UPDATE 11:00pm Hurricane Florence: Hunkering Down – Maximum Winds Dropped to 90mph – With Overnight Livestream…

Here’s the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center. At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of the eye of Hurricane Florence was located by NOAA Doppler radar and an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 76.8 West. 50 miles south of Moorehead City, 60 miles east-south-east of Wilmington, North Carolina. Florence is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).

Data from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft, coastal surface observations, and NOAA Doppler radar indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before Florence core moves inland on Friday.

A turn toward the west-northwest and west at a slow forward speed is expected through Friday, followed by a slow west-southwestward motion Friday night and Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Florence is expected to move inland across extreme southeastern North Carolina and extreme eastern South Carolina Tonight, Friday and Saturday. Florence will then recurve across the western Carolinas and the central Appalachian Mountains early next week.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the potential to reach the following heights above ground:

  • Cape Fear NC to Cape Lookout NC: 7-11 ft, with locally higher amounts in the Neuse, Pamlico, Pungo, and Bay Rivers
  • Cape Lookout NC to Ocracoke Inlet NC: 6-9 ft
  • South Santee River SC to Cape Fear NC: 4-6 ft
  • Ocracoke Inlet NC to Salvo NC: 4-6 ft
  • Salvo NC to Duck NC: 2-4 ft
  • Edisto Beach SC to South Santee River SC: 2-4 ft

[National Hurricane Center]


For those who are in the path of the storm, there comes a time when all options are removed and you enter the “Hunkering Down” phase.  You’re there now. This storm is going to last for quite a while; and the backside storm surge has the potential to be much larger over time.  This is going to be a long-duration event.

When the winds reach around 40mph, the utility company will likely, proactively, shut down the power.  This makes things a heck of a lot safer in the aftermath; and much easier and safer during the rebuild.  It is almost a guarantee you did not lose power due to damage from the storm but rather because of proactive measures from your power company. Do not expect the power to be turned back on until it is safe.

Hurricanes can be frightening; downright scary.  There’s nothing quite like going through a few to reset your outlook on just how Mother Nature can deliver a cleansing cycle to an entire geographic region.   The sounds are scary, especially in the dark.  Try to stay calm despite the nervousness.  Telephone and power poles, yes, even the concrete ones, can, and likely will, snap like toothpicks.  Trees will bend and break; the sounds are dramatic.

There’s a specific sound when you are inside a hurricane that you can never forget.  It ain’t a howl, it’s a roar.  It is very unique sound in depth and weight.  Yes, within a hurricane wind has weight.  Stay clear of windows and doors.  That scary roar sounds like it won’t ever quit…. it will… eventually; but at the time you are hunkering down, it doesn’t seem like it will ever end.

A constant and pure rage of wind that doesn’t ebb and flow like normal wind and storms. Hurricane wind is heavy, it starts and stays; sometimes for hours.  Relentless, it just won’t let up.  And then, depending on her irrelevant opinion toward your insignificant presence, hopefully she stops.

Then silence.  No birds. No frogs. No crickets. No sound.

Nature goes mute.  It’s weird.

We have no idea how much ambient noise is around us, until it stops.

Oh, if she wants, she’ll keep dumping buckets on you as she wanders away.  Buckets. Not pails, garbage can sized buckets.  After the scour, yup, nature too has a rinse cycle.

If your town, city or hamlet is not underwater, there will be convoys coming to construct a pre-planned electricity grid recovery process.  Convoys from every city, town and state from the east-coast to the mid-west.  A glorious melding of dirty fingernails all arriving for the meet-up.   Depending on your proximity to the bigger picture objectives at hand, you will cherish their arrival.

But first, there will be an assessment.  The convoys will stage at pre-determined locations using radios for communication. Street-by-street everything needs to be evaluated prior to thinking about beginning to rebuild a grid.  Your patience within this process is needed; heck, it ain’t like you’ve got a choice in the matter…. so just stay positive.

Meanwhile, you might walk outside and find yourself a stranger in your neighborhood.

It will all be cattywampus.

Trees gone, crap everywhere, if you don’t need to travel, DON’T.

I mean CRAP e.v.e.r.y.w.h.e.r.e.

Stay away from power-lines.

Be entirely prepared to be lost in your own neighborhood and town for days, weeks, and even months.  Unknown to you – your subconscious mind is like a human GPS mapping system.  When that raging Florence takes away the subconscious landmarks I guarantee you – you are gonna get lost, make wrong turns, miss the exit etc.

It’s kinda funny and weird at the same time.

Your brain is wired to turn left at the big oak next to the Church, and the road to your house is likely two streets past the 7-11 or Circle-k. You don’t even notice that’s how you travel around town; that’s just your brain working – it is what it is.

Well, now the big oak is gone; so too is the Circle-K and 7-11 signs.  Like I said, everything is cattywampus.  Your brain-memory will need to reboot and rewire.  In the interim, you’re gonna get lost… don’t get frustrated.

No street signs. Likely no stop signs.  No traffic lights.

Remember, when it is safe to drive, every single intersection must be treated like a four-way stop…. and YOU ARE GOING TO HAVE TO PAY ATTENTION.  Even the major intersections.

You’ll need to override your brain tendency to use memory in transit.  You’ll need to pay close attention and watch for those who ain’t paying close attention.  Travel sparingly, it’s just safer.

Check on your-self first, then your neighbors. It don’t matter if you’ve never said a word to the guy in the blue house before.  It ain’t normalville now.

Break out of your box and check on the blue house down the street too.  In the aftermath, there’s no class structure.  Without power, the big fancy house on the corner with a pool is just a bigger mess.  Everyone is equally a mess.

The first responders in your neighborhood are YOU.

You, the wife, your family, Mrs. Wilson next door; Joe down the street; Bob’s twin boys and the gal with the red car are all in this together.  If you don’t ordinarily cotton to toxic masculinity you will worship it in the aftermath of a hurricane.  Git-r-done lives there.

Don’t stand around griping with a 40′ tree blocking the main road to your neighborhood.  Figure out who’s got chainsaws and set about clearing the road.  If every neighborhood starts clearing their own roadways, the recovery crews can then move in for the details.

Stage one focuses on major arteries… then secondary… then neighborhood etc.  It’s a process.  Oh, and don’t get mad if your fancy mailbox is ploughed-over by a focused front end loader who is on a priority mission to clear a path.  Just deal with it.

Phase-1 recovery is necessarily, well, scruffy…. we’re just moving and managing the mess; not trying to clean it up yet.  It’ll be ok.

Keep a joyous heart filled with thankfulness; and if you can’t muster it, then just pretend. Don’t be a jerk.  You will be surrounded by jerks….  elevate yourself.  If you need to do a few minutes of cussing, take a walk.  Keep your wits about you and stay calm.

Now, when the recovery teams arrive…. If you pass a line-man, pole-digger or crew say thanks.  Just simple “thanks”.  Wave at them and give them a thumbs-up. No need to get all unnecessarily familiar, a simple “thank you for your help” will generally suffice.  You know, ordinary people skills.

Many of these smaller crews will be sleeping in cots, or in their trucks while they are working never-ending shifts.  If you eventually start getting power back, and see a crew in a restaurant, same thing applies… “thanks guys”.  If you can pay their tab, do it.  If you can pay their tab without them knowing, even better.

Same goes for the tanker truckers. The convenience stores with gas pumps are part of the priority network.  Those will get power before other locales without power.  Fuel outlets are a priority.  Hospitals, first responders, emergency facilities, fuel outlets, then comes commercial and residential.

Remember, you are the first responder for your neighborhood.  Don’t quit.

Recovery is a process.  Depending on the scale of the impact zone, the process can take days, weeks and even months.  Take care of your family, friends and neighborhood, and generally make a conscious decision to be a part of any needed solution.

It’ll be ok.

It might be a massive pain in the a**, but in the end, it’ll be ok.







Keep a good thought.  Who knows, we might even end up shaking hands.

It’ll be OK.  Promise.

This entry was posted in Hurricance Florence, Uncategorized, Weather Events. Bookmark the permalink.

281 Responses to UPDATE 11:00pm Hurricane Florence: Hunkering Down – Maximum Winds Dropped to 90mph – With Overnight Livestream…

  1. dogsmaw says:

    Liked by 6 people

  2. dogsmaw says:

    Liked by 5 people

    • notasmidgeon says:

      And donations please. Mercy Chefs another good one to donate to……..they always arrive very quickly and help provide meals for 1st responders and those in need of a hot meal.

      Liked by 2 people

      • Pegm says:

        Guy Fierro came up and cooked during our horrific fires last month. Amazed and touched me. Wonder if he is a part of this group.

        Liked by 1 person

        • notasmidgeon says:

          https://mercychefs.com/ I am not sure about Guy Fierro. I do know Mercy Chefs works in partnership with other organizations, Churches, and many volunteers. They have been to tornadoes in Oklahoma, hurricane sites (for Ex: Harvey in the Houston area), and yes the fires. They’ve also done work in Puerto Rico.


    • dogsmaw says:

      Okay, I hope you have enough links to guide you thru this storm…Ive got a car appt in Texas but will check back while Im on the road.


    • pawatcher says:

      What Category was Florence when she landed?


      • vexedmi says:

        Category 1 or so I’ve heard.


        • David A says:

          It is likely that no ground stations will report sustained hurricane force winds. After hyping 140 plus mph winds expected for days, CNN noe says the wind is not the story. So after days of fake news the noe realise that in fact the flooding rains are the greatest danger.

          Liked by 2 people

          • Melanie says:

            I’m watching the Weather Channel of all things. They are bending over backwards trying to find mass amounts of Storm Damage. This one reporter has been standing over this downed little tree for the past 10 hours. It’s almost comical. I bet people who were in traffic for 11 hours to evacuate to their Hotel don’t think it’s funny at all.

            Liked by 3 people

            • Melanie says:

              Yes, I know it’s not over yet, but was replying to the Cat 4 winds they were predicting.
              Prayers for those Flooding.

              Liked by 2 people

            • Somewhere in Dixie says:

              The Weather Channel is a soap opera. We don’t watch it at all.


            • NC PATRIOT says:

              The tremendous damage to NC will be flooding, massive trees down and power loss over nearly our entire state ! Some places in eastern NC weren’t completely recovered from Matthew 2 years ago and will be underwater again.

              They DON’T need to HYPE to find the damage. Raleigh was only in the outer bands but trees are down all over the place with wide spread power outages here. (with only tropical wind gusts of 40 mph) This is moving at 5 MPH. This is NOT a quick moving storm !

              We were blessed all summer with ample rain. Problem is no place for the extra water to go so even big trees are coming down. Some people will not get back power for weeks.

              There is nothing COMICAL about any of this.

              Liked by 1 person

      • smiley says:

        has not actually “landed” yet…center is just off-shore.


      • TheLastDemocrat says:

        At landfall, it was not a hurricane.
        I looked at the buoys around the landfall area. None with wind speeds at 74 MPH or higher, the definition for a hurricane. Note: definition is wind speed at 20 meters above ground, where aluminum siding flies around, not way high up at airplane level.
        Highest wind speed at Wrightsville buoy 41037, was 50.5 knots, which is 58mph. [you can find these by searching for “weather buoy.”]

        NOAA 2am update said “A Weatherflow station at Fort Macon, North Carolina recently reported a sustained wind of 71 mph (114 km/h) with a gust to 92 mph (148 km/h). A NOAA observing site at Cape Lookout, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 70 mph (113 km/h) with a gust to 85 mph (137 km/h).”

        3am said: A NOAA buoy off of Wilmington, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 57 mph (91 km/h) and a gust of 95 mph (153 km/h).

        4am said: A NOAA buoy off of Wilmington, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 55 mph (88 km/h) and a gust of 90 mph (145 km/h).

        5am said: A NOAA observing site at Cape Lookout, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 72 mph (116 km/h) and a gust of 90 mph (145 km/h).

        6am said: A NOAA observing site at Cape Lookout, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 59 mph (95 km/h) and a gust to 79 mph (127 km/h). A private weather station in Topsail Beach, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 60 mph (97 km/h) with a gust to 70 mph (131 km/h).

        So, no recording of a sustained wind at 74MPH or higher, at landfall. So, no “hurricane.”


        • TheLastDemocrat says:

          Official source for my “at the surface” detail:

          “National Weather Service Instruction 10-604. May 10, 2018. Operations and Services, Tropical Cyclone Weather Services Program, NWSPD 10-6: Tropical Cyclone Names and Definitions.”

          “Hurricane. A tropical cyclone in which the maximum 1-minute sustained surface wind is 64 knots (74 mph) or greater.”



  3. prenanny says:

    Be on lookout for aluminum siding theft, tell any repair man that removal is not needed just have them place in a pile. Scammers will haul it away and never comeback for the actual repairs.
    Can either take it to recycle place yourself for cash or donate it to local volunteer FD.

    Liked by 4 people

    • Deplorable_Infidel says:

      “aluminum siding ”

      I suppose those that are savvy enough to have their aluminum siding [illegally] electrically charged to repel burglars and home invaders know enough to have the juice turned off for something like this.


  4. Roger Duroid says:

    At 6:50, john berman on cnn standing in pouring rain making his report. Hair drenched and breathless. They really don’t know to come in out of the rain.

    Liked by 4 people

  5. smiley says:

    serious and desperate situation for some who’ve been riding this out, so far..

    devastation as if a Cat 3 re water.

    Liked by 3 people

  6. smiley says:

    as of 6 am…about an hour and a half ago…the center was about 10 miles from land…moving at a forward speed of 6 mph…

    max sustained : 90

    so…its landed…or landing…or about to.


    Liked by 1 person

  7. Guyski says:

    Probably to early for this; but for those with flood insurance, when the claims adjuster arrives, be nice. It helps. After Sandy, the adjuster that did my claim had some stories to tell.

    Liked by 3 people

    • prenanny says:

      Be nice and be prepared for them they are booked solid from dawn til dusk, no time to dawdle. Have a few estimates at the ready when they arrive. I had roof damage from Sandy all the way here in Southcentral PA as did 6 neighbors. The deductible was waived and honestly they paid me much more than I thought was needed to repair the damage, but he said they have tables they use so take the money. I split the difference with the repair guy, he was happy and did a great job.

      Liked by 1 person

  8. carole says:

    Welcome words from our Durham, NC weather guy this morning, “if you’re in Oxford (which I am), you’ll see minimal impact from this storm.” Minimal = 3-5 inches of rain and winds 15-20 mph with gusts up to 29 mph. Right now (8 a.m.) the tall trees are swaying but the lower trees are hardly moving. It is supposed to get more fierce about noon. Two groups of power outages reported in our County (Granville) and crews are already assigned to restore those. Praying for all the other areas where Florence is ‘visiting today!

    Liked by 3 people

  9. Trent Telenko says:

    Channel 8 in WILMINGTON, N.C. just went off the air.


  10. Jim Cantore is standing in knee deep water, wearing a batting helmet, while telling people how important it is to stay safe 🙄

    Maybe if he had been wearing that helmet 25 years ago he would now have enough sense to come in out of the rain….


    • Q&A says:

      Aww, don’t beat up Jim Cantore too much. He’s one of the weather good guys and was with the Weather Channel since the time it was Real Weather all the time. My now gone Mom used to watch the Weather Channel with her young grandsons on her lap and Jim’s (and Mom’s) enthusiasm was contagious. Two of those grandsons are environmentalists today.


      • betseyross says:

        My grandson was a Jim Cantore fan for ages. His dream was to become a hurricane hunter. Right now he is up in Alaska with the AF wishing he were back home tracking hurricanes. I have no doubt that dream will be fulfilled eventually.


      • Not beating him up at all, he is one of the few I like to watch. Always try to figure where he is going to be in a weather situation, because that will be ground zero….he is the one you never want to see in your own town


    • smiley says:

      how else is he sposed to report on this ??

      I give him credit for risking his own life to keep people…like you & me…and others informed.

      if you’ve evacuated from something like this, you need and want to know what’s happening there.


      • Somewhere in Dixie says:

        He is getting paid good money to show you powder snow, rain, wind and water like if you didn’t see it before. They have become a soap opera.


        • smiley says:

          you totally miss the point.

          and as for it being a “soap opera”…really ?

          tell that to all the people who are suffering in this real-time life-threatening drama unfolding.


  11. Alligator Gar says:

    Heartfelt prayers for all going through this storm. I wish I could so something to help you all, but all I can do is pray. And I am praying and have been praying. Stay strong.

    Liked by 3 people

  12. Coast says:

    I prayed that this storm will be much less than a Cat-4 and prayers were answered!

    Liked by 6 people

  13. I’m 100MI S of Wilmington on the ocean. As of 10:00AM we have no rain (we have had some) and my rooftop weather station records top wind gusts of 25MPH but sustained 11MPH winds. It’s 80 degrees and cloudy (ya think??)

    The South side of a hurricane is the “best” place to be if you are in it. The tide is on the way in (high tide @ 12:11) and only 3.77 feet now. No storm surge (yet)

    I’m working on my 1120s forms this AM. The fun never ends.

    Liked by 2 people

  14. Our President is truly awesome. He got up a few days ago and said, I order the climate to create a massive hurricane . And, the climate responded. Then, he woke up yesterday and spread his hands, and said to the climate: Climate, peace be calm….and the hurricane winds decreased. Talk about powerful!!! (this is sarc/lol…just in case someone takes me seriously).

    Liked by 5 people

  15. wheatietoo says:

    The Cajun Navy has been busy!


  16. Rick554 says:

    My Son is at Ft Bragg……GOD , please watch over our TROOPS and keep them Safe. And of course, all those in the path of this Storm!

    Liked by 2 people

  17. boogywstew says:

    I lived in Florida for 12 years and I grew up on Long Island. Long Island gets hit by a hurricane at least once a decade and is affected by near misses and remnants of hurricanes more often than that. I would always figure out a way to drive the 15 miles across the island to the 50 mile long barrier island, Fire Island, which has a state park on it’s western end. I’d always bring a nice bottle of wine and sit on the beach and enjoy the show. There is a beautiful side to a hurricane … the clouds, lightning, raging surf and the accompanying sounds. I guess I was a storm chaser before there was that label. I live nearby Lake Erie and I still miss the ocean. If I had the chance, I’d have been in Wilmington for this event.

    Liked by 1 person

  18. andyocoregon says:

    Has anyone seen any posts from “MsB”? She said she and her husband intended to ride out the storm in their park model between two rivers not far from the coast.
    Hope they’re high and dry and doing well.

    Liked by 1 person

  19. wheatietoo says:

    We’re probably going to hear a lot about the town of New Bern for awhile.

    The Dem-Enemedia is drooling at the prospect of being able to blame it on Pres Trump.

    What piqued their interest…was the reports of “floating bodies” and “people stranded on rooftops”.

    The reports of ‘bodies’ have not been confirmed.
    But there have been rescues going on…although I haven’t seen any footage of ‘people on rooves’.

    New Bern was under a Mandatory Evacuation order, since Tuesday.
    But some people stayed.

    Since the scum-sucking enemedia doesn’t let facts get in their way, when they are inventing something to blame on our President…I am bracing myself for what they will do with this story.


  20. Deb says:

    Dear Lord, protect those impacted by this storm. Guide and protect the rescue workers, utility workers, volunteers, and all the elected officials as they assist those in need. Bless all the wonderful Americans coming to the aid of their neighbors, and allow this natural disaster to be a reminder of Your love and care for us in times of need. In Jesus’ name Amen.

    Liked by 3 people

  21. Was New Bern under mandatory evacuation? Does anyone know?


  22. wheatietoo says:

    Liked by 1 person

  23. I wonder if the flag survived out on Flying Pan? The camera is down……

    Liked by 2 people

  24. wheatietoo says:

    Liked by 1 person

  25. Summer says:

    Reporting from Charleston, S.C.
    After our Governor’s extra-alarmist proclamations all stores closed on Wednesday and some even on Tuesday. Seriously. Can’t even buy a piece of bread because our local grocery stores are closed.

    Meanwhile, our weather is still okay. Becoming a little breezy, though. Forecast: we will get max wind 40 mph and some heavy rain tonight and tomorrow. Downtown will be flooded for sure because it is always flooded after heavy rain so that’s not even newsworthy.


    • It’s better to be safe than sorry right? Lots of areas got hit really hard and it isnt over yet…..I don’t think he over reacted. If he didn’t put the evacuations up and lots of people died, they would be screaming for his head.

      Liked by 1 person

      • Molly Pitcher says:

        Definitely better safe than sorry and in this era where people have been ‘taught’ that any disaster/aftermath is totally up to the govt to fix, well they’re trying to protect themselves and the populace. It’s a tightrope walk. Do too little and they’re condemned.

        Thinking is really becoming a lost art it seems. This storm has been tracked for a long time and the possible catastrophe explained so why didn’t this person who is complaining do some mental calculation and prepare for a possible lengthy disruption of services? I want bread and I want it now!

        Liked by 2 people

    • Bon Bon says:

      I live in Charleston, SC. Publix has been open the whole time and their stores will be open until 5pm today. Also several BiLo stores are open today too. Make a few phone calls. I was shopping yesterday at Publix and they had all the staples you would need stocked. Hope this helps you.

      Liked by 1 person

      • Did you get some bread Bon Bon?🤪


        • Bon Bon says:

          I was born and raised in South Florida so I was prepared days ago. My in-laws decided to stay since we were staying and we live in an adjacent neighborhood. I decided to cook them some spaghetti. Lol Summer should have done the same. Almost all the stores have been open. As a matter of fact I just went to the gas station for some “hurricane water” aka Beer. 😜😜

          Liked by 2 people

          • Hahaha spaghetti and beer! Does it get any better than that? Are you getting any rain or wind yet?


            • Bon Bon says:

              Just some wind. Rain moving in later. The in-laws love my spaghetti. Lots of leftovers too! We aren’t going to get too much here unless you live on the peninsula. They flood with heavy rain and high tide a lot. Luckily we don’t live downtown. This hurricane has been a breeze so far except the 4 year old has been out of school since Monday and I already stored all his outside play equipment in the garage. Lol That’s why we needed hurricane water. 😉😉😉

              Liked by 1 person

  26. wheatietoo says:

    It was just announced that Florence is turning West…heading inland.

    It’s been grinding along the coastline all morning, continuing to draw moisture and maintaining its strength.
    So this is good.

    It will weaken once it gets over land.

    Liked by 1 person

  27. Moe Grimm says:

    Save for Carlson, Hannity, Dobby at Busniess, the declining Fox cable’s Lillian Vittert seems to have survived his last night’s Max drama report while hugging a lamp post. Not to be outdone, Fox has rolled out their afternoon dispensation to cultural marxism the gay Shephard “you’re going to die” Smith (https://www.dailywire.com/news/9784/watch-shep-smith-loses-his-mind-over-hurricane-amanda-prestigiacomo). To heighten the angst, Mild Bill Hemmer has been assigned remote duty with background footage to add play by play gloom and doom depicts ancillary quickly dispatched Fox reporters shown “struggling” to face down walk into deadly (38) mph winds though the kinetics of course resemble 80 mph. One stopped, stood erect, and prematurely turned to his left probably thinking the camera/video had stopped. Surely reports of “at least X=# dead” are impending. Video of central and western Wilmington seem barely touched save for randon tree branches scattered about. Those of you who think this is an attempt to minimize the impact of this storm have summarily missed the point…. though it is a fleeting opportunity to disappear some fave cultural marxists such as sen. Richard Burr (-dashing R, N.C.) he’s likely “riding it out” up in Mordor with his dominatrix Mark Warner as the Kavanaugh drama must be of at least proximal concern.

    Meanwhile over at Cultmarx Newz Netwirk and MSLSD they’re busy working the “drumpf” angle, causative effect ‘n such, based upon withdrawal from Paris Clymit “accord”, P/Rico affect, and of course – Rayciss™. Next up cult marx menstruation du jour will be that “Manafort has flipped” unless Knotzeez are spotted as dispatched by “drumpf” at 28K ft. collectively blowing this now near tropical grade storm southeast to P.R. so his Deplorables can finish ’em off having only managed to “kill some 3,000′ during the first run.


  28. smiley says:

    flooding in Wilmington LIVE, around 9:45 this am…


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