A new NBC Poll (full pdf below) shows candidate Donald Trump with a commanding lead over the rest of the field at 35%. In addition 49% of those polled believe Trump will be the republican nominee.
Via NBC – With the presidential primaries in full swing, Donald Trump maintains his sizable lead over the rest of the Republican field. Among Republican or Republican-leaning registered voters, Trump has 35% support compared to 18% for Ted Cruz and 13% for Marco Rubio, according to results from the latest NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll for the week of December 28, 2015 through January 3, 2016.
The poll was conducted online among a national sample of 3,700 adults aged 18 and over.
Trump leads among men with 39% of support, compared to 21% of men who support Cruz and 13% of men who support Rubio. Trump also leads among women with 29% support, while Cruz and Rubio have about equal support from women—13% and 14%, respectively.
Perhaps surprisingly, Trump also has the highest support among white evangelical voters—33%. Although Ben Carson did fairly well among white evangelicals (12%), the group heavily favored Trump. Cruz also did well with white evangelicals, with 2 in 10 supporting him. Rubio’s support among this group was 1 in 10. Republican-leaned voters who describe their political views as “very conservative” are most likely to support Trump (35%) and Cruz (30%) with the other candidates at least 20 points behind. (read more)