New Jersey Poll – Donald Trump Dominates Field With 31% Support…

The latest polling from New Jersey (full pdf below) comes from Quinnipiac Group and shows Donald Trump with a commanding lead over the GOP field.   Home-state governor Chris Christie comes in fourth with 8% support.  Rubio has gained ground on Carson:

(Methodology) This RDD telephone survey was conducted from November 4 – 8, 2015 throughout the state of New Jersey.  Responses are reported for 1,456 self-identified registered voters with a margin of sampling error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. The survey includes 481 registered Republicans with a margin of sampling error of +/- 4.5 percentage points and 538 registered Democrats with a margin of sampling error of +/- 4.2 percentage points.

Trump rally illinois 4

~ Trump Rally 11/09/15 Springfield Illinois ~



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30 Responses to New Jersey Poll – Donald Trump Dominates Field With 31% Support…

  1. Brother X says:

    Lindsay is holding on strong.


  2. lumoc1 says:

    Is it my impression or every new poll of a new state being polled show Trump far ahead. As the pollsters get more “experience” in the state and “adjust” the results Trump’s lead diminishes and sometimes even disapears.
    Everything is obviously above bord. /S

    Liked by 1 person

  3. Concerned says:

    Trump supporters goal: keep Carson from fulfilling Rule 40(b) requirement.

    Each candidate for nomination for President of the United States and Vice President of the United States shall demonstrate the support of a majority of the delegates from each of eight (8) or more states

    I take it that’s simple majority.

    Does anyone think that Carson can win the majority of delegates from 8 states? Right now, I don’t.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Doug says:

      No I don’t think he can but also think his support will collapse by then anyways.

      Liked by 2 people

    • John Hall says:

      This is how Rule No. 40(b) read before the 2012 convention changes you cited:
      “Each candidate for nomination for President of the United States and Vice President of the United States shall demonstrate the support of a plurality of the delegates from each of five (5) or more states, severally, prior to the presentation of the name of that candidate for nomination.”

      So they can just change/amend it again once the convention starts.


      • Concerned says:

        I think the deadline for 2016 changes has passed.


        • John Hall says:

          No it hasn’t.
          From the RNC’s Rules of The Republican Party Preamble:
          BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED, That the following be and hereby are adopted as The Rules of the Republican Party, composed of the rules for the election and government of the Republican National Committee until the next national convention, the rules under which delegates and alternate delegates shall be allotted to the respective states in the next national convention, and the rules under which such delegates and alternate delegates shall be elected and under which contests shall be considered, and the rules of business of this national convention.

          The operative words being “until the next national convention.”


    • Concerned says:

      I just went through all three pages of Real Clear Politics Republican Primary averages and here’s what I found:

      South Carolina Trump +6
      New Jersey Trump + 15
      Iowa Trump +.5
      New HampshireTrump +12.6
      Florida Trump +11.7
      Georgia Trump +9.6
      Pennsylvania Trump +2.2
      Texas Trump +4.0
      Wisconsin Trump +1.0
      Massachusetts Trump +34
      Nevada Trump +14
      Connecticut Trump +20
      Virginia Trump +6
      California Trump +4
      Ohio Trump +5

      North Carolina Carson +2
      Oklahoma Carson + 6

      Of course this could all change, and the Iowa average can hardly be thought of as a Trump win, but this is certainly nice to see right now.


      • Concerned says:

        Just want to say that RCP does not include all polls, like the recent MN poll which has Trump 26 Carson 19. So add MN to the Trump collection. Ratio is now 16-2.

        Armstrong Williams, Carson’s business manager, warned Trump against attacking Carson in Tuesday night’s GOP debate in an interview with CNN’s Jake Tapper on “The Lead,” saying that doing so “would not be wise” and is “not a winning approach.” “He’s pretty desperate because he cannot even understand how Dr. Carson, or anybody, is leading him in the polls,” Williams said. […] “Mr. Trump should be nervous, and actually, desperate,” Williams said. “A month ago, he had a double-digit lead over Dr. Carson in South Carolina. Dr. Carson is now leading 28-27. He’s closing the gaps. Mr. Trump is fond of saying that when somebody, he attacks, the numbers go down. He has not figured out how to deal with Dr. Carson.”

        Looks like Trump is doing alright. Not sure why Williams’ panties are in such a twist.

        Liked by 1 person

        • phil fan says:

          His man Ben is being vetted, Donald is on to him and it hurts. Tough, welcome to US presidential politics. Ben is NOT a special snowflake. I call BS on Williams and his obvious agenda


  4. Dev says:

    There is a economist/ yougov poll which has Donald Trump at 32 and Ben Carson at 18 Rubio 13 Cruz.

    Liked by 1 person

  5. Devorah says:

    Economist/yougov poll Donald Trump 32, Carson 18, Rubio 13, Cruz 10

    Liked by 2 people

    • John Hall says:

      Total 32%, Female 32%, Male 32%. Interesting.


    • Concerned says:

      I can understand 23% of black Republicans preferring Carson (I don’t like it, but I understand it), but what I cannot understand is 27% of blacks preferring Rubio! Yikes. Only 10% of Hispanics prefer Rubio.


      • Concerned says:

        Also interesting, Rubio seems to attract the wealthier Republicans. Only 6% of the polled Republicans with family income under $50k prefer Rubio, but 24% with family income over $100k prefer him.

        Above you’ll see my comment with collected results from RCP averages. I don’t recall Rubio being the poll winner of any state. Just Trump and Carson, no other candidates. And yet 10% of the poll respondents think Rubio will be the Republican nominee, and a whopping 27% of respondents with family income over $100k think he’ll be the nominee. Are these people idiots? There is zero indication that Rubio will win the nomination. Zero. Are they just not paying attention?


  6. Mr. Haney says:

    Donald Trump is a political Spartacus. Tonight the other candidates will meet the gladiator.

    Liked by 2 people

  7. Raffaella says:

    Trump winning blue states big (cross over democrats voting for Trump) will backfire on GOPe strategy of giving blue states winner takes all in order to push Jeb toward the nomination. They came up with this strategy before Trump happened.

    Liked by 3 people

    • parteagirl says:

      Trump is right about Super PACs- they make good people make bad decisions.

      This time around, only a self-funding billionaire can rise above the suspicion that he’s not bought or owes any donors any favors. I’m thankful that Trump is in the position to blow up the GOPe Roadmap plans, but if the way campaigns are funded doesn’t change, we’ll be back in the same mess once Trump is out of office.


    • jim says:

      Winner take all in northeastern blue states was a collusion on behalf of America’s Mayor Giuliani. He invested in Florida, thinking he did not need to even try in the first three states. By the time Florida rolled around, his poor showing in the first three states had killed his support. Romney, who had worked hard to be the leader in the first two states, was undercut by Huckabee’s anti mormon stunt, failed to deliver Iowa, and couldn’t dominate. McCain, who at this time still had no support, surprised by doing better than nothing in those first three states. Being more liberal than conservative, he was able to take advantage of Giuliani’s rigging the Northeast, and won the nomination because the field was so fractured.

      The next time, Romney, who is also really liberal, worked hard to be the GOPer, avoided his 2008 embarrassment by having Iowa falsely called on his behalf, and had the media take out each of his competitors as the people tried to find anybody but Romney. Being a northeastern liberal, he availed himself of the still in place rigged system. And again won the nomination in a fractured field.

      I can see how the GOPers thought they could tweak this system to force Jeb upon us even though he was even less popular than Romney.

      I too am grateful that a Northeastern populist stood up and showed himself to be willing to do the things that the public wants but the liberals won’t allow. He won’t lose for lack of money, he has the organization needed to overcome the GOPer barriers, and he is closer to being conservative than the horde of lying, Reagan pretending, severely conservative, liberals we have seen these past few elections. And he dominates this field, which is even more fractured than that of the last two elections.

      Go Trump!

      Liked by 1 person

  8. El_Flaco says:

    Bush and Carson both had more support from women than men. Fiorina did too of course.


  9. hocuspocus13 says:

    I guess Trump got the needed signatures last night 👍

    Liked by 2 people

  10. Sentient says:

    Strong showing in NJ bodes well for Trump in NY on April 19. It’s a closed primary, though, so people need to register Republican. 95 winner-take-all delegates from NY.


  11. kallibella says:

    Wow! Great poll numbers. Trump is really making inroads in his communication style and I think that it is one of the reasons he is connecting.

    Liked by 1 person

  12. ctmom says:

    Trump needs to tell his supporters that they need to register Republican NOW if they want to vote for him in November 2016.

    Liked by 1 person

  13. liberty2828 says:

    Trump and Carson finally got Secret Service.

    Trump’s is Mogul.

    Carson is Eli. Really what a choice! Sound it out. Either he lie or spell lie.


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