The “Shaw” in Shaw and Company is Daron Shaw, a former operative of the Rick Perry campaign and entrenched political PR consultant for the DC GOPe apparatus. Both of these polls are “agenda polls”; the professional political apparatus are trying desperately to influence the election and create a media narrative.
It is doubtful the numbers on Trump, Rubio or Kasich are accurately represented in either data-set. Yes, Donald Trump is doing very well against the severely collapsing campaign of Marco Rubio in Florida. However, it is difficult to measure given current events.
Conversely, against the contrast of John Kasich’s poor results in Michigan last night, specifically in south Michigan bordering Ohio, there’s just as much data to refute the assumptions within the Ohio result which look extremely over-inflated.
As previously stated about 85% of all current polling is agenda polling; so it’s better to ignore them all.
Also, we are entering a phase of the election where campaigns, and their operatives, become increasingly desperate. With each failing candidacy there are hundreds of paid political operatives who lose their jobs. Add to that number the consultants, pollsters and various affiliates who end up with no further income, and people get increasingly more emotional.
In order to maintain a reasonable perspective, it is strongly advised that every effort be made to separate yourself from the emotional manifestations within the hour-by-hour political news cycle. Focus on substance, not style. Look for facts, not suppositions. Ignore the arm-flailing, pearl-clutching, and psychosis that accompanies a loss of emotional control.
It is only when you control your emotion that you are able to differentiate the psychological manipulation from the truth, especially with media stories.
Lastly, Marco Rubio is in a really tough spot. From the current media cycle it appears almost everyone is aware he is no longer in this race to win the nomination. He has been reduced to acting the role of a tool, a company man, a puppet to benefit the will of the professional political class.
Rubio held a rally today in a football stadium, in his own back yard, and only several dozen people showed up. That’s bad, bad ju-ju considering the election. But things are not what they seem. We told you from day #1 that Rubio is the least vetted candidate in the race. One of the aspects missed in the vetting is how his own community regards him. It’s not good.
Rubio is known locally as a punk poser/wannabe, with a wife who acts like she’s all that and a bag-of-chips. These are not two well liked people in Miami-Dade. In addition, all of Rubio’s family nepotism chickens are coming home to roost.
There are more people, way more people, in Miami-Dade who would love to see him crash and burn, than would like to see him succeed. His current status as a failing candidate is giving all of those people the ability to reflect their sentiments openly.
Rubio is NOT seen as a man of his community. He is seen as a man who ignores his community, even his local community, because he’s trying to be better than they are. Rubio is a man who has lost the support in his own cultural neighborhood because he walked away from his own cultural neighborhood. They are NOT going to show up to the polls now to stop him from being embarrassed.
DO NOT be surprised to see him exit the race this weekend in a veiled attempt to save face before the shunning of his own community gains national recognition. Rubio is in the “pride equation” now; hence last night he tries to walk back his childish antics and assume the role of humble warrior.
It’s too late.