A republican has not won Minnesota since 1972. However, if things stay as they are today, Trump wins the primary and would defeat Hillary Clinton in the general election:
(Via KTSP) Hillary Clinton appears to be the favorite to win the Democratic presidential nomination, but she has a lot of work to do if she’s going to carry Minnesota in the general election.
According to our exclusive KSTP/SurveyUSA poll, Clinton trails four of the six leading contenders for the Republican nomination.
If the election were held today, Clinton would trail Ben Carson 50-41 percent, Marco Rubio 47-41 percent, Carly Fiorina 45-41 percent and Donald Trump by a 45-42 percent margin. Clinton is in a virtual tie with Jeb Bush, with Bush leading 44-43 percent. She leads Ted Cruz 46-41 percent.
The poll of 516 registered voters statewide has a margin of error of +/-4.4 percent. It was conducted Oct. 29 to Nov. 2.
“It’s a long time from Election Day, but as a snapshot it’s bad news for Hillary Clinton,” Larry Jacobs, of the University of Minnesota Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs, said.
Jacobs says Clinton appears to be suffering from her association with President Barack Obama who has a 37 percent approval rating in the same poll.
Another potentially troubling sign for Clinton is that she does poorly among independent voters. She trails among those key voters in match-ups with five of the six GOP leading contenders included in our survey. (read more)