Everyone following the political dynamics of this administration knows their ‘poker tell’, it’s brutally obvious.
This administration shows their fear with the sheer rabidity of what they proclaim not to be doing.
Today the White House, and every single senior official, is publically shouting about President Obama NOT going to watch the Benjamin Netanyahu speech to congress. A brutally transparent falsehood identified easily by the scope of the public protestations therein.
In order to fully understand what is at stake one only needs to accept the empirical reality that “control is a reaction to fear”. The absence of control breeds a fear that reaches fevered pitches when the causation is about to take stage. This is the sentiment echoing through the halls of the marbled executive branch and the offices at Foggy Bottom tonight as the professional political class try and cope with their fear.
But if control is the reaction to fear, and the lack of control stimulates a frenzied fear response, then what exactly is it that Team Obama fear so openly? As highlighted within this CNN presentation the answers are brutally obvious:
The White House doesn’t fear Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu contradicting President Obama per se’, that aspect they can deal with around a principle of disparate interests. No, what the White House really fears is the exposure of their lies and falsehoods surrounding their claims of the actual construct of the Iranian deal itself.
The White House fears that Benjamin Netanyahu might specifically expose the fact that President Obama and Secretary Kerry have willfully lied to congress, and by extension the American electorate.
In a larger sense, this is EXACTLY the reason why Speaker Boehner has invited Netanyahu to speak. Boehner knows the deceptive talking points involved.
With that in mind, last night (AIPAC) – Susan Rice began to construct the plausible deniability angle for the executive office with her presentation that “a bad deal is worse than no deal“. Rice even reiterated a point never stated before – that if a “bad deal” was the only option the White House would “walk away“. This new claim is a failsafe position to fall back upon if Netanyahu openly exposes the dark underbelly of the Obama Iranian objective.
Rice doesn’t come by this Machiavellian maneuvering herself. These machinations are the result of Denis McDonough, Tony Blinkin, Ben Rhodes and Valerie Jarrett thinking though consequences and building escape hatches into the executive office strategy.
The current escape hatch is framed around being able to blame Netanyahu if Obama and Kerry need to back down from the deal. The Administration has painted themselves into a corner because they have espoused ad infinitum that an Iranian deal is a “must have”.
The Iranians have used this weak U.S. position to their advantage because they have accepted the reality this U.S. administration is committed to some kind of deal, no matter what. Ultimately Iran is just leveraging their best possible outcome from any deal itself.
However, Netanyahu can be the escape hatch away from Obama’s painted corner. Yet, that escape route is dependent upon the scope of the delivery Netanyahu represents to Congress. Netanyahu understands this dynamic too, he’s too smart not to.
Netanyahu knows Team Obama has deceived the U.S. electorate. The question becomes does Bibi want to expose the deception, possibly undermine his own domestic political position, yet provide the escape route that might ultimately benefit Israel.
It is not difficult to see how this speech has wide ranging and consequential ramifications.
You can bet we’ll be watching, and you can bet the White House will be too – regardless of their contrary protestations.