YouGov has published another national poll of 450 Republican Voters (full pdf below). One of the more interesting aspects to this specific poll is the inability of the Fiorina Campaign to capitalize on the beneficial media.
Thanks in part to Operation Hummingbird, Carly Fiorina was given 15% of total political airtime as measured by Newsbusters. However, it would appear the larger electorate is well aware of Fiorina’s deceptive intention to portray herself as an “outsider”.
The full 155 page poll pdf is below. However, we are also pulling out some of the key data pages so you can see the specifics of where this poll result is coming from.
Click any Graphic to Enlarge
76% of the 450 poll respondents self-identify as “conservative republicans”. This is statistically quite different from the September YouGov Poll (available here) which reflected a 68% same identification amid 429 people polled.
This October poll uses more total people, and “more conservative” respondents. In addition 40% of those questioned are from the South.
Carly Fiorina and Jeb Bush do best in the Northeast; to a lesser extent so too does Marco Rubio – All three are establishment GOPe candidates.
Fiorina, Bush and Rubio do their worst in the Midwest; which, not coincidentally, is the best region for Ben Carson.
Fiorina and Bush do absolutely terrible with minorities. Ben Carson and Marco Rubio poll much better with minorities but still far below Donald Trump.
Donald Trump has equal support across all regions and demographics and additionally finds his supportive wheelhouse in the center-right ideological voter. Oddly enough, this is exactly where the Reagan coalition was in 1979, “center-right”.
Ironically, this pitch: “the-moderates-are-the-most-important”, WAS the selling point used by the GOPe to proclaim Jeb Bush was the best candidate. But if you look at these poll results you see those people are supporting Donald Trump, not Jeb.
Certainly the media people will parse this poll for their ideological narratives. However, if you are Team Trump, there’s a whole lot of good news in this poll.
In summary: Operation Hummingbird has successfully gained Marco and Carly entry into the venue, but they are impacting like ping-pong balls thrown in a parking garage. Marco/Carly having made it to level ONE, and now bouncing off the ceiling, which is the solid floor under Donald Trump several levels above them.