A recent Texas poll of 1,531 “registered voters” and 1,293 “likely voters” shows Ted Cruz and Donald Trump essentially tied. Ted Cruz being more successful in West Texas, and Donald Trump being more successful in North Texas. If Senator Ted Cruz loses Texas, his candidacy is effectively over – that’s why he’s campaigning in Texas right now.
DALLAS – Six days before Super Tuesday, Ted Cruz and Donald Trump are now tied in Texas, according to a new public opinion poll commissioned by WFAA-TV.
Cruz and Trump both had 32 percent support from likely and actual GOP primary voters, with a 3.9 percent margin of error.
It is the most recent survey of Texas voters and the first one to show Cruz no longer leading in his home state.
“He’s fading,” said Cal Jillson, professor of political science at Southern Methodist University, of Ted Cruz’s candidacy. “Trump has proven to be stronger and more resilient than anyone expected.”
Marco Rubio is a distant third in the WFAA Texas TEGNA poll with 17 percent, John Kasich has 6 percent, Ben Carson has 5 percent and another 5 percent of respondents remain undecided, the poll revealed.
[…] The WFAA Texas TEGNA poll breaks down the Republican electorate even further to show Cruz narrowly leads Trump among Texas’s Hispanic/Latino population, 34 percent to 27 percent.
Cruz has a wide lead over Trump among Texas evangelicals, 42 percent to 28 percent.
The senator overwhelmingly leads Trump among those who are members of the tea party, 62 percent to 21 percent.
Cruz leads by 11 points in West Texas, which includes El Paso, Midland and 88 surrounding counties; and by a nominal 3 points in East Texas, which includes Houston and 60 surrounding counties. That is a surprising finding, considering Cruz is from Houston.
Cruz leads by 20 points among “very conservative” primary voters.
But Trump leads by 16 points among Republican voters who identified themselves as moderate and by 14 points among non-evangelical voters.
Trump leads in North Texas, which includes Dallas, Tarrant, Collin and 41 surrounding counties. (continue reading)