Stunning NBC Agenda Poll: Skewed Poll Data Needed To Keep Hillary Clinton Ahead Nationally….

Folks, Donald Trump is CRUSHING Hillary Clinton Nationally

A National NBC/Survey Monkey Poll (pollster Mark Murray) was released today showing Hillary Clinton barely ahead of Donald Trump 48%/45%.

However, what’s more stunning, actually, gobsmackingly and transparently stunning, is how heavily skewed the poll data was constructed in order to show Hillary Clinton with a three point lead.  The poll has a necessary D+7.2% favorability weight:

2 candidate trump vs clinton NBC Survey Monkey poll 2

Beyond the necessary D +7 poll skew, in order to present a poll that retains Hillary Clinton in the lead NBC Pollster Mark Murray needed to exclude 4,725 poll respondents from a total sample size of 12,507 registered voters.

This level of statistical smoothing is huge folks.   You can find the full poll data including the methodology HERE.  However, even with that said there’s even more evidence of Hillary Clinton losing.

mark murrayFirst, this is pollster Mark Murray.  Anyone who followed the republican primary polling specifically from NBC will notice automatically what that means.   Murray is one of the two national agenda pollsters.

Secondly, the evidence of the inherent intellectual dishonesty can be found simply by noting that NBC is not promoting this polled outcome.

Even with all of the statistical construct the outcome STILL doesn’t look good for Hillary.

NBC has their account set up with a password for downloading and embedding, so I can’t embed the poll itself – but you can see it here

It only takes a glance at Mark Murray’s twitter feed to immediately identify his preferred candidate (Hillary Clinton), and view his position on the preferred quest to get Bernie Sanders knocked out of the race.

If not manipulated the poll data would have shown candidate Hillary Clinton losing to Donald Trump among registered voters nationally.  NBC’s Mark Murray knows this.

And that still doesn’t count the MONSTER VOTE !

This really is stunningly good news.

trump smile 3

trump landslide 2

 

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This entry was posted in Clinton(s), Desperately Seeking Hillary, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

240 Responses to Stunning NBC Agenda Poll: Skewed Poll Data Needed To Keep Hillary Clinton Ahead Nationally….

  1. aprilyn43 says:

    All you hear from the propaganda news media is, Killery is leading Trump nationally by a small percentage …. I DON’T BELIEVE IT!

    Liked by 3 people

    • I’ve known for years that most “polls” are attempts to skew results to their own predicted outcomes, not true analyses.

      Liked by 2 people

    • Ginger says:

      If they make the poll numbers always close (like 48/45 in favor of Hillary), it [hidden cheating at the voting booths] will make a lot of sense to us when she “wins” by 52/48. I’m a Trump fan but I think the cabal will make sure that Hillary wins. Then the blackmailed Supreme Court (of only 8) will stop the vote recounts after a week or two.

      Like

  2. ZZZ says:

    well, her overlord said the same thing…I say psyops.
    unless they are planning to suspend elections for some man-made terror event.

    Like

    • tg159 says:

      At this point nothing would surprise me.There are TRILLIONS of dollars at stake in this election and the Globalist will do anything to keep their cash cow,the U.S. government under their control.It could be a drummed up terrorist attack or another one of the annual plagues,like zika,that is going to wipe out the human race unless we spend billions now.We haven’t seen anything yet.Trump Derangement Syndrome will only get worse and worse as November nears.

      Liked by 2 people

      • Ginger says:

        I think the Zika scare was manufactured to ruin Brazil, just like the fake scandal that caused Roussef to be impeached. Now the country has to fall in line with the cabal, the nwo.

        Like

  3. Ace says:

    So maybe this isn’t a never-Trump agenda poll, but a never-Sanders agenda poll?

    Like

  4. JD says:

    Trump will destroy Crooked-Hillary in November 2016, as Reagan did to Loser-Carter in 1980. Bank on it. Americans are fed up with the NWO/Globalists/RINOs/Uni-Party **sholes!!! And some of the Bernie supporters will vote for Trump. Truth is, I’m a Trump supporter, but if it came down to Bernie or Hillary, I’d cast my vote for Bernie.

    Liked by 1 person

  5. ed357 says:

    Nope….

    Both of your links were blocked by Scrib…..

    Must be hiding something.

    Like

  6. redsequin4 says:

    What’s pissing me off is the coverage nutty Bill Kristol and his third party dreams are getting. Thankfully the CTH has given him short shrift but BB can’t seem to get enough of it. Kristol and Romney, or as I like to call them, Tweedle Me and Tweedle Dumb, are so repulsive I can’t stand to hear their names mentioned. That is all.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. TrumpOrDie says:

    The poll did not exclude Independents. I read the whole document, and there’s nothing about to that effect.

    R was 28%, D was 35%, and I was 35% of the pool.

    Trump got 87, 44, and 8 among the three groups.

    Clinton got 7, 36, and 87.

    Weighting each group by how common they were in the pool, it’s Trump 43 and Clinton 45.

    That leaves out the 1% who didn’t answer for party affiliation. And they weight by demographics to make it more representative of the US population. But still, Clinton has a couple points on Trump, although within the margin of error.

    Like

    • sundance says:

      Look at the bottom of the pdf and you will see the section labeled “methodology”. Read the paragraphs. Directly below that are the boxes showing the polled samples used in the delivered poll results.

      There are no independents listed as used for the poll data.

      Like

      • alegenoa says:

        Well, it’s not clear. It is not indicating the estimated error for independents in the table, but the corresponding error for the full sample is there nonetheless. The omission of just that single group is puzzling, and of course you are right not to trust them, but this proves nothing. It could still be that Independents are included in the General Election questions, other sources of bias notwithstanding.

        Like

  8. alegenoa says:

    I don’t see any indication of Independents being omitted. Maybe it’s just me.
    “Results for the week of May 9, 2016 through May 15, 2016 are among a national sample of 14,100 adults aged 18 and over, including 12,507 registered voters (+/- 1.2%), 3,434 registered Republican voters (+/-2.3%) and 4,348 registered Democratic voters (+/-2.0%).”
    This means they explicitly stated that the R and D registered voters are included with those specific figures, but the included registered voters are the all the 12507 respondents.

    Granted, the poll could be biased in many ways, including the self-selecting nature of the respondents, plus the applied further selection on the part of the pollsters to generate the 14K sample. And of course, there’s always the monster vote.
    But it doesn’t seem they committed such an obvious faux pas as excluding independents.

    Like

  9. Jeff says:

    Polls (poles) are for strippers , fishermen and firemen !!!

    How to read a poll 101

    first understand who PAID for the Poll ……second ….understand who PAID for the Poll and lastly …understand WHO PAID FOR THE POLL !! answers all your questions .

    Each candidate has internal polling data …or REAL polling data that they hold close to the vest .

    Sundance is pointing out this issue of manufactured outcomes . Polls to get people to SURRENDER their vote …polls to get people to think they don’t need to vote …polls to get people to think their vote is not going to make a difference …all of it is voter suppression by the corporate owned media of some form .

    Combine the polls with stories such as ” Ted Cruz to restart his campaign ” and the tea leaves read one thing …DESPERATION by the ESTABLISHMENT ….MONSTER VOTE to ensue !!

    you will NEVER hear about the MONSTER VOTE or SURRENDER VOTE on the media …..because it is their #1 job to convince people to SURRENDER their vote .

    The MONSTER VOTE has turned off the gatekeeper media and push Polls .

    want to see a poll (pole ) go see a stripper …go fishing or visit your local fire department . Other wise its a …CON JOB !!! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBxLgzQSkVo

    Liked by 4 people

  10. Jack says:

    The polls are way off. I noticed during the 5 state “Acela” primary in the Northeast that Trump outperformed the state polls by up to 10 points. In Pennsylvania, he had a polling average of 48 percent on the day of the primary, but won 57 + percent of the vote.
    Many stories have been written about how some of his supporters don’t want to say so in phone interviews, and that he does better with online polling. That means that the polls are probably going to be off for the entire election season.

    I’m really loving that Bernie is going to be keeping the pressure on HIllary through the convention. She is going to have to give so many concessions to the socialists that she won’t be able to move to the center in the general election campaign. The republican Never-Trumpers will be so horrified by the democrats communist platform that they won’t stay home, they’re gonna vote Trump.

    Liked by 4 people

    • Sandra says:

      “Acela primary”, that’s funny! I lived in the northeast for a few years and used to ride that train.

      Like

    • Ginger says:

      Yes, I’m a Trump fan but I don’t tell many people. We are the silent majority. I don’t know why so many are so madly against him, so I just stay quiet.

      Like

  11. Sandra says:

    Like some other commenters, I also don’t see any exclusion of Independents. But I do like the results of this question:

    As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? [AMONG IND OR DON’T KNOW FOR PARTY]

    33% said Republican
    28% sad Democrat
    36% said neither
    3% didn’t answer

    Those values in prior weeks ranged from 31-38 for Republican and 24-32 for Democrat. The Democrats have a big problem on their hands. 🙂 This is what happens when the promoted candidate is unappealing.

    Like

  12. juliagoolia says:

    However, what’s more stunning, actually, gobsmackingly and transparently stunning, is how heavily skewed the poll data was constructed in order to show Hillary Clinton with a three point lead.

    Isn’t this the same sort of special pleading republicans engaged in in 2012 with Romney? If Trump continues to trail in poll after poll, he’s going to lose. And just so there’s no misunderstanding, that’s not what I want to happen. I want him to win and I think he’ll win, but if he never takes the lead in polling, it means he’s going to lose. But it’s only May, so not really worried about polls right now. But if he’s still behind 3 in September-October, he’s in trouble.

    Like

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