers. The liberal areas of the Triangle and Mecklenburg County (which is run by the banks BofA and Wells) are still in the tank of Hillary.

      Like

  27. ryanomalley1 says:

    I assume Trump is smart enough to see these polls and see his attempt to “get the black vote” will fail miserably just as all recent Republican efforts have. I hope his strategy was just a show of campaign to blacks to get more of the white vote, which is strange in theory, but makes perfect sense in white battered 2016.

    Like

    • JRD says:

      Sorry, but you are stuck in Dinosaur-land.
      This election is not about Democrat vs Republican. It is about Globalist vs Nationalist.
      Trump has nothing in common with Romney and McCain.

      Take your concern back to Soros Central for new talking points.

      Hellary is going to get her corrupt Alinsky azz kicked.

      Liked by 5 people

      • ryanomalley1 says:

        Blacks vote Democrat. If Trump gets 15% of the black vote, it would be a major victory in the eyes of black votes but in total, it won’t move the needle. THIS POLL shows blacks at less than 10% Trump.

        Like

    • Acer says:

      Lol this troll…

      Liked by 3 people

    • sDee says:

      Reagan broke through with: “Are you better off than you were 4 years ago”

      I believe Trump can break through with “Are you better off after 60 years years of voting Democrat?” or maybe “What do you have to lose”? 😉

      Liked by 1 person

    • Bluto ✓ᵛᵉʳᶦᶠᶦᵉᵈ ᵈᴿᵘᴺᵏᵃᴿᵈ says:

      Trump smart enough? Doubtful. That’s why he lost the primaries. He probably didn’t take your advice then either.

      Bummer.

      Liked by 5 people

    • LCS mom says:

      You’re not even good at the concern trolling. You’re fired!

      Liked by 5 people

    • ZZZ says:

      NOTHING whatsoever to do with Republican or Democrat…we are far, far outside those boundaries this election cycle.

      It is simply about survival this time around…for ALL demographics.

      Like

    • Trumped says:

      Are you writing from prison?
      You have no clue on what is going on and what Trump is smelling:

      The Obama inner city youth vote is gone anyway for any candidate.(unless you get rappers going bling bling Trump)
      The fed up black american vote is essentially the same as the white fed up vote. Just painted in another shade.

      Agree that some suburbia soccer mom might be relieved that Trump isn’t a racist.. 😉

      Trump :” black vote 2020 for Trump will be 95%” . No joked cause he really want to help change lives there.

      Liked by 1 person

      • WoW! Epic is right. This guy spoke truth. I got chills listening to him, the kind of chills you get when GOD IS SPEAKING.

        The video starts with some politician saying they are going to bring those to justice that shot the police, then a local resident comes up to the mic and they let him speak because “he is black.” But what he says stuns them and catches them off-guard, he passionately tells them he is sick of “black on black crime” and how he is tired of not being safe of being shot by a fellow “black person.” He ends his words by righteously rebuking the media “You guys got to do a better job!”

        THIS is what Trump is talking about and these are the sentiments he is hearing on the campaign from good folks who live in the inner cities of all skin colors, especially “blacks.” Once again, Trump has correctly assessed the situation of the inner city devastation, not from the criminal’s point of view like Obama and Hillary, but from the DECENT CITIZENS WHO LIVE IN FEAR EVERY DAY IN THE INNER CITIES run by criminals.

        PLEASE RT!!

        Liked by 5 people

    • O gawd, more of the skin color obsession. It’s 2016 NOT 1966! When are Americans going to stop being their skin color? Lame also that “white” also means anybody of any skin color who supports America and Trump regardless of their race or hue of skin.

      HISS!

      I got news for America: vote Trump or die a horrible death in America cuz without Trump America DIES. Stop with the labels!! The ship is sinking and skin color won’t save us.

      Liked by 11 people

      • Rick says:

        Right on Moni!!!!

        Liked by 1 person

      • ryanomalley1 says:

        Wow, I am new to this site but you sound like SJW’s who try to shout down anything politically incorrect. Look at this poll! Blacks support Clinton over Trump at 90%. You can’t possible think that race is not important when you see poll numbers like this.

        Like

        • TakeBackOurRepublic says:

          Ryan, are you with him or with her? The responses you got are because there are no doubters here. We are 100% aboard the Trump Train.

          Trump is not only smart but caring and he campaigns on truth and the appeal that he will make America great again for ALL Americans . No Republican has ever dared to publicly address the issues and causes of poor black communities. His outreach to them is a win-win for everyone and his intentions sincere. You suggest he is manipulating them for the white vote. That’s rubbish.

          Like

      • Marygrace Powers says:

        “Our debt to our men and women in uniform is eternal.

        To all those who have served this nation, I say: I will never let you down.

        We will protect those who protect us.

        And we will follow their example of unity. We will work across all racial and income lines to create One American Nation.

        Together, we will have one great American future.

        We will be one people, under one God, saluting one American flag.

        America will be a prosperous, generous and inclusive society.

        We will discard the failed policies and division of the past, and embrace true American change to rebuild our economy, rebuild our inner cities, and rebuild our country.”

        https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/09/07/transcript-of-donald-trump-military-policyobjectives-speech/

        Trump speech 9/7/16/ Worth rereading/INCREDIBLE!

        WAKE UP/ WE ARE ALL AMERICANS/ Nothing else matters!

        Like

    • James O'Malley says:

      Trump, if I’m not mistaken, doesn’t even need a majority of black votes to win. He just needs enough to cross over and that’ll do it. It’s not like we’re gunning for a majority black crossover.

      Like

  28. sam says:

    The only state Trump must will in Pennsylvania. Virginia should be an easy win but the democrat gov Terry Mcculife is running the show so he might steal it for Hillary.

    Liked by 2 people

  29. Bluto ✓ᵛᵉʳᶦᶠᶦᵉᵈ ᵈᴿᵘᴺᵏᵃᴿᵈ says:

    Additionally, there’s no polling methodology used to measure the “Enthusiasm Factor”. The motivation for Trump is off the charts.

    From my experience talking to Trump supporters in Anaheim and in Phoenix, I’ve never seen anything like it in my lifetime. Never, EVER seen people so fired up about a candidate. The people were more animated & excited than any World Series or Playoff game I’ve ever attended.

    Motivation & Enthusiasm factor is HUGE. I predict landslide. (have been for a while now)

    Liked by 13 people

    • Kalena says:

      A 1980 Reagan voting story. I lived in Fort Worth TX back then. We arrived to the polling station around 6 pm central. We brought lawn chairs and a radio. The line was about 3 hours long. We weren’t even close to getting inside when the networks called the race. It was an all evening party that night. Everyone in line before the polls closed still got to vote it took 2 extra hours to clear the line. No one left. I was 25 and it was my 2nd presidential election. I was raised in a blue collar Union democrat household. I became a total Reaganite and never looked back.

      I feel the same vibe this year. Now I am in MI and it feels like a trump sweep here too.

      Liked by 4 people

      • notstuckonstupid says:

        Great story! I lived in Arlington TX back then, and was 26 years old for that election. I remember standing in line for a LONG time, and the excitement was palpable. I can’t believe I get to live through this awesomeness for a second time in my life. 😄

        Liked by 1 person

    • andymilken says:

      Very good point, Bluto. There is no “scientific” measurement of voter intensity. You can only “feel and experience” it. I do not follow or read any more polls because of this reason. They all assumed everyone they called would vote and based their analyses on ‘past” data for future predictions, which probably works in the past, but not this cycle. It is an entirely different environment and circumstance. Dems, historically, always have a higher registration than Reps, so that is a given, but there will a large number staying home this cycle. Remember the mormon loser won NC despite his horrendous campaign and message. I am not concerned at all. BO was a much “better” candidate than the bitch and the mormon loser lost the swing states by 300K+, which could have had given him the oval office. Looking back, it is probably a good thing because if we have that loser in the white house, the bitch will probably win this cycle and DJT would not have run. BTW, an approximate 7 million white voters stayed home in 2012. We can all “slice and dice” about the minority votes, but it will come down if the white voters will show up or not.

      Liked by 1 person

    • Bob Werner says:

      The LAtimes poll actually scores on a 0 to 100 basis so it does capture enthusiasm to an extent. Doesn’t capture newbie voters though.

      Like

  30. Duhders says:

    Noticed the pollers are prompted to ask for the youngest in the household. Now I wonder why that would be the case…hmmmmmm? /s

    Like

  31. moe2004 says:

    Running errands today in Saratoga Springs, NY, and stopped to grab a few slices for lunch. They had three jars on the counter, one for a local state Rep., one for Trump and one for Killery. There was money for Trump and money for the local guy, zero in Killery’s. I said to the clerk small poll sample but this is interesting. She told me Killery hasn’t gotten a dime in weeks, love it!

    Liked by 14 people

  32. NHVoter says:

    I thought this was an interesting nugget from today’s Q polls:

    Liked by 5 people

  33. WeThePeople2016 says:

    Trump should win North Carolina. My concern is the Voter ID law was not upheld in the court. In 2008, I remember reading story after story from eyewitnesses of people being bused in from another state to vote for O. I hope that the Governor, the GOP, and the Trump campaign are on top of this. There needs to be poll watchers/workers at every single station in the state. Also, I believe that early voting starts there tomorrow. They are going to have to spend some extra $$$ and invest in bodies to watch for voter fraud.

    Liked by 3 people

    • James O'Malley says:

      I saw this firsthand in Illinois in our last gubernatorial election. I live near a very liberal college, and there were a lot of non-Illinois residents (one in particular openly admitted to a friend behind me that he’s from New York) that were voting, primarily because our then-governor, Pat Quinn, a well-connected Democrat, was running for reelection against our current governor, Republican Bruce Rauner. The New Yorker openly admitting he was voting and that his parents told him to “vote for Quinn”.

      Luckily Quinn lost, but I don’t know how this kid got away with voting in a state he doesn’t live in.

      Like

  34. I think it’s quite obvious Hillary’s entire campaign and candidacy is a SCAM. Just like Obama in 2012 in which they rigged and cheated and Obama had empty halls and a lack of interest by voters. But THIS is so pathetic with Hillary, they can’t even pull it off this time. BUT THEY WILL TRY SO WE MUST REMAIN DILIGENT AND SHOW UP IN DROVES TO VOTING POLLS, among other things to stop their cheating. This is America’s LAST CHANCE.

    Liked by 5 people

  35. Rebel Mope says:

    If Trump gets 12% of the Black vote in Illinois he will flip the state. He might already win Illinois. Governor Quinn (D) won with 2 of 104 counties, Governor Rauner (R) won 103 of 104 in this last election.

    Liked by 4 people

  36. Carolina Kat says:

    I agree with my fellow Tarheels, NC is going Trump, and it will not be close. Trump signs are just now available from the local GOP – I expect to see even more signage in the next few weeks. Hubby travels across the state with work; people are open about Trump support. That smells like a landslide.

    Liked by 4 people

  37. NHVoter says:

    Hillary is speaking in Kansas City. Here are pictures of the (non existent) crowd.

    Liked by 3 people

  38. fuzzi says:

    Did anyone else notice that Trump was the only candidate that received ZERO “never heard of him” responses? Love it.

    Liked by 2 people

  39. NHVoter says:

    Is Hillary for real? This does not describe her at all. What a joke.

    Like

  40. Joe Collins says:

    Sundance, you will need a new animated graphic for #ColdAnger. The ginger haired lassie should have her hand raised in victory. She can make her debut on election night.

    Liked by 1 person

  41. Martin says:

    Liked by 3 people

  42. Bull Durham says:

    Liked by 2 people

  43. Bull Durham says:

    DC Hotel, Monday on Fox.

    Liked by 3 people

  44. NHVoter says:

    Ugh

    Like

  45. americalsgt says:

    Have always felt this is a state he needs to win. NC has become so PC in the past 15-20 years with so many “yankees” moving in.

    Liked by 1 person

  46. Bull Durham says:

    Liked by 3 people

  47. dcrowes says:

    Another good pool I follow daily has Trump jumping back into the lead today nationally. Post everyday around 1100AM
    http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/09/08/UPICVoter-poll-Donald-Trump-pushes-ahead-of-Hillary-Clinton/8281473343152/

    Liked by 1 person

  48. betseyross says:

    Just remember, folks, the more Hillary is out there, the more people dislike her. Bring her on!

    Liked by 1 person

  49. n3angus says:

    I am so freaked out over the Voter fraud at 15 % in swing states , I hope they will be all over this . Didn’t you see Hillary attacking N Carolina today ?????

    Like

  50. HB2 and Voter ID law will bring many to polls. Hoping Mcrory does not bring down Trump in NC.

    Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s