5:00am Irma Remains a Weak Hurricane – North of Tampa…

We are on the road headed back in to coastal SWFL now.  We have immediate wellness checks and assessments to conduct.  I will touch base later.

At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 82.6 West. Irma is moving toward the north-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the
center of Irma will move near the northwestern coast of the Florida Peninsula this morning, cross the eastern Florida Panhandle into southern Georgia this afternoon, and move through southwestern Georgia and eastern Alabama tonight and Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Irma is expected to weaken to a tropical storm this morning and to a tropical depression by Tuesday afternoon.

Irma has a very large wind field. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) mainly to the west of the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km). The Mayport Naval Station near Jacksonville, Florida, recently reported sustained winds of 68 mph (109 km/h) and a wind gust of 87 mph (141 km/h). (more)

TAMPA, Florida (AP) — A massive but weakened Hurricane Irma zeroed in on the Tampa Bay region early Monday after hammering much of Florida with roof-ripping winds, gushing floodwaters and widespread power outages.

Irma continued its slog north along Florida’s western coast having blazed a path of unknown destruction. With communication cut to some of the Florida Keys, where Irma made landfall Sunday, and rough conditions persisting across the peninsula, many held their breath for what daylight might reveal.  (read more)

 

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392 Responses to 5:00am Irma Remains a Weak Hurricane – North of Tampa…

  1. G. Combs says:

    Tony Heller @ RealClimateScience had some interesting commentary on this storm as does his commenters especially Psalmon and Andy DC and Rud Istvan

    It will be interesting to see what Sundance reports.

    Liked by 1 person

    • Beverly says:

      A caller to the Rush Limbaugh show today said the same thing: he was watching the ACTUAL readings of the NOAA weather buoys at sea, and the Florida Keys’ wind readings there were far below the breathless “reporting” on the TV “news.” Cat 2, not Cat 4! and that was at the KEYS.

      I grew up in hurricane country: the Carolina Low Country. The damage I’m seeing so far looks like Category 1-2 stuff: a big ole hairy fat mess, but you can clean it up surprisingly quickly. Next summer there won’t be much of a trace.

      This website gives the Expected Damage Levels from each hurricane Category. Fascinating stuff, and you can read this and make your own estimate. https://weather.thefuntimesguide.com/hurricane_categories/

      Also remember that hurricanes and tropical storms spawn waterspouts and land tornadoes, which can create great damage “visuals” for the TV reporters.

      Liked by 2 people

  2. Oldschool says:

    Anyone see any posts from Sedanka?

    Liked by 3 people

    • georgiafl says:

      Not yet.

      Liked by 2 people

    • Grandma Covfefe says:

      Still waiting and praying….
      Does anyone know what area Sedanka lives? Someone thought Key West…is that true?
      What about Smiley and Just Facts Plz? Latest on them?.

      Liked by 1 person

      • Oldschool says:

        Don’t know grandma. Hoping and praying that power is their issue, nothing more and the treepers will all be back on their branches soon.

        Liked by 2 people

        • beachgrammie says:

          I know that my condo building on the beach in Fort Lauderdale still has no power … and fpl since yesterday has just posted that they are “investigating”. Can’t walk up 30 floors to get to my condo even were I willing to sit in the hot dark, so nothing to do but wait.

          My office which is near Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport is also closed at least through tommorrow as a tree fell down in the parking lot area onto a power line.

          I flew to Viriginia earlier in the week, on a price-gouging one-way ticket that Jet Blue has since kindly mostly refunded, but most flights until the weekend are sold out, and given no power at my condo, looks like I’ll stay an evacuee with loving family most of this week.

          Love and blessings on all who are actually IN the aftermath, as well as those of us less in need of nurture but who still want to find our way home.

          Liked by 1 person

  3. wheatietoo says:

    Liked by 2 people

  4. janc1955 says:

    Sister, BIL, niece, + cats in St. Pete/Snell Island hunkered down with a friend last nite who has an “all concrete triplex condo downtown (not in a flood zone)” according to sis. Condo friend had prepared a “Harry Potter bunker” (again, according to sis) under the stairs for sleeping for sis & BIL, as well as a “wicked-soft bed in the tub” for my niece. St. Pete didn’t take a direct hit, but I don’t know and haven’t heard or been able to find any info on Snell Island, so have no idea yet on the condition of their home.

    Hoping to see a check-in from Sedanka, Howie, and Sundance ~ praying for Jacksonville and wherever this bwitch of a storm is headed next.

    Liked by 7 people

  5. deqwik2 says:

    Jellyfish exposed as water is pulled back from Dauphin Island, Ala

    Liked by 2 people

  6. cyn3wulf says:

    I live in Pasco County (just North of Tampa). A ton of leaf litter and a fair amount of wood fencing down (didn’t see any vinyl fencing down). Cars and houses appear to have fared well. Power out throughout most of the county. Ours was out for 15 hours before coming back on. Quite a few people are still without power. Parts of the county with newer infrastructure fared better with power either not going out or coming back on line quickly. Trump is right to want to improve our infrastructure. GOP needs to get on board.

    Liked by 8 people

  7. Sylvia Avery says:

    Praise God. This could have been so much worse. I believe to the depth of my soul that our prayers were heard.

    I don’t minimize the damage and the trauma that many experienced, and I keep checking back here anxiously to see if everyone is okay. Every one of you that reports in I say a prayer of thanksgiving.

    Liked by 8 people

  8. dogsmaw says:

    ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 51A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
    800 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

    …IRMA WEAKENING BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
    UNITED STATES…

    SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
    ———————————————-
    LOCATION…31.9N 84.4W
    ABOUT 55 MI…85 KM SE OF COLUMBUS GEORGIA
    ABOUT 120 MI…195 KM S OF ATLANTA GEORGIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…986 MB…29.12 INCHES

    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    ——————–
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from north of
    Clearwater Beach to the Aucilla River.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
    * North of Fernandina Beach to the South Santee River

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
    * North of Altamaha Sound to the South Santee River

    A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
    inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
    in this case during the next 12 hours, in the indicated locations.
    For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
    Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
    located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
    protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
    other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
    instructions from local officials.

    Interests elsewhere in the southeastern United States should monitor
    the progress of Irma.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.

    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ——————————
    At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Irma was
    located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 84.4 West. Irma is
    moving toward the north-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a turn
    toward the northwest is expected by Tuesday morning. On the
    forecast track, the center of Irma will continue to move over
    southwestern Georgia tonight and move into Alabama on Tuesday.

    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
    with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Irma is
    likely to become a tropical depression on Tuesday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations
    is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ———————-
    STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
    tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
    rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
    expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak
    surge occurs at the time of high tide…

    Bonita Beach to Ochlockonee River, including Tampa Bay…1 to 3 ft

    South Santee River to North of Fernandina Beach…2 to 4 ft
    Fernandina Beach to Flagler/Volusia County line, including the St.
    Johns River…1 to 3 ft

    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
    onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
    destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
    timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
    short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
    products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
    office.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the
    warning area into tonight.

    Rainfall: Irma is expected to produce the following rain
    accumulations through Wednesday:

    South Carolina and north-central Georgia and Alabama into the
    southern Appalachians…3 to 6 inches with isolated 10 inches.
    Northern Mississippi and southern portions of Tennessee and North
    Carolina…2 to 4 inches.

    TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight along the South
    Carolina coast.

    SURF: Swells generated by Irma are affecting the southeast coast of
    the United States. These swells are likely to cause life-
    threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.

    NEXT ADVISORY
    ————-
    Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

    NNNN

    Liked by 2 people

  9. dogsmaw says:

    Sometimes after the storm, people tend to catch a “nap” due to the high anxiety they’ve been through during the storm and it might even extend into long hours cause of being knocked outta their routine. So do be patient and also factor in that maybe communications have been knocked out and responders will have to get to them first. I know during Harvey my family in Aransas Pass was completely w/o cell tower and internet and I was on edge the whole time.

    Liked by 11 people

  10. fleporeblog says:

    I apologize for not posting earlier because I wasn’t able to speak with my wife until an hour ago. Thankfully everyone is doing well! My wife, daughter, dog and pig went to my sister-in-law’s house because they have a generator. They have been there since Saturday night. My wife drove by our house and everything looks fine on the outside. She plans on going in the home tomorrow. Electricity is down everywhere. No gas at any of the stations. My brother-in-law siphoned some gas from a neighbor who had both trucks full. Otherwise they wouldn’t have full for the generator. Lots of down trees and power lines. School is closed again tomorrow. They are not sure what the status is for the rest of the week.

    From the bottom of my heart ❤️, I want to thank each and every Treeper that has been praying for my family. Words can’t describe what that means to me!

    Liked by 10 people

  11. Minnie says:

    Prayers of thanksgiving to God our Father for the safe deliverance of all Floridians in Irma’s path.

    Prayers to God our Father for safety, strength and courage for all in her continued path toward NC, GA, TN, AL, MS, and wherever else she blows.

    My family in FL (Hillsboro County, outside of Tampa) are safe and sound. High winds and buckets of rain but no damage to sister and BIL’s home, nor to mom’s senior community home.

    Even sis and BIL’s avocado and plantain trees came through safely.

    Praise be to God 🙏

    Treepers and their families remain in my prayers ❤️

    Liked by 6 people

  12. jmgreenwell says:

    Yes, we need to continue to pray for the poor folks in the Caribbean islands who are devastated and quickly running out of food and water. Some relief is beginning to reach them but they need help.

    Liked by 4 people

  13. dogsmaw says:

    Well of all the twitters I posted, I think this one really deserves an encore

    Liked by 1 person

  14. BeePee says:

    Folks in Florida, hang in there til next Monday after weekend clean up and you are 80% there.

    Like

  15. mw says:

    Well, Irma is sure feeling like a category 1 in SC, despite being called a tropical storm. Some places are seeing more flooding and damage than from Hurricane Matthew. I’m two zones away from the beach so I’m safe. But worst is expected between now and 2am. Tornado warning now, till 10:45. Please pray!

    Liked by 4 people

  16. NoOneButTrump says:

    Go read Sundance’s newest post. Sad and scary stuff. Those who think, by watching the fake news, that you know what’s going on down there need to realize the news is skipping the more serious damage in the interior.

    Liked by 2 people

  17. NoOneButTrump says:

    I confess I’m more than frustrated by some who want to spin conspiracy theories about the government over-hyping the storm. Please stop. There are real people down there who don’t give a $&@&$&@ about category or wind speed or central pressure or whatever statistic you want to argue over. They are dealing with a tragedy and you are sitting comfortably in a lit temperature-controlled room. Get down there and get your hands dirty or get on your knees and pray or send some $ to Samaritan’s Purse. Try telling the people who’ve lost everything the storm wasn’t nearly as bad as it was predicted to be. I just bet that will help. SMH

    Liked by 1 person

  18. Sylvia Avery says:

    Anyone hear from MM yet???

    Like

  19. Realist says:

    America’ world laughing stock FAKE NEWS MEDIA completely over HYPED the severity of this storm just like they do with Climate change , a NATURAL PHENOMENON over which PUNY MAN has no control whatsoever.

    Like

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