Donald Trump’s Amazingly Incredible YUGE Day In Overwhelming Statistics…

Pundits call this the “Big Mo“, meaning Big Momentum… unless, of course, they are describing it in relationship to Donald Trump.  With anti-Trump media, momentum becomes an inconvenient reality to be ignored; because in the 2016 presidential election cycle MSM define winning as who comes next closest to third place…. or something.

Rasmussen Polling and Tracking shows Donald Trump taking a much larger lead than the media are willing to discuss.   Trump has picked up another five points since South Carolina:

rasmussen poll

[…]  The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Voters finds Trump with 36% support, giving him a 15-point lead over Senator Marco Rubio who earns 21% of the vote. Senator Ted Cruz is in third place with 17%.  (Link)

In addition Reuters polling averages completely validate what we previously predicted over a year ago.  In a three way race between Trump, Rubio and Cruz, candidate Donald Trump locks up 46%, Ted Cruz 25% and Marco Rubio 24%.  (link)

If either Cruz or Rubio drop out, Trump will jump over 60% gaining roughly a third to a half (or more) of the eliminated opponent.   So much for the “ceilings” the pundits are so happy to discuss.

This statistical reality is also supported by the Washington Post who outline the change in overall support for Donald Trump if he continues winning, and becomes the nominee.

supporting trump


Combine all of this data and what you find is in a two person race Donald Trump will command approximately 65% of the vote and the non-Trump (Cruz or Rubio) can only pull themselves to approximately 35%.

In order to shrink the field the state-by-state races are where the battle takes shape.  And when you look at the state-by-state current positioning Donald Trump continues to lead in each of the contests:

Georgia Polling Released Today:

Trump 34%
Rubio 22%
Cruz 20%
Kasich 9%
Carson 8%
Undecided 7%

West Virginia Polling Released Today:

Trump 40%
Cruz 20%
Rubio 15%
Carson 10%
Kasich 6%

Arizona Polling:

Trump 34.8%
Rubio 22.7%
Cruz 14.1%
Kasich 7.1%
Undecided 21.3%
No data for Carson

Ohio Polling:

Trump 31%
Kasich 26%
Cruz 21%
Rubio 13%
Carson 5%

trump vegas

Tonight we begin in Nevada.  The Nevada Caucuses begin at 5:00pm PST until 8:00pm PST.   With the caucus results most likely coming out until after 11:00pm Eastern it will be a long night of checking the results.

Additionally, it appears the Republican Party of Nevada is anticipating a much larger turnout than previous caucus events.

Shenanigans ? 

As will all “caucus elections”, let us hope for the best, but always be prepared for the worst….

trump lion


This entry was posted in Donald Trump, Election 2016, Kasich / NDfA GOPe War, Marco Rubio, media bias, Ted Cruz, Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

375 Responses to Donald Trump’s Amazingly Incredible YUGE Day In Overwhelming Statistics…

  1. sam says:

    Did you guys see Cruz now saying to deport 12 million illegal immigrant on OReilly? Too late, someone name Trump already took that spot long ago. Listening to pollster before coming out with a statement is not fast enough, “slow and steady will not win the race”

    Liked by 11 people

  2. NCPatrick says:

    I have made up my mind that I will not cast a vote for a single incumbent candidate. For far too long these fools have been elected over and over again, tho we rarely see them in the state and never hear their names unless they are up for re-election. So when I look over the sample ballot, if the candidate has been in office for 20 years or more, they will not get my vote.

    The new ones won’t be perfect as nobody is, but I’d rather start out with some fresh blood and kick to the curb the party faithful. I voted straight R ticket for almost all my life, but those days are over! I have two special non-favorites at the moment and they are both running print and TV ads like there is no tomorrow. One has a research company which has called me 3 times! Ugh and yuck.

    Liked by 10 people

  3. Shamus says:

    YUGE line for my nv caucus, GO TRUMP

    Liked by 15 people

  4. sundance says:

    Liked by 11 people

  5. Dora says:

    Liked by 14 people

  6. Venus says:

    Nope. Jindal came in as governor with a $400 million surplus and left with a $1.8 billion deficit. Turns out his people were playing a financial con game to make the #s look good so he could run on the “Louisisna Miracle” theme. Allegedly, auditors are investigating for criminal fraud too.
    The Louisisna Legislature is starting an emergency session in a few weeks to try to get a handle on things (what to cut, etc) and the newly elected governor (Democrat — elected largely because of how much Jindal was hated) is talking about not even trying to run for re-election because he knows he will get blamed for how much the next 4 years are going to blow.

    Liked by 10 people

    • Venus says:

      Sorry that was supposed to post up thread re: Jindal discussion.


    • Benson II says:

      The Dem wants to raise taxes to help with the debt. It never occurs to Dems to cut government spending. He’s threatened to not fund their sports team if the debt can’t be handled, in other words cough up people or no sports. Voters fall for this crap every time. This is why we need Trump people are so stupid if there isn’t someone to explain it to them they don’t get that they could vote the idiots out. Okay, I know, you have to have someone to vote FOR if you want it fixed.

      Liked by 2 people

  7. NHVoter says:

    I’m so nervous!

    Help America get back on track Nevada! Go Trump!

    Liked by 12 people

  8. BobbiD says:

    Go to: did not fire Rick Tyler…Cruz lied again

    Liked by 2 people

  9. KBR says:

    Off topic, but important! Major and very large storm system with tornados in the South. Now in Louisianna, and other gulf states, but moving rapidly Northeast.
    I am in NC and the weather report calls for this to be moving with “tor-con 6.0” into western NC by morning, central NC by noonish, and coastal NC by later in the afternoon/evening.
    It is very large the weather map showing a huge red area across several states right now where tornados are likely!
    God bless!

    Liked by 7 people

  10. Brian L says:

    Friend of mine in Texas said That Cruz told his supporters to video tape the caucuses tonight.

    Liked by 1 person

  11. Dora says:

    Liked by 7 people

    • Raffaella says:

      I suspect as Sanders loses a few states to Hillary and his supporters get really mad, they will switch to Trump.

      Liked by 7 people

      • I suspect that the 18-29 year old group will soon realize that if they want a job, they’ll vote for Trump.

        Liked by 3 people

        • jello333 says:

          Most Sanders supporters I know have Trump as their second choice. Some of them were like “Ewww!” at first, but the more they’ve gotten to know about him (as a person) the more they’ve opened up.

          Liked by 2 people

          • MfM says:

            That was my feeling about some Bernie supporters, others are just old hippies like him and will hold their noses and vote Hillary or stay home. It’s the ones who have fallen for the hype that will switch to Trump because he’s saying a lot of the same things… but his solutions are different.

            Liked by 1 person

          • Doug says:

            It seems like that wouldnt make any sense but when you dig deeper its clear to understand why these two candidates would appeal to these kids. BTW arent we so glad the Republican Primary isnt setup like the Democrats ? Im sure the RNC is so mad they didnt follow the DNC. That said I hope Trump puts in someone really close in the RNC role to help clean that up too.


          • Janie M. says:

            jello, he made a point of saying during his Hannity townhall that college kids are graduating with a huge school loan debt and no jobs. That the issue of the financial goldmine relating to school loans was going to have to be remedied.


  12. Raffaella says:

    I am so nervous. I need entrance polls to know what is going on. Waiting on Twitter to give us something.

    Liked by 2 people

  13. Steele81 says:

    this is the week to sign up to be a delagate for Mr. Trump in Arkansas. Two of my sons will try to be delegates to cast their vote for Donald J Trump for President of the United States of America!

    Liked by 14 people

  14. jello333 says:

    “In a three way race between Trump, Rubio and Cruz, candidate Donald Trump locks up 46%, Ted Cruz 25% and Marco Rubio 24%.”

    Can’t you add, Sundance? Look at Cruz and Rubio… 25 + 24 = 49. That beats Trump’s 46 any day of the week! As soon as Marco Cruz 2.0 hits the store shelves, Donald is toast!


    Liked by 6 people

  15. Backspin says:

    ” Oh please …. just leave me alone with my T.V. dinner and my steel belted radials , and I won’t say anything ……….. WELL I’m NOT Going to leave you alone ….. I Want YOU TO GET MAD ..!! ”
    Howard Beale – The Other Fight Song !

    Liked by 2 people

  16. WeThePeople2016 says:

    I have faith that after Iowa, Trump has made sure that the cheating, stealing, running out of ballots, etc. will not happen from here on out in a caucus. I am glad that he is telling the audience at his rallies to watch out for any fraud. It is the old saying, Fool me once …

    Liked by 8 people

  17. Dora says:

    Liked by 9 people

  18. kinthenorthwest says:

    See if this works
    The line at Cimarron to Caucus is wrapping through the quad and around the outside of the school

    Liked by 13 people

    • It wouldvee been great to have everyone wear RED (or another chosen color), then we could’ve known who is for Trump at a glance and would even help cut down on cheating. Those who prefer to remain anonymous could.

      Liked by 5 people

      • kinthenorthwest says:

        Hey what a great idea for future election days…

        Liked by 3 people

        • The center right anti-migration party in North Italy they wear green. The color of the alpine sun on their flags. Green ties, green hats, green shirts, green scarves, green armbands, wrist bands, green handkerchief. Can’t miss ’em at rallies or anywhere. Been doing that for over a decade. It’s so distinctly Legal Nord (Northern League) that if you’re not from Northern League you don’t wear green…EVER! It’s gotten to the point where liberals won’t even wear green so they won’t be mistaken for Northern League!

          Maybe for Tumpsters we can wear GOLD!! LOL!

          Liked by 3 people

  19. Dora says:

    Liked by 13 people

  20. WeeWeed says:

    So…..(Trump Voice) Bar! Beer! We await the decision of the people of the great state of Nevada!!

     photo 8cdd3d61-a434-42c6-afa7-65b8b8eedc09.jpg

    Liked by 6 people

  21. Martin says:

    Liked by 8 people

  22. ctdar says:

    with all this amazing technology being used this election season to tabulate votes i guess there is no way anything will happen to our Troops overseas ballots eh?? /s

    Liked by 3 people

  23. kinthenorthwest says:

    My wife Melania will be on @Morning_Joe tomorrow morning at 8:00. Interviewed by @morningmika – Enjoy!

    Liked by 2 people

  24. kinthenorthwest says:

    Donald Jr.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Don Jr is going to be the president after his dad? MAYBE! He’s a great surrogate for his dad. I sent to him a link to CTH with a note to read our comments about him after his rally in Nevada. There were about 165 comments on that post and all were very complimentary. Thought he’d like to know what CONSERVATIVE TREEHOUSE thought about his performance at the rally. I am sure he read them too!

      Liked by 4 people

    • Prothonotary Warbler says:

      There’s not a gay in me, but I have to admit that that Don Jr. is one ridiculously handsome dude.

      Liked by 2 people

  25. Prothonotary Warbler says:

    Ask not for whom The Donald Trumps; he Trumps for thee.

    Liked by 8 people

  26. sundance says:

    Liked by 6 people

  27. Janie M. says:

    The following excerpts from a song by the O’Jays (loved these guys back in the day) – I’d say it’s applicable to Crudz:

    “Back Stabbers”

    (What they do)
    (They smile in your face)
    All the time they want to take your place
    The back stabbers (back stabbers)
    (They smile in your face)
    All the time they want to take your place
    The back stabbers (back stabbers)

    (What they do)
    (They smile in your face)
    All the time they want to take your place
    The back stabbers
    (Back stabbers)
    Low down, dirty

    (What they do)
    (They smile in your face)
    Smiling faces
    Smiling faces sometimes tell lies (back stabbers)
    (They smile in your face)
    I don’t need low down
    Dirty bastards (back stabbers)

    Liked by 2 people

  28. kinthenorthwest says:

    Fun to watch

    Liked by 4 people

  29. N E V A D A – W H A T ‘ S G O I N G O N ?!!! Anticipation!!!


  30. NJF says:

    Omg trump just walked into a caucus location & I think they said beck was there? It’s on MSNBC

    Liked by 5 people

  31. mike tramel says:

    Trump just walked into a Nevada caucus while Glen Beck was giving a speech,and the crowd swarmed Rrump priceless.Trump speaking now on msnbc

    Liked by 5 people

  32. NJF says:

    Oh is he supposed to bash lying Ted @ a caucus sites??


  33. Dora says:

    Liked by 4 people

  34. milo minderbinder says:

    I can’t wait for my chance to vote for Trump in Georgia. I don’t vote early because I don’t want the mofos to know how many votes they have to fraudulently create.

    Liked by 6 people

  35. Backspin says:

    Gonna be a long night , …
    No …. Sleep ……… ‘Till Brooklyn …!!

    Liked by 4 people

  36. DEH says:

    Trump is coming to Texas! Fort Worth Friday February 26th 12:00 pm!

    Liked by 1 person

  37. sudsy49 says:

    I just returned from my NV caucus site. At 5PM the lines stretched from the school doors all the way to the far edges of the parking lot, and it’s a big lot. It took an hour just to get inside. Everything was orderly and it was required to show an ID.
    NV is “vote & go” so we received paper ballots to mark, and the precinct worker wrote in our precinct number on the back and put them into an overstuffed manila envelope. The system requires a giant leap of faith in the honesty of our fellow man.

    Liked by 4 people

  38. MVW says:

    My absentee Florida ballet was mailed and then official record of its receipt shown on the internet site. Trump vote accomplished. Yay!

    Liked by 4 people

  39. Trumped says:

    Interesting beauty of a tweet by Cruz surrogate Carpenter:


  40. Joe Collins says:

    I must confess my enjoyment watching the liberal opposition – as well as the RINO establishment – engage in tantrums about Mr. Trump. After watching our elected officials promise us everything, and deliver us nothing, it is so rewarding to observe their discomfort! Go Trump Go!!!

    Liked by 2 people

  41. More details on the Trump-Beck “meet up” at the caucus. Didn’t see it on TV…


  42. USA Patriot says:

    Looks like a blowout for Trump according to entrance polling. Trump has made his rallies the new way to galvanize voters — that is if you are Pro-American or America First.


  43. USA Patriot says:

    Meant to add big money negative Ads is so yesterday.


  44. USA Patriot says:

    Fox entrance poll just said that 41 % of Hispanics voted for Donald, Megyn looked very sad. Oh the irony!


  45. redsequin4 says:

    Just posted on Drudge, Donald won Nevada!!!!!

    Donald Trump wins the Nevada Republican presidential caucuses


  46. Marlin says:

    Donald Trump is for the people he wants to put the power back in the people’s hands and take it away from special interest groups


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